football-tips.uk

Birmingham City vs Swansea City prediction

Birmingham City crestBirmingham
15:00Saturday 7 November
SwanseaSwansea City crest
1-0predicted score (10%)
54%both teams score
50%over 2.5 goals
1.52-1.14expected goals

Analysis from us

Birmingham, 2nd in the Championship, have 26 points from 14 games. Swansea sit 4th on 26 from 14, 0 points behind Birmingham.

Across their last 6, Birmingham took 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 14 scored and 2 conceded. From their last 6, Swansea recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 10.

Birmingham games this season saw both teams score in 57% of cases and go past 2.5 goals in 71%. Swansea sits at 43% and 64%. Birmingham's expected goals stand at 1.70 created a game and 1.40 allowed. Swansea are on 1.65 created and 1.29 allowed.

Since August 2024, our results show 2 meetings: 1 Birmingham win, 0 Swansea wins and 1 draw. Their most recent meeting, on Saturday 17 January 2026, ended as Swansea 1-1 Birmingham.

Our model rates a Birmingham win as the likeliest outcome at 45% (the draw 27%, Swansea 28%). It works from Birmingham's 1.52 expected goals and Swansea's 1.14.

Our prediction is Birmingham City 1-0 Swansea City. Most likely of all is 1-1, at 12.8%. Inside the result we lean to, 1-0 tops the list.

Stats for Birmingham v Swansea

Per gameBirmingham City crestBirminghamSwansea City crestSwansea
Games55
Goals scored a game2.601.20
Goals conceded a game0.401.80
Both teams scored20%20%
Over 2.5 goals80%60%
Clean sheets60%40%
Corners won / conceded3.6 / 3.04.2 / 5.4
Yellow cards a game1.61.0
xG for / against1.59 / 1.521.67 / 1.60

Fair prices for each market

Match resultBirmingham win45%6/5
Draw27%11/4
Swansea win28%5/2
Double chanceBirmingham or draw72%2/5
Swansea or draw55%5/6
Draw no betBirmingham62%8/13
Swansea38%13/8
Both teams to scoreYes54%5/6
No46%6/5
GoalsOver 1.575%1/3
Over 2.550%evens
Under 2.550%evens
Over 3.528%5/2
Result and BTTSBirmingham and yes21%4/1
Draw and yes19%4/1
Swansea and yes14%13/2
Result and goalsBirmingham and over 2.527%11/4
Swansea and over 2.516%5/1
Birmingham and under 2.518%9/2
Swansea and under 2.512%15/2
Half time / full timeBirmingham / Birmingham27%11/4
Swansea / Swansea16%5/1
Draw / Birmingham16%11/2
Draw / Draw15%11/2
CornersOver 9.548%11/10
Over 10.537%7/4
CardsOver 3.545%6/5
Over 4.529%5/2

We get a fair price by dividing 1 by our chance. The match's UK bookmaker prices haven't reached our feed yet. football-data.co.uk normally lists them two or three days ahead of kick-off.

The line-ups we predict

Birmingham City crestBirmingham 4-2-3-1

  1. Allsop, Ryan.GK
  2. Laird, Ethan.DEF
  3. Cochrane, Alex.DEF
  4. Solís, Jhon.MID
  5. Neumann, Phil.DEF
  6. Klarer, Christoph.DEF
  7. Roberts, Patrick.MID
  8. Iwata, Tomoki.MID
  9. Bird, Max.FWD
  10. Stansfield, Jay.MID
  11. Millar, Liam.MID

They started the match on Tue 3 Nov against Millwall.

Swansea City crestSwansea 4-3-3

  1. Vigouroux, Lawrence.GK
  2. Lissah, Filip.DEF
  3. Tymon, Josh.DEF
  4. Fulton, Jay.MID
  5. Seelt, Jenson.DEF
  6. Welsh, Stephen.DEF
  7. Franco, Gonçalo.MID
  8. Stamenic, Marko.MID
  9. Idah, Adam.FWD
  10. Opoku, Joseph.FWD
  11. Widell, Melker.FWD

They started the match on Tue 3 Nov away at Portsmouth.

Other clubs: the starting eleven from their most recent match, as listed by ESPN. Once the sides are named, which happens about an hour before kick-off, ESPN's confirmed teams replace these line-ups.

Chances for exact scores

Each score's chance in %, with Birmingham goals listed down the side and Swansea goals across
012345
07.77.24.61.70.50.1
19.912.86.92.60.80.2
28.09.25.32.00.60.1
34.14.72.71.00.30.1
41.61.81.00.40.10.0
50.50.50.30.10.00.0

Scoring times

241-156216-306431-457646-604261-753376-90

Birmingham, 16 games and Swansea, 15 games. This season's goals scored by minute come from ESPN match events.

Cards and corners

Form guide

Birmingham City crestBirmingham City

Birmingham's last 6
Result
Tue 3 Novv Millwall3-0W
Sat 31 Octat Lincoln3-1W
Sat 24 Octat Cardiff0-1L
Sat 17 Octv QPR3-0W
Tue 13 Octv Preston4-0W
Sat 10 Octat West Brom1-0W

Birmingham's score appears first.

Swansea City crestSwansea City

Swansea's last 6
Result
Tue 3 Novat Portsmouth1-3L
Sat 31 Octv Blackburn4-0W
Sat 24 Octat QPR0-5L
Sat 17 Octv West Ham0-1L
Tue 13 Octat Millwall1-0W
Sat 10 Octv Norwich2-1W

Swansea's score appears first.

Head to head

DateCompetitionResultHalf timeCorners
Sat 17 Jan 2026ChampionshipSwansea 1-1 Birmingham1-010
Sat 20 Sep 2025ChampionshipBirmingham 1-0 Swansea0-09

Championship standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
1Middlesbrough crestMiddlesbrough13841+1328
2Birmingham City crestBirmingham City14752+1326
3Stoke City crestStoke City14824+526
4Swansea City crestSwansea City14824+526
5West Bromwich Albion crestWest Bromwich Albion14743+525
6Southampton crestSouthampton14842+1524

ESPN provided the standings as of Wednesday 4 November.

Additional Championship predictions