football-tips.uk

Cards tips

Expected bookings in each match this week come from card rates for both clubs, with a referee adjustment where we know him.

Last updated Thursday 5 November, 04:57. Results run through Wednesday 4 November. UK prices were read Thursday 5 November, 04:57.

Cards tips this week

There are 54 matches across the next seven days. Where the figure is small, that figure is the fair price.

Cards tips
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Gillingham v Barrow
FA Cup		4.562% 8/1346% 6/5
Sun 8 Nov 14:00Sunderland v Chelsea
Premier League		4.562% 8/1345% 5/4
Sun 8 Nov 16:30Man Utd v Aston Villa
Premier League		4.461% 4/644% 5/4
Sun 8 Nov 15:00Hearts v Falkirk
Scottish Prem		4.359% 8/1142% 11/8
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Kid'minster v Doncaster
FA Cup		4.359% 8/1142% 11/8
Sat 7 Nov 17:30Altrincham v Notts County
FA Cup		4.258% 8/1141% 6/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Arsenal v Hull
Premier League		4.257% 8/1140% 6/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Barnsley v Aldershot
FA Cup		4.257% 8/1140% 6/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Chesterfield v Yeovil
FA Cup		4.257% 8/1140% 6/4
Sat 7 Nov 12:30Leeds v Spurs
Premier League		4.256% 4/539% 6/4
Sun 8 Nov 14:00Ipswich v Bournemouth
Premier League		4.156% 4/539% 6/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Dundee Utd v Motherwell
Scottish Prem		4.054% 5/637% 13/8
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Fulham v Newcastle
Premier League		4.054% 5/637% 13/8
Sat 7 Nov 17:45Aberdeen v Hibernian
Scottish Prem		4.054% 5/637% 13/8
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Charlton v Sheff Utd
Championship		4.054% 5/637% 7/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Luton v Forest Green
FA Cup		4.054% 5/637% 7/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Blackburn v West Ham
Championship		4.054% 5/637% 7/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00QPR v Lincoln City
Championship		4.053% 10/1137% 7/4
Sun 8 Nov 16:00Celtic v Kilmarnock
Scottish Prem		4.053% 10/1137% 7/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Barnet v Tranmere
FA Cup		4.053% 10/1136% 7/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Newport v Walsall
FA Cup		4.053% 10/1136% 7/4
Sat 7 Nov 20:00St Mirren v Rangers
Scottish Prem		3.952% 10/1136% 7/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Watford v Boro
Championship		3.952% 10/1135% 15/8
Sat 7 Nov 12:30Bristol City v Norwich City
Championship		3.952% 10/1135% 15/8
Fri 6 Nov 19:30Bristol Rovers v Cambridge
FA Cup		3.851% evens34% 2/1
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Boreham Wood v Wigan
FA Cup		3.851% evens34% 2/1
Sat 7 Nov 15:00West Brom v Millwall
Championship		3.851% evens34% 2/1
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Bromley v Rotherham
FA Cup		3.851% evens34% 2/1
Sun 8 Nov 14:00Brighton v Brentford
Premier League		3.850% evens34% 2/1
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Fleetwood Town v Rochdale
FA Cup		3.850% evens33% 2/1
Sat 7 Nov 12:30Portsmouth v Stoke
Championship		3.850% evens33% 2/1
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Cheltenham v Halifax
FA Cup		3.850% evens33% 2/1
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Harrogate v AFC Fylde
FA Cup		3.849% 21/2033% 2/1
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Accrington v Wycombe
FA Cup		3.749% 21/2033% 2/1
Fri 6 Nov 20:00Derby v Bolton
Championship		3.748% 21/2032% 9/4
Sat 7 Nov 12:30Wrexham v Wolves
Championship		3.748% 21/2032% 9/4
Sun 8 Nov 14:00Palace v Liverpool
Premier League		3.748% 21/2032% 9/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Preston v Southampton
Championship		3.748% 11/1032% 9/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Eastleigh v Shrewsbury
FA Cup		3.647% 11/1031% 9/4
Sat 7 Nov 17:30Nottm Forest v Man City
Premier League		3.647% 11/1031% 9/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Carlisle v Salford City
FA Cup		3.647% 11/1030% 9/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Cardiff v Burnley
Championship		3.646% 6/530% 9/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Oxford Utd v Stevenage
FA Cup		3.546% 6/529% 5/2
Sat 7 Nov 15:00York City v Northampton
FA Cup		3.546% 6/529% 5/2
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Birmingham v Swansea
Championship		3.545% 6/529% 5/2
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Huddersfield v Exeter
FA Cup		3.545% 5/429% 5/2
Sun 8 Nov 17:15Oldham v Sheff Wed
FA Cup		3.544% 5/428% 5/2
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Hornchurh v Blackpool
FA Cup		3.342% 11/826% 11/4
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Port Vale v Scunthorpe
FA Cup		3.341% 6/425% 3/1
Sat 7 Nov 15:00St Johnstone v Dundee
Scottish Prem		3.340% 6/425% 3/1
Fri 6 Nov 20:00Everton v Coventry
Premier League		3.240% 6/425% 3/1
Sat 7 Nov 20:00Peterborough v Reading
FA Cup		3.239% 13/824% 10/3
Sat 7 Nov 15:00Crewe v Wimbledon
FA Cup		3.138% 13/823% 10/3
Sat 7 Nov 15:00MK Dons v Swindon
FA Cup		2.526% 3/114% 13/2
Cards tips

Clubs hitting it most

BarrowNational League155.5
Aston VillaPremier League95.3
ChelseaPremier League95.3
Wigan AthleticLeague One145.2
Crawley TownLeague Two125.2
Newcastle UnitedPremier League95.1
Notts CountyLeague One125.1
LiverpoolPremier League95.0
Kidderminster HarriersNational League164.9
WatfordChampionship144.9
ArsenalPremier League94.9
Sutton UnitedNational League164.9

Referees who are the strictest

J RobinsonNational League57.20
J BrooksPremier League67.00
B TonerLeague Two56.80
C KavanaghPremier League66.67
S AttwellPremier League56.20
P BankesPremier League65.67
R RicardoChampionship65.50
S StockbridgeLeague One55.40
S MartinChampionship65.33
J RobinsonLeague Two55.20
H WagerNational League55.20
C PawsonPremier League55.00
J SmithChampionship84.88
J BeatonScottish Premiership74.86
D RobertsonScottish Premiership74.86

Yellow counts 1, red counts 2. From football-data.co.uk, referees who've handled five or more matches this season.

Player trends in the Premier League

Three goals by one scorer

  1. For Everton v Coventry, Barry Everton holds a 61% chance, with fair 4/6.
    Over 761 minutes, he scored 4 goals and posted 6.4 xG.
  2. Liverpool's Isak, Palace v Liverpool 46% · fair 6/5.
    Across 657 minutes, he scored 6 goals and recorded 4.3 xG.
  3. Haaland of Man City, Nottm Forest v Man City 44% · fair 5/4.
    In 799 minutes he scored 9 goals and posted 6.6 xG.

For a treble, the fair price is 7/1, while 12.2% is the chance of all three.

A card treble

  1. Spurs' Gallagher, Leeds v Spurs 60% · fair 4/6.
    Across 291 minutes, he picked up 3 yellows.
  2. J.Murphy Newcastle, Fulham v Newcastle 53% chance · fair 10/11.
    Over 343 minutes, he collected 3 yellows.
  3. Bournemouth's Christie, Ipswich v Bournemouth 53% · fair 10/11.
    3 yellow cards, 346 minutes played.

For the treble, the fair price is 5/1, with 16.8% to land all three.