Bet of the day
We offer one selection each day: our biggest edge over the best UK price, from picks we consider at least 55% likely.
Last update: Thursday 5 November, 04:57. Results run through to Wednesday 4 November. Thursday 5 November, 04:57 is when the UK prices were read.
There's no bet of the day right now, because nothing with a price meets our bar. Matches we'll cover next: Friday 6 November.
The 30 most recent bets of the day
Of 30 bets, 14 won, for -3.2 points at level stakes Before the site launched, these days came from a walk-forward back-test. Each week, the model was refitted using earlier games only, and prices came from football-data.co.uk's early odds.
| Wed 4 Nov | Bristol City v Wolverhampton Wanderers | Under 2.5 | 10/11 | 1-2 | -1.00 |
| Sat 31 Oct | Salford v Exeter | Under 2.5 | 11/10 | 2-1 | -1.00 |
| Fri 30 Oct | Sheffield United v Wrexham | Over 2.5 | 10/11 | 1-0 | -1.00 |
| Wed 28 Oct | St Mirren v Hibernian | Under 2.5 | 6/5 | 1-1 | +1.20 |
| Tue 27 Oct | Altrincham v Kidderminster | Under 2.5 | evens | 0-0 | +1.00 |
| Mon 26 Oct | Walsall v Salford | Under 2.5 | 21/20 | 2-4 | -1.00 |
| Sat 24 Oct | Oxford v Bradford | Under 2.5 | 5/6 | 0-0 | +0.85 |
| Tue 20 Oct | Burton v Bradford | Under 2.5 | 10/11 | 0-0 | +0.88 |
| Sun 18 Oct | Nott'm Forest v Arsenal | Under 2.5 | 10/11 | 0-1 | +0.93 |
| Sat 17 Oct | Aberdeen v St Mirren | Under 2.5 | evens | 3-1 | -1.00 |
| Thu 15 Oct | Mansfield v Oxford | Under 2.5 | 21/20 | 1-1 | +1.05 |
| Tue 13 Oct | Bristol City v Blackburn | Under 2.5 | 10/11 | 0-1 | +0.91 |
| Sun 11 Oct | Aberdeen v St Johnstone | Under 2.5 | 10/11 | 0-1 | +0.88 |
| Sat 10 Oct | Port Vale v Grimsby | Under 2.5 | 5/6 | 1-0 | +0.85 |
| Fri 9 Oct | Sutton v Boreham Wood | Over 2.5 | 4/5 | 0-2 | -1.00 |
| Sat 3 Oct | Exeter v Rotherham | Under 2.5 | 10/11 | 1-0 | +0.90 |
| Wed 30 Sep | Tamworth v Sutton | Over 2.5 | 8/11 | 2-0 | -1.00 |
| Tue 29 Sep | Woking v Solihull | Woking | 10/11 | 2-4 | -1.00 |
| Sat 26 Sep | Oldham v Salford | Under 2.5 | 21/20 | 1-4 | -1.00 |
| Sat 19 Sep | Exeter v Tranmere | Exeter | 5/4 | 0-0 | -1.00 |
| Wed 16 Sep | Altrincham v Hartlepool | Under 2.5 | 11/10 | 2-1 | -1.00 |
| Tue 15 Sep | Worthing v Hornchurch | Over 2.5 | 4/7 | 1-0 | -1.00 |
| Sun 13 Sep | Coventry v Brighton | Over 2.5 | 8/11 | 0-5 | +0.73 |
| Sat 12 Sep | Blackburn v Millwall | Under 2.5 | 10/11 | 3-1 | -1.00 |
| Thu 10 Sep | Stevenage v Luton | Under 2.5 | 4/5 | 2-1 | -1.00 |
| Tue 8 Sep | Blackburn v Sheffield United | Under 2.5 | evens | 1-2 | -1.00 |
| Sun 6 Sep | Arsenal v Chelsea | Arsenal | 8/11 | 2-1 | +0.70 |
| Sat 5 Sep | Salford v Port Vale | Under 2.5 | 10/11 | 1-0 | +0.90 |
| Thu 3 Sep | Hibernian v Hearts | Under 2.5 | evens | 1-3 | -1.00 |
| Wed 2 Sep | Motherwell v Dundee United | Motherwell | evens | 3-0 | +1.00 |