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West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall prediction

West Bromwich Albion crestWest Brom
15:00Saturday 7 November
MillwallMillwall crest
1-0predicted score (10%)
52%both teams score
46%over 2.5 goals
1.28-1.23expected goals

Our breakdown

West Brom sit 5th in the Championship, with 25 points after 14 games. Millwall sit 13th on 18 from 14, which puts them 7 points behind.

In their last 6 matches, West Brom recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Millwall's last 6 matches brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 scored and 9 conceded.

So far this season, 71% of West Brom games saw both teams score and 43% went over 2.5 goals, while Millwall's figures are 50% and 79%. By expected goals, West Brom create 1.52 each game and allow 1.43. Millwall's figure is 1.88 created and 1.32 allowed.

Since August 2024, our results list 4 meetings between the sides. There were 0 wins for West Brom, 1 for Millwall and 3 draws. West Brom 0-0 Millwall was the outcome of their most recent meeting on Friday 10 April 2026.

The model rates a West Brom win as the likeliest outcome at 37%, with the draw on 28% and Millwall 35%. Those chances come from expected goals of West Brom at 1.28 and Millwall at 1.23.

We predict West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Millwall. At 13.6%, 1-1 stands as the one exact score with the highest chance. In the result we favour, 1-0 ranks first.

Match stats: West Brom v Millwall

Per gameWest Bromwich Albion crestWest BromMillwall crestMillwall
Games55
Goals scored a game2.001.40
Goals conceded a game1.201.80
Both teams scored100%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%80%
Clean sheets0%0%
Corners won / conceded6.6 / 5.27.2 / 3.8
Yellow cards a game1.63.0
xG for / against2.35 / 1.061.83 / 1.30

Fair prices for each market

Match resultWest Brom win37%7/4
Draw28%5/2
Millwall win35%15/8
Double chanceWest Brom or draw65%8/15
Millwall or draw63%4/7
Draw no betWest Brom52%10/11
Millwall48%21/20
Both teams to scoreYes52%10/11
No48%11/10
GoalsOver 1.572%2/5
Over 2.546%6/5
Under 2.554%5/6
Over 3.524%3/1
Result and BTTSWest Brom and yes17%5/1
Draw and yes20%4/1
Millwall and yes16%11/2
Result and goalsWest Brom and over 2.521%4/1
Millwall and over 2.519%4/1
West Brom and under 2.516%5/1
Millwall and under 2.515%11/2
Half time / full timeWest Brom / West Brom22%7/2
Millwall / Millwall20%4/1
Draw / Draw17%5/1
Draw / West Brom14%6/1
CornersOver 9.566%8/15
Over 10.555%4/5
CardsOver 3.551%evens
Over 4.534%2/1

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance. Our feed doesn't yet include UK bookmaker prices for this match. football-data.co.uk normally adds those prices two or three days before kick-off.

The line-ups we expect

West Bromwich Albion crestWest Brom 4-4-2

  1. O'Leary, Max.GK
  2. Pereira, Brayann.DEF
  3. Styles, Callum.DEF
  4. Molumby, Jayson.MID
  5. Mepham, Chris.DEF
  6. Campbell, George.DEF
  7. Nzingoula, Rabby.MID
  8. Diakite, Ousmane.MID
  9. Horn Myhre, Felix.FWD
  10. Morgan, Jimmy.FWD
  11. Price, Isaac.MID

Started against Southampton on Tue 3 Nov.

Millwall crestMillwall 4-4-2

  1. Crocombe, Max.GK
  2. Osei-Tutu, Jordi.DEF
  3. Sturge, Zak.DEF
  4. Neghli, Camiel.MID
  5. Taylor, Caleb.DEF
  6. Cooper, Jake.DEF
  7. Lisbie, Kyrell.MID
  8. Mazou-Sacko, Derek.MID
  9. Ivanovic, Mihailo.FWD
  10. Dykes, Lyndon.FWD
  11. Cundle, Luke.MID

Started on Tue 3 Nov at Birmingham.

For other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven who started their latest match. Once the teams are named, ESPN's confirmed line-ups take the place of these roughly one hour before kick-off.

Chances for each exact score

Each score's chance in %, with West Brom goals down the side and Millwall goals across
012345
08.99.26.12.50.80.2
19.613.67.93.21.00.2
26.78.25.02.10.60.2
32.83.52.20.90.30.1
40.91.10.70.30.10.0
50.20.30.20.10.00.0

Scoring times

161-157316-302331-454546-606161-756776-90

The figures cover West Brom, 16 games and Millwall, 17 games. This season's ESPN match events show the goals scored by minute.

Cards and corners

Form guide

West Bromwich Albion crestWest Bromwich Albion

West Brom form, last 6
Result
Tue 3 Novv Southampton1-1D
Sat 31 Octat West Ham3-1W
Sat 24 Octat Preston1-1D
Sat 17 Octv Blackburn3-2W
Tue 13 Octat Wrexham2-1W
Sat 10 Octv Birmingham0-1L

West Brom is listed first when you read the scores.

Millwall crestMillwall

Millwall form, last 6
Result
Tue 3 Novat Birmingham0-3L
Sat 31 Octv Derby4-1W
Sat 24 Octat Portsmouth1-2L
Sat 17 Octv Lincoln2-2D
Tue 13 Octv Swansea0-1L
Sat 10 Octat Preston1-0W

Millwall is listed first when you read the scores.

Head to head

Fri 10 Apr 2026ChampionshipWest Brom 0-0 Millwall0-012
Sat 4 Oct 2025ChampionshipMillwall 3-0 West Brom1-09
Sat 15 Feb 2025ChampionshipMillwall 1-1 West Brom1-17
Sat 5 Oct 2024ChampionshipWest Brom 0-0 Millwall0-07

Championship standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
3Stoke City crestStoke City14824+526
4Swansea City crestSwansea City14824+526
5West Bromwich Albion crestWest Bromwich Albion14743+525
6Southampton crestSouthampton14842+1524
7Wolverhampton Wanderers crestWolverhampton Wanderers13733+724
11Queens Park Rangers crestQueens Park Rangers14563+521
12Norwich City crestNorwich City14608+318
13Millwall crestMillwall14536-118
14Blackburn Rovers crestBlackburn Rovers14536-218
15Bristol City crestBristol City13535-218

ESPN provides the standings as of Wednesday 4 November.

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