Saturday football tips: Saturday 7 November
Kick-off times group the Saturday coupon, and the 3pm block gets no live UK channel coverage.
Last updated Thursday 5 November, 04:57. Results run through to Wednesday 4 November. The UK prices we hold were read Thursday 5 November, 04:57.
Our feed has no UK prices for these matches yet. football-data.co.uk posts prices a day or two ahead of kick-off, so the cards carry our fair price until they land.
Bet of the day
These matches don't have UK prices in our feed at the moment. football-data.co.uk adds them one or two days before kick-off, so the cards display our fair price until those prices arrive.
Accumulator
5 legs · fair price 5/2 · 28.5% to land15:00Barnsley to take the win.FA Cup · Barnsley v Aldershot.Barnsley earned 1 point from their last 5, and Aldershot 3 from 5. This season at home, Barnsley average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Our expected goals line gives Barnsley 3.32 and Aldershot 0.85.1/5fair price · 84%
- 83.6%Chance: ours.
- 1/5The fair price.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.The bookmaker's price.
- Barnsley LLLLD Aldershot LLLLWThe last 5.
15:00Luton to take the win.FA Cup · Luton v Forest Green.From their last 5, Luton took 13 points and Forest Green 6 from 5. At home this season Luton average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded a game. Our expected goals line puts Luton 3.05 against Forest Green 0.73.1/5fair price · 83%
- 82.7%Chance: ours.
- 1/5Price we call fair.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.The bookmaker's price.
- Luton WWWWD Forest Green DDLWDThe last 5.
15:00Arsenal win.Premier League · Arsenal v Hull.From their last 5, Arsenal took 13 points and Hull 3 from 5. At home this season Arsenal average 2.2 scored and 0.5 conceded a game. Our expected goals line puts Arsenal 2.44 against Hull 0.53.1/4fair price · 79%
- 79.1%Chance: ours.
- 1/4The fair price.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.The bookmaker's price.
- Arsenal WWWDW Hull LDLDDThe last 5.
15:00Blackpool to take the win.FA Cup · Hornchurh v Blackpool.From their last 5, Blackpool took 4 points and Hornchurh 3 from 5. Away this season Blackpool average 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded a game. Our expected goals line puts Hornchurh 0.80 against Blackpool 2.41.4/11is the fair price · 73%.
- 72.5%Our chance estimate.
- 4/11The fair price.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.Price from the bookmaker.
- Hornchurh LWLLL Blackpool LLWLDThe last 5.
15:00Chesterfield to take the win.FA Cup: Chesterfield v Yeovil.From their last 5, Chesterfield took 5 points and Yeovil 9 from 5. At home this season Chesterfield average 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded a game. Our expected goals line puts Chesterfield 2.44 against Yeovil 0.86.2/5is the fair price · 72%.
- 71.8%Our chance estimate.
- 2/5The fair price.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.Price from the bookmaker.
- Chesterfield DLDWL Yeovil WWLWLThe last 5.
Treble of wins
3 legs · fair price 5/6 · 54.8% to land15:00Barnsley win.FA Cup: Barnsley v Aldershot.Barnsley earned 1 point from their last 5, and Aldershot 3 from 5. This season at home, Barnsley average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Our expected goals line gives Barnsley 3.32 and Aldershot 0.85.1/5is the fair price · 84%.
- 83.6%Our chance estimate.
- 1/5The fair price.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.Price from the bookmaker.
- Barnsley LLLLD Aldershot LLLLWThe last 5.
15:00Luton win.FA Cup: Luton v Forest Green.From their last 5, Luton took 13 points and Forest Green 6 from 5. At home this season Luton average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded a game. Our expected goals line puts Luton 3.05 against Forest Green 0.73.1/5is the fair price · 83%.
- 82.7%Our chance estimate.
- 1/5The fair price.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.Price from the bookmaker.
- Luton WWWWD Forest Green DDLWDThe last 5.
15:00Arsenal win.Premier League: Arsenal v Hull.From their last 5, Arsenal took 13 points and Hull 3 from 5. At home this season Arsenal average 2.2 scored and 0.5 conceded a game. Our expected goals line puts Arsenal 2.44 against Hull 0.53.1/4Fair price · 79%
- 79.1%Our own chance.
- 1/4Price we call fair.
- Missing from our UK price feed for this market.Price from the bookmaker.
- Arsenal WWWDW Hull LDLDDPast 5.
Both sides to score
6 picks · as an acca, fair price 18/115:00Both sides to score.Cardiff against Burnley · Championship.This season, both sides scored in Cardiff games 71% of the time and in Burnley games 86%. Our total goal expectation is 3.1 (Cardiff 1.53, Burnley 1.57).8/13Fair price · 63%
- 62.7%Chance: ours.
- 8/13The fair price.
- Our UK price feed has no price for this market.The bookmaker's price.
- Cardiff WDWLD Burnley DLLDDThe last 5.
20:00Both sides to score.Peterborough against Reading · FA Cup.This season, both sides scored in Peterborough games 54% of the time and in Reading games 50%. Our total goal expectation is 3.1 (Peterborough 1.41, Reading 1.68).8/13Fair price · 62%
- 62.2%Chance: ours.
- 8/13The fair price.
- Absent from our UK price feed for this market.Price the bookmakers quote.
- Peterborough DLDLL Reading LWWDLThe last 5.
15:00Both sides to score.Harrogate against AFC Fylde · FA Cup.This season, both sides scored in Harrogate games 69% of the time and in AFC Fylde games 69%. Our total goal expectation is 3.1 (Harrogate 1.86, AFC Fylde 1.25).4/6Fair price · 61%
- 60.8%The chance we give.
- 4/6A fair price.
- Missing from our UK price feed for this market.The price a bookmaker quotes.
- Harrogate WWWLD AFC Fylde LWLWWOver the last 5.
15:00Both sides to score.MK Dons against Swindon · FA Cup.In MK Dons games both teams scored 69% of the time this season, and in Swindon games 50% of the time. We put total goals at 3.2, split MK Dons 2.05 and Swindon 1.17.4/6fair price · 61%
- 60.8%Our chance figure.
- 4/6Price we call fair.
- Our UK price feed has no price for this market.The price a bookmaker quotes.
- MK Dons WLWWW Swindon LDWDWOver the last 5.
15:00Both teams scoring.Boreham Wood against Wigan · FA Cup.In Boreham Wood games both teams scored 75% of the time this season, and in Wigan games 36% of the time. We put total goals at 3.0, split Boreham Wood 1.43 and Wigan 1.55.4/6fair price · 61%
- 60.6%The chance we see.
- 4/6Price we call fair.
- Our UK price feed has no price for this market.The price a bookmaker quotes.
- Boreham Wood WWWWW Wigan LLLWDOver the last 5.
15:00Both teams scoring.QPR against Lincoln City · Championship.In QPR games both teams scored 64% of the time this season, and in Lincoln City games 50% of the time. We put total goals at 3.0, split QPR 1.67 and Lincoln City 1.33.4/6fair price · 61%
- 60.5%The chance as we see it.
- 4/6Price we call fair.
- Our UK price feed has no price for this market.The price a bookmaker quotes.
- QPR WLWLD Lincoln City LDWLLOver the last 5.
More than 2.5 goals
Over/under 2.5 · back-test and live 30 days: -0.2pts from 65 (54% won)15:00Goals over 2.5.Barnsley against Aldershot · FA Cup.Barnsley games went past 2.5 goals 67% of the time this season, and Aldershot games 38% of the time. We put total goals at 4.2, split Barnsley 3.32 and Aldershot 0.85.2/7fair price · 79%
- 78.6%Our chance figure.
- 2/7Price we call fair.
- Our UK price feed has no price for this market.The price a bookmaker quotes.
- Barnsley LLLLD Aldershot LLLLWPast 5.
15:00Goals over 2.5.FA Cup: Luton v Forest Green.Over 2.5 goals came up in 64% of Luton games this season and 64% of Forest Green ones. We expect 3.8 goals overall, Luton 3.05 and Forest Green 0.73.4/11Fair price · 73%
- 72.8%The chance we give.
- 4/11The fair price.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.Price from the bookmaker.
- Luton WWWWD Forest Green DDLWDThe last 5.
15:00More than 2.5 goals.FA Cup: Chesterfield v Yeovil.Chesterfield games went over 2.5 goals 57% of the time this season, and Yeovil games 62% of the time. We put total goals at 3.3, split Chesterfield 2.44 and Yeovil 0.86.4/7Fair price · 64%
- 64.1%Our probability.
- 4/7The fair price.
- Our UK price feed has no price for this market.Bookmaker's price.
- Chesterfield DLDWL Yeovil WWLWLPast 5.
15:00Total goals above 2.5.FA Cup: Barnet v Tranmere.Barnet matches went over 2.5 goals 77% of the time this season, and Tranmere matches 36% of the time. We put total goals at 3.2, split Barnet 2.21 and Tranmere 1.01.8/13fair price · 63%
- 62.6%Our probability.
- 8/13The fair price.
- Our UK price feed has no price for this market.Price set by the bookmaker.
- Barnet WLDWD Tranmere DLWDWPast 5 results.
15:00Goals above 2.5.FA Cup: MK Dons v Swindon.MK Dons games went over 2.5 goals 54% of the time this season, and Swindon games 50% of the time. We put total goals at 3.2, split MK Dons 2.05 and Swindon 1.17.8/13Fair price · 62%
- 62.5%Our probability.
- 8/13The fair price.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.Price from the bookmaker.
- MK Dons WLWWW Swindon LDWDWThe last 5.
15:00Goals over 2.5.FA Cup · Hornchurh v Blackpool.Hornchurh games went over 2.5 goals 69% of the time this season, and Blackpool games 58% of the time. We put total goals at 3.2, split Hornchurh 0.80 and Blackpool 2.41.8/13Fair price · 62%
- 62.1%The chance we give.
- 8/13A fair price.
- missing from our UK price feed for this market.A bookmaker price.
- Hornchurh LWLLL Blackpool LLWLDThe last 5.
Exact score
the likeliest score in each match15:00Arsenal 2-0 HullPremier League · Arsenal v Hull.With expected goals of 2.44 against 0.53, the single likeliest score is 2-0 at 15.3%.11/2Fair price · 15%
- 15.3%Our estimated chance.
- 11/2A fair price.
- missing from our UK price feed for this market.A bookmaker price.
- Arsenal WWWDW Hull LDLDDThe last 5.
15:00Kid'minster 0-1 DoncasterFA Cup · Kid'minster v Doncaster.With expected goals of 0.73 against 1.52, the single likeliest score is 0-1 at 15.3%.11/2Fair price · 15%
- 15.3%Our estimated chance.
- 11/2A fair price.
- missing from our UK price feed for this market.A bookmaker price.
- Kid'minster DDLDL Doncaster LLWLLThe last 5.
15:00Oxford Utd 1-0 StevenageFA Cup · Oxford Utd v Stevenage.With expected goals of 1.32 against 0.82, the single likeliest score is 1-0 at 14.8%.6/1Fair price · 15%
- 14.8%Our estimated chance.
- 6/1A fair price.
- missing from our UK price feed for this market.A bookmaker price.
- Oxford Utd WDWDW Stevenage WLWLDPast 5.
15:00Crewe 1-1 WimbledonFA Cup: Crewe v Wimbledon.With expected goals of 1.30 against 1.08, the single likeliest score is 1-1 at 13.8%.13/2fair price · 14%
- 13.8%Our estimated chance.
- 13/2Fair price shown.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.Price from the bookmaker.
- Crewe WWLLD Wimbledon LLLDLPast 5.
Goalscorer at any time
Premier League, from FPL player data17:30Haaland to get a goal.Premier League: Nottm Forest v Man City.This season, in 799 minutes of play, Haaland has scored 9 goals from 6.6 xG. Our estimate puts Man City at 1.62 goals.5/4fair price · 44%
- 43.6%Our estimated chance.
- 5/4A fair price.
- Our UK price feed has no price for this market.Price set by the bookmaker.
- Nottm Forest LLLDL Man City WWLDLPast 5.
12:30Goal pick: Calvert-Lewin.Premier League: Leeds v Spurs.This season, in 773 minutes of play, Calvert-Lewin has scored 3 goals from 3.9 xG. Our estimate puts Leeds at 1.68 goals.5/4fair price · 44%
- 43.6%Our estimated chance.
- 5/4A fair price.
- Missing from our UK price feed for this market.Price set by the bookmaker.
- Leeds DLDDL Spurs LDWWWPast 5.
15:00Wissa to get a goal.Premier League: Fulham v Newcastle.This season, Wissa has 1 goal from 3.4 xG in 647 minutes; we expect Newcastle to score 1.27.6/4fair price · 40%
- 40.4%Our estimated chance.
- 6/4A fair price.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.Price from the bookmaker.
- Fulham LWWLD Newcastle LLWLLThe last 5.
15:00Goal for Havertz.Premier League: Arsenal v Hull.This season, in 669 minutes of play, Havertz has scored 3 goals from 2.8 xG. Our estimate puts Arsenal at 2.44 goals.6/4fair price · 40%
- 40.1%Our probability.
- 6/4Price we call fair.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.Price from the bookmaker.
- Arsenal WWWDW Hull LDLDDThe last 5.
Bet builder bets
three parts in one match15:00Barnsley or draw, plus over 1.5 goals and both teams to score.FA Cup: Barnsley v Aldershot.We price it from the whole score matrix, not by multiplying each part: combined, they land 52% of the time.10/11fair price · 52%
- 51.6%Our probability.
- 10/11Price we call fair.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.Price from the bookmaker.
- Barnsley LLLLD Aldershot LLLLWThe last 5.
15:00Mk dons or draw, with over 1.5 goals and both teams to score.FA Cup: MK Dons v Swindon.We price it from the whole score matrix, not by multiplying each part: combined, they land 48% of the time.21/20fair price · 48%
- 48.3%Our probability.
- 21/20Price we call fair.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.Price from the bookmaker.
- MK Dons WLWWW Swindon LDWDWThe last 5.
15:00Barnet or draw, plus over 1.5 goals and both teams to score.FA Cup: Barnet v Tranmere.Our price uses the full score matrix, not the parts multiplied together: together they land 48% of the time.11/10fair price · 48%
- 48.1%Our probability.
- 11/10Price we call fair.
- This market isn't in our UK price feed.The bookmaker's price.
- Barnet WLDWD Tranmere DLWDWPast 5.

Coupon by kick-off
Kick-offs at 12:30
| Match | Draw | Away | Score | BTTS | Over 2.5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | ||||||||||
| 12:30 | Match stats | Leeds to win48% our chance | 11/10fair price | 48% | 25% | 27% | 2-1 | 57% | 55% | no price yet |
| Championship | ||||||||||
| 12:30 | Match stats | Bristol City to win37% our chance | 13/8fair price | 37% | 26% | 36% | 2-1 | 59% | 54% | no price yet |
| 12:30 | Match stats | Portsmouth to win43% our chance | 11/8fair price | 43% | 29% | 28% | 1-0 | 50% | 44% | no price yet |
| 12:30 | Match stats | Wolves to win41% our chance | 6/4fair price | 31% | 28% | 41% | 0-1 | 51% | 45% | no price yet |
No live UK television at 3pm
| Match | Draw | Away | Score | BTTS | Over 2.5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | ||||||||||
| 15:00 | Match stats | Arsenal to win79% our chance | 1/4fair price | 79% | 15% | 6% | 2-0 | 38% | 57% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Fulham to win44% our chance | 5/4fair price | 44% | 26% | 30% | 2-1 | 58% | 54% | no price yet |
| Scottish Premiership | ||||||||||
| 15:00 | Match stats | Dundee Utd to win37% our chance | 7/4fair price | 37% | 28% | 36% | 1-0 | 55% | 50% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | St Johnstone to win40% our chance | 6/4fair price | 40% | 27% | 33% | 2-1 | 58% | 54% | no price yet |
| Championship | ||||||||||
| 15:00 | Match stats | Birmingham to win45% our chance | 6/5fair price | 45% | 27% | 28% | 1-0 | 54% | 50% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | West Ham to win57% our chance | 8/11fair price | 20% | 23% | 57% | 1-2 | 56% | 58% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Burnley to win38% our chance | 13/8fair price | 37% | 25% | 38% | 1-2 | 63% | 60% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Sheff Utd to win43% our chance | 11/8fair price | 29% | 28% | 43% | 0-1 | 52% | 47% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Southampton to win53% our chance | 10/11fair price | 23% | 24% | 53% | 1-2 | 60% | 60% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | QPR to win45% our chance | 5/4fair price | 45% | 25% | 30% | 2-1 | 61% | 58% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Boro to win55% our chance | 4/5fair price | 20% | 24% | 55% | 0-1 | 54% | 54% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | West Brom to win37% our chance | 7/4fair price | 37% | 28% | 35% | 1-0 | 52% | 46% | no price yet |
| FA Cup | ||||||||||
| 15:00 | Hornchurh LWLLL Match stats | Blackpool to win73% our chance | 4/11fair price | 10% | 17% | 73% | 0-2 | 51% | 62% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Wycombe to win50% our chance | evensfair price | 24% | 26% | 50% | 0-1 | 55% | 53% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Barnet to win64% our chance | 4/7fair price | 64% | 20% | 16% | 2-1 | 57% | 63% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Barnsley to win84% our chance | 1/5fair price | 84% | 11% | 6% | 3-0 | 55% | 79% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Wigan to win40% our chance | 6/4fair price | 34% | 26% | 40% | 1-2 | 61% | 57% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Bromley to win49% our chance | 21/20fair price | 49% | 26% | 25% | 1-0 | 55% | 52% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Salford City to win46% our chance | 6/5fair price | 28% | 26% | 46% | 1-2 | 57% | 54% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Cheltenham to win54% our chance | 5/6fair price | 54% | 23% | 23% | 2-1 | 61% | 61% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Chesterfield to win72% our chance | 2/5fair price | 72% | 17% | 11% | 2-0 | 53% | 64% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Crewe to win41% our chance | 6/4fair price | 41% | 29% | 30% | 1-0 | 49% | 43% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Shrewsbury to win52% our chance | 10/11fair price | 23% | 26% | 52% | 0-1 | 53% | 51% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Fleetwood Town to win54% our chance | 5/6fair price | 54% | 25% | 21% | 1-0 | 52% | 50% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Gillingham to win47% our chance | 11/10fair price | 47% | 26% | 27% | 2-1 | 56% | 53% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Harrogate to win51% our chance | evensfair price | 51% | 24% | 25% | 2-1 | 61% | 60% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Huddersfield to win62% our chance | 8/13fair price | 62% | 23% | 15% | 2-0 | 50% | 53% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Kid'minster DDLDL Match stats | Doncaster to win55% our chance | 4/5fair price | 17% | 27% | 55% | 0-1 | 41% | 39% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Luton to win83% our chance | 1/5fair price | 83% | 12% | 6% | 3-0 | 50% | 73% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | MK Dons to win57% our chance | 8/11fair price | 57% | 22% | 21% | 2-1 | 61% | 62% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Walsall to win41% our chance | 6/4fair price | 32% | 28% | 41% | 0-1 | 53% | 48% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Oxford Utd to win48% our chance | 11/10fair price | 48% | 30% | 22% | 1-0 | 42% | 36% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | Port Vale to win65% our chance | 8/15fair price | 65% | 22% | 13% | 2-0 | 47% | 53% | no price yet |
| 15:00 | Match stats | York City to win54% our chance | 5/6fair price | 54% | 26% | 20% | 1-0 | 49% | 47% | no price yet |
Kick-offs at 17:30
| Match | Draw | Away | Score | BTTS | Over 2.5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | ||||||||||
| 17:30 | Match stats | Man City to win48% our chance | 21/20fair price | 26% | 26% | 48% | 0-1 | 55% | 52% | no price yet |
| FA Cup | ||||||||||
| 17:30 | Match stats | Notts County to win66% our chance | 1/2fair price | 13% | 21% | 66% | 0-2 | 50% | 56% | no price yet |
Kick-offs at 17:45
| Match | Draw | Away | Score | BTTS | Over 2.5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | ||||||||||
| 17:45 | Match stats | Hibernian to win41% our chance | 6/4fair price | 31% | 29% | 41% | 0-1 | 51% | 45% | no price yet |
Kick-offs at 20:00
| Match | Draw | Away | Score | BTTS | Over 2.5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | ||||||||||
| 20:00 | Match stats | Rangers to win59% our chance | 8/11fair price | 18% | 23% | 59% | 0-2 | 54% | 55% | no price yet |
| FA Cup | ||||||||||
| 20:00 | Match stats | Reading to win43% our chance | 5/4fair price | 32% | 25% | 43% | 1-2 | 62% | 60% | no price yet |
Trends for players
Treble of scorers
- Haaland, Man City, Nottm Forest v Man City 44% · fair price 5/4.
799 minutes, 9 goals, 6.6 xG. - Calvert-Lewin Leeds, Leeds v Spurs 44% chance · fair 5/4.
773 minutes, 3 goals, 3.9 xG. - Wissa, Newcastle, Fulham v Newcastle 40% · fair price 6/4.
1 goal from 3.4 xG in 647 minutes.
For all three to land, treble fair price 12/1, 7.7%.
Treble of cards
- Gallagher, Spurs, Leeds v Spurs 60% · fair price 4/6.
291 minutes, 3 yellows. - J.Murphy Newcastle, Fulham v Newcastle 53% chance · fair 10/11.
343 minutes, 3 yellows. - Madueke Arsenal, Arsenal v Hull 41% · fair price 11/8.
338 minutes, 2 yellows.
All three land at a fair price of 13/2, a 13.2% chance.