football-tips.uk

Dundee United vs Motherwell prediction

Dundee United crestDundee Utd
15:00Saturday 7 November
MotherwellMotherwell crest
1-0predicted score (9%)
55%both teams score
50%over 2.5 goals
1.34-1.32expected goals

Our breakdown

With 16 points from 11 games, Dundee Utd sit 6th in the Scottish Premiership. Motherwell sit 9th with 12 points from 12 games, 4 points behind.

Across their last 6 matches, Dundee Utd have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 11 goals for and 6 against. From their last 6 games, Motherwell have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses. They've scored 6 and conceded 11.

Of Dundee Utd's matches this season, 45% had goals from both sides and 55% had more than 2.5 goals. Motherwell's numbers are 42% and 58% for the same measures. Dundee Utd's expected goals are 1.45 a game, with 1.42 allowed. Motherwell's expected goals are 1.51, with 1.51 allowed.

Since August 2024, our results show 7 meetings: 1 win for Dundee Utd, 5 for Motherwell and 1 draw. Their most recent meeting, on Wednesday 2 September 2026, ended with a Motherwell 3-0 Dundee United win.

The likeliest outcome in our model is a Dundee Utd win at 37%. The draw stands at 28% and Motherwell 36%, with 1.34 expected goals for Dundee Utd and 1.32 for the visitors.

Our forecast is a Dundee United 1-0 Motherwell result. At 13.1%, 1-1 is the most likely single exact score. Within the result we favor, 1-0 ranks highest.

Team stats: Dundee Utd v Motherwell

Per gameDundee United crestDundee UtdMotherwell crestMotherwell
Games55
Goals scored a game2.001.00
Goals conceded a game1.001.80
Both teams scored60%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%
Clean sheets40%20%
Corners won / conceded6.0 / 6.45.0 / 4.8
Yellow cards a game2.42.0
xG for / against1.32 / 1.281.71 / 1.41

For each market, here are the fair prices

Match resultDundee Utd win37%7/4
Draw28%11/4
Motherwell win36%7/4
Double chanceDundee Utd or draw64%4/7
Motherwell or draw63%4/7
Draw no betDundee Utd51%evens
Motherwell49%21/20
Both teams to scoreYes55%5/6
No45%6/5
GoalsOver 1.575%1/3
Over 2.550%evens
Under 2.550%evens
Over 3.528%5/2
Result and BTTSDundee Utd and yes18%9/2
Draw and yes20%4/1
Motherwell and yes17%5/1
Result and goalsDundee Utd and over 2.522%7/2
Motherwell and over 2.521%4/1
Dundee Utd and under 2.515%11/2
Motherwell and under 2.515%6/1
Half time / full timeDundee Utd / Dundee Utd22%7/2
Motherwell / Motherwell22%7/2
Draw / Draw16%11/2
Draw / Dundee Utd13%13/2
CornersOver 9.560%4/6
Over 10.549%21/20
CardsOver 3.554%5/6
Over 4.537%13/8

Our chance, divided into 1, gives the fair price. Our feed doesn't yet show UK bookmaker prices for this match. football-data.co.uk usually publishes them two or three days before the game.

The teams we expect to start

Dundee United crestDundee Utd 4-2-3-1

  1. Walton, JackGK
  2. Rawlins, JoshuaDEF
  3. Ciubotaru, KevinDEF
  4. Iqbal, ZidaneMID
  5. Esselink, BertDEF
  6. Forbes, MichaelDEF
  7. Randall, JesseMID
  8. Tait, DylanMID
  9. Sapsford, ZacharyFWD
  10. Cameron, LyallMID
  11. Farrugia, NeilMID

For the Wed 28 Oct match at Celtic, this was the starting lineup.

Motherwell crestMotherwell 4-2-3-1

  1. Paulsen, AlexGK
  2. Sparrow, TomDEF
  3. Longelo, EmmanuelDEF
  4. Fadinger, LukasMID
  5. Girdwood-Reich, Jake.DEF
  6. Moormann, Martin.DEF
  7. Maswanhise, Tawanda.MID
  8. Hodge, Joseph.MID
  9. Palmer-Houlden, Seb.FWD
  10. Sa'Id, Ibrahim.MID
  11. Kanga, Jardell.MID

Started Sat 31 Oct, with St Mirren the opposition.

For other clubs, ESPN supplies the side that started in their most recent match. These are replaced by ESPN's confirmed teams once the line-ups are named, about an hour ahead of kick-off.

Chances for each exact score

The chance of each score in %, with Dundee Utd goals down the side and Motherwell goals across
012345
07.78.56.12.70.90.2
18.713.18.13.61.20.3
26.38.35.52.40.80.2
32.83.72.41.10.40.1
41.01.30.80.40.10.0
50.30.30.20.10.00.0

When the goals come

411-152316-306331-450246-601261-753376-90

Games counted: Dundee Utd, 11 games Motherwell, 12 games. This season's ESPN match events show the goals scored by minute.

Corners and card counts

Latest form

Dundee United crestDundee United

Dundee Utd in the last 6
Result
Wed 28 Octat Celtic2-2D
Sat 24 Octv Aberdeen3-2W
Sat 17 Octat St Johnstone1-1D
Sat 10 Octv Hibernian1-0W
Sat 19 Sepat St Mirren3-0W
Sat 5 Sepv Falkirk1-1D

Read the scores with Dundee Utd first.

Motherwell crestMotherwell

Motherwell in the last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octv St Mirren1-0W
Wed 28 Octat St Johnstone2-2D
Sun 25 Octv Hearts0-2L
Sat 17 Octat Kilmarnock2-3L
Sun 11 Octv Celtic0-2L
Sat 19 Sepat Dundee1-2L

Read the scores with Motherwell first.

Head to head

Wed 2 Sep 2026Scottish PremMotherwell 3-0 Dundee United1-012
Sat 28 Feb 2026Scottish PremMotherwell 2-0 Dundee United1-08
Sat 13 Dec 2025Scottish PremDundee United 0-0 Motherwell0-05
Wed 29 Oct 2025Scottish PremMotherwell 2-0 Dundee United1-06
Sat 22 Feb 2025Scottish PremDundee United 1-0 Motherwell1-09
Sat 14 Dec 2024Scottish PremMotherwell 4-3 Dundee United3-15
Wed 30 Oct 2024Scottish PremDundee United 1-2 Motherwell1-114

Scottish Premiership standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
4Falkirk crestFalkirk12534+318
5Dundee crestDundee11524+417
6Dundee United crestDundee United11443+016
7St Johnstone crestSt Johnstone12354-414
8St Mirren crestSt Mirren12426-814
9Motherwell crestMotherwell12336-612
10Aberdeen crestAberdeen11326-211
11Kilmarnock crestKilmarnock12237-159

The standings come from ESPN, as of Wednesday 4 November.

Additional predictions for the Scottish Premiership