Football tips tomorrow: Friday 6 November
We post tomorrow's picks on the evening before. They show our chance, the fair price and, once available, the best UK price.
Last updated Thursday 5 November, 04:57. Results run to Wednesday 4 November. UK prices were read Thursday 5 November, 04:57.
These matches still lack UK prices in our feed, since football-data.co.uk publishes them a day or two before the match begins. Until then, each card shows our fair price.
Bet of the day
We don't have UK prices for these matches in our feed (football-data.co.uk adds them a day or two before the kick-off), so each card shows our fair price until the prices land.
Accumulator
Under five matches have a side we rate better than evens, so there's no acca on this card.
Both sides to score
No BTTS pick. The highest chance is Derby v Bolton at 59%, under our 60% line.
More than 2.5 goals
Over/under 2.5 · back-test and live 30 days: -0.2pts from 65 (54% won)20:00More than 2.5 goals.Championship · Derby v Bolton.In 57% of Derby matches and 64% of Bolton matches this season, the total went above 2.5. Our total goals expectation is 3.0 (Derby 1.76 and Bolton 1.24).8/11The fair price · 58%
- 57.6%Our own chance.
- 8/11The fair price.
- Our UK feed has no price for this market.The bookmaker's price.
- Derby LLDLL Bolton WDLLWPast 5.
The correct score
the likeliest score in each match19:30The correct score is Bristol Rovers 1-1 Cambridge for this match.FA Cup · Bristol Rovers v Cambridge.Our single likeliest score is 1-1 at 13.1%, based on 1.08 and 1.47 expected goals.13/2The fair price · 13%
- 13.1%Our own chance.
- 13/2The fair price.
- Our UK feed has no price for this market.The bookmaker's price.
- Bristol Rovers LLLDL Cambridge WDLDLPast 5.
20:00Everton 1-1 CoventryPremier League · Everton v Coventry.Our single likeliest score is 1-1 at 11.6%, based on 1.81 and 1.03 expected goals.15/2The fair price · 12%
- 11.6%Our own chance.
- 15/2The fair price.
- Our UK feed has no price for this market.Bookmaker's price.
- Everton DLLWW Coventry WWLLWThe last 5.
20:00Derby 1-1 BoltonChampionship: Derby v Bolton.Our single likeliest score is 1-1 at 11.5%, based on 1.76 and 1.24 expected goals.15/2The fair price · 12%
- 11.5%The chance we give it.
- 15/2The price we call fair.
- Our UK feed has no price for this market.Bookmaker's price.
- Derby LLDLL Bolton WDLLWThe last 5.
Goalscorer at any time
Premier League, from FPL player data20:00Barry to get a goal.Premier League: Everton v Coventry.This season, Barry's 4 goals came from 6.4 xG over 761 minutes. Our forecast for Everton is 1.81 goals.4/6The fair price · 61%
- 60.7%The chance we give it.
- 4/6The price we call fair.
- Our UK feed has no price for this market.Bookmaker's price.
- Everton DLLWW Coventry WWLLWThe last 5.
The bet builder
three parts in one match20:00Derby or draw, more than 1.5 goals, and both teams to score.Championship: Derby v Bolton.We use the full score matrix for pricing, not multiplying each part: this combination happens 45% of the time.5/4The fair price · 45%
- 44.7%The chance we give it.
- 5/4The price we call fair.
- Our UK feed has no price for this market.Bookmaker's price.
- Derby LLDLL Bolton WDLLWThe last 5.
20:00Everton or draw, more than 1.5 goals, and both teams to score.Premier League: Everton v Coventry.We use the full score matrix for pricing, not multiplying each part: this combination happens 43% of the time.5/4The fair price · 43%
- 43.5%The chance we give it.
- 5/4The price we call fair.
- Our UK feed has no price for this market.Price from the bookmaker.
- Everton DLLWW Coventry WWLLWLast 5 games.
19:30Cambridge or a draw, over 1.5 goals, and both teams to score.Bristol Rovers against Cambridge · FA Cup.We use the full score matrix for pricing, not multiplying each part: this combination happens 39% of the time.13/8The fair price · 39%
- 39.0%Our own chance.
- 13/8Price we call fair.
- Our UK feed has no price for this market.The bookmaker's price.
- Bristol Rovers LLLDL Cambridge WDLDLForm over the last 5.
All matches
| Match | Draw | Away | Score | BTTS | Over 2.5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | ||||||||||
| 20:00 |  Everton DLLWW Coventry WWLLWMatch stats | Everton to win55% our chance | 5/6fair price | 55% | 24% | 21% | 1-0 | 54% | 54% | no price yet |
| Championship | ||||||||||
| 20:00 |  Derby LLDLL Bolton WDLLWMatch stats | Derby to win49% our chance | 21/20fair price | 49% | 25% | 26% | 2-1 | 59% | 58% | no price yet |
| FA Cup | ||||||||||
| 19:30 |  Bristol Rovers LLLDL Cambridge WDLDLMatch stats | Cambridge to win45% our chance | 6/5fair price | 27% | 28% | 45% | 0-1 | 52% | 47% | no price yet |