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Preston North End vs Southampton prediction

Preston North End crestPreston
15:00Saturday 7 November
SouthamptonSouthampton crest
1-2predicted score (10%)
60%both teams score
60%over 2.5 goals
1.19-1.90expected goals

What we make of it

Preston have taken 5 points from 14 Championship games and sit 24th. Southampton occupy 6th place on 24 points from 14 games, 19 ahead of Preston.

Across their last 6, Preston won 0 games, drew 1 and lost 5, with 4 goals scored and 15 conceded. Southampton took 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6, scoring 10 and conceding 4.

So far this season, 64% of Preston games saw both teams score and 64% went over 2.5 goals; Southampton's figures are 79% and 57%. Preston generate 1.14 expected goals per game and give up 1.57, while Southampton generate 1.70 and give up 1.34.

Since August 2024 our results show 2 meetings: Preston took 1 win, Southampton took 1 and 0 ended level. Their most recent meeting, on Saturday 2 May 2026, ended Preston 1-3 Southampton.

A Southampton win comes out likeliest in the model at 53%, ahead of Preston 23% and the draw 24%. The expected goals behind it are 1.19 for Preston, with 1.90 for Southampton.

We predict Preston North End 1-2 Southampton. One exact score stands out above the rest: 1-1 at 10.9%. Within the outcome we lean to, 1-2 is the likeliest score.

Stats for Preston v Southampton

Per gamePreston North End crestPrestonSouthampton crestSouthampton
Games55
Goals scored a game0.801.80
Goals conceded a game2.800.80
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%
Clean sheets0%40%
Corners won / conceded4.2 / 7.05.6 / 5.6
Yellow cards a game2.21.4
xG for / against0.82 / 2.031.73 / 1.47

Fair prices for each market

Match resultPreston win23%10/3
Draw24%10/3
Southampton win53%10/11
Double chancePreston or draw47%11/10
Southampton or draw77%3/10
Draw no betPreston30%9/4
Southampton70%4/9
Both teams to scoreYes60%4/6
No40%6/4
GoalsOver 1.582%2/9
Over 2.560%4/6
Under 2.540%6/4
Over 3.537%13/8
Result and BTTSPreston and yes13%13/2
Draw and yes18%9/2
Southampton and yes28%5/2
Result and goalsPreston and over 2.515%11/2
Southampton and over 2.537%7/4
Preston and under 2.58%12/1
Southampton and under 2.516%5/1
Half time / full timeSouthampton / Southampton34%2/1
Draw / Southampton17%5/1
Preston / Preston13%13/2
Draw / Draw12%7/1
CornersOver 9.561%8/13
Over 10.551%evens
CardsOver 3.548%11/10
Over 4.532%9/4

Divide 1 by our chance to get a fair price. football-data.co.uk usually adds UK bookmaker prices for this match two or three days before kick-off, but our feed doesn't have them yet.

Our expected line-ups

Preston North End crestPreston 3-4-1-2

  1. Iversen, Daniel.GK
  2. Mills, Stanley.MID
  3. Vukcevic, Andrija.MID
  4. Hughes, Andrew.DEF
  5. Storey, Jordan.DEF
  6. Offiah, Odeluga.DEF
  7. Leroy, Leo.MID
  8. Thompson, Jordan.MID
  9. Moran, Andy.MID
  10. Kenny, Johnny.FWD
  11. Erabi, Jusef.FWD

Started Tue 3 Nov, in the game v Sheff Utd.

Southampton crestSouthampton 4-2-3-1

  1. Peretz, Daniel.GK
  2. Bree, James.DEF
  3. Manning, Ryan.DEF
  4. Downes, Flynn.MID
  5. Stephens, Jack.DEF
  6. Schlotterbeck, Keven.DEF
  7. Matsuki, Kuryu.MID
  8. Ward-Prowse, James.MID
  9. Mubama, Divin.FWD
  10. Azaz, Finn.MID
  11. Edozie, Samuel.MID

Started on Tue 3 Nov, at West Brom.

For the other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven who started their most recent match. ESPN's confirmed teams take the place of these once they are named, roughly an hour before kick-off.

Chances for each exact score

Chance of every score in %, with Preston goals down the side and Southampton goals across
012345
05.18.08.25.22.50.9
14.810.99.86.23.01.1
23.26.15.83.71.80.7
31.32.42.31.50.70.3
40.40.70.70.40.20.1
50.10.20.20.10.10.0

Scoring by minute

461-152216-301531-451746-600461-755876-90

The figures cover Preston, 16 games, and Southampton, 16 games. This season's goals by minute, taken from ESPN match events.

Corners plus cards

Latest form

Preston North End crestPreston North End

Preston, last 6
Result
Tue 3 Novv Sheffield United2-3L
Sat 31 Octat Stoke0-2L
Sat 24 Octv West Brom1-1D
Sat 17 Octat Wrexham1-4L
Tue 13 Octat Birmingham0-4L
Sat 10 Octv Millwall0-1L

Read the scores with Preston first.

Southampton crestSouthampton

Southampton, last 6
Result
Tue 3 Novat West Brom1-1D
Sat 31 Octv QPR4-1W
Sat 24 Octat West Ham3-2W
Sat 17 Octv Bolton0-0D
Wed 14 Octat Norwich1-0W
Sun 11 Octv Portsmouth1-0W

Read the scores with Southampton first.

Head to head

DateCompetitionResultHalf timeCorners
Sat 2 May 2026ChampionshipPreston 1-3 Southampton0-115
Sat 1 Nov 2025ChampionshipSouthampton 0-2 Preston0-110

The Championship table

PosClubPWDLGDPts
4Swansea City crestSwansea City14824+526
5West Bromwich Albion crestWest Bromwich Albion14743+525
6Southampton crestSouthampton14842+1524
7Wolverhampton Wanderers crestWolverhampton Wanderers13733+724
8West Ham United crestWest Ham United13643+1522
22Burnley crestBurnley14176-810
23Derby County crestDerby County14149-187
24Preston North End crestPreston North End141211-185

The table comes from ESPN and is as of Wednesday 4 November.

Other Championship predictions