Wrexham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction
Our breakdown
With 14 points from 13 games, Wrexham sit 19th in the Championship. 10 points ahead of Wrexham, Wolves sit 7th with 24 from 13.
Wrexham's last 6 show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 scored and 7 conceded. Wolves' last 6 show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 10 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 57% of Wrexham matches this season, while 43% had more than 2.5 goals. Wolves' figures are 64% and 64% respectively. Wrexham's expected goals stand at 1.14 created and 1.19 allowed each game; Wolves sit at 1.77 created and 0.91 allowed.
A Wolves win comes out likeliest at 41% in the model, ahead of Wrexham 31% and the draw 28%. The expected goals used are 1.14 for Wrexham and 1.35 for the away side.
Wrexham 0-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers is the predicted score. At 13.5%, 1-1 is the single likeliest exact score; within the result we lean to, 0-1 leads.
Stats for Wrexham v Wolves
| Per game |  Wrexham |  Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.6 / 5.0 | 6.8 / 2.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| xG for / against | 1.14 / 1.07 | 1.69 / 0.70 |
| Per game | Wrexham | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 64% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.9 / 4.3 | 6.6 / 3.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| xG for / against | 1.14 / 1.19 | 1.77 / 0.91 |
| Per game | Wrexham | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.14 | 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.7 / 3.9 | 5.9 / 4.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| xG for / against | 1.24 / 1.23 | 1.65 / 1.05 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Wrexham win | 31% | 9/4 |
| Draw | 28% | 5/2 | |
| Wolves win | 41% | 6/4 | |
| Double chance | Wrexham or draw | 59% | 4/6 |
| Wolves or draw | 69% | 4/9 | |
| Draw no bet | Wrexham | 43% | 11/8 |
| Wolves | 57% | 8/11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | evens |
| No | 49% | 21/20 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 72% | 2/5 |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 6/5 | |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 5/6 | |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 10/3 | |
| Result and BTTS | Wrexham and yes | 14% | 6/1 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Wolves and yes | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Result and goals | Wrexham and over 2.5 | 17% | 5/1 |
| Wolves and over 2.5 | 23% | 10/3 | |
| Wrexham and under 2.5 | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Wolves and under 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Half time / full time | Wolves / Wolves | 24% | 3/1 |
| Wrexham / Wrexham | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Draw / Wolves | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 50% | evens |
| Over 10.5 | 39% | 6/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 48% | 21/20 |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 9/4 |
A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance. Our feed doesn't yet include UK bookmaker prices for this match; football-data.co.uk usually shares them two or three days before the game begins.
Line-ups we predict
Wrexham 3-5-1-1
- Patterson, Anthony.GK
- Kaboré, Issa.MID
- Ekomie, Jacques.MID
- Doyle, Callum.DEF
- Worrall, Joe.DEF
- Cleworth, Max.DEF
- Dobson, George.MID
- Thomason, George.MID
- Moore, Kieffer.FWD
- O'Brien, Lewis.FWD
- Whiteman, Benjamin.MID
They started against Boro on Wed 4 Nov.
Wolves 4-2-3-1
- Sá, José.GK
- Trippier, Kieran.DEF
- Bueno, Hugo.DEF
- Munetsi, Marshall.MID
- Mosquera, Yerson.DEF
- Krejcí, Ladislav.DEF
- López, Fernando.MID
- AndréMID
- Armstrong, Adam.FWD
- Jean-Ricner BellegardeMID
- Said, Rafiki.MID
They started at Bristol City on Wed 4 Nov.
For other clubs, ESPN provides the eleven who started in their most recent game. Once the teams are named, ESPN's confirmed teams replace these about an hour before the game starts.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1 | 10.4 | 7.6 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 13.5 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 7.3 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Games covered: Wrexham, 15; Wolves, 17. This season's goals scored by minute come from ESPN match events.
Corners plus cards
- Corner forecast: league 10.4, with Wrexham 4.4, Wolves 5.3 and 9.8 overall.
- Expected yellow cards: 3.7, with the league figure at 3.7 too.
Form guide
Wrexham
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | v Middlesbrough | 2-0 | W |
| Fri 30 Oct | at Sheffield United | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Blackburn | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Preston | 4-1 | W |
| Tue 13 Oct | v West Brom | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Derby | 1-1 | D |
Wrexham comes first in the scores.
Wolverhampton Wanderers
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | at Bristol City | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 31 Oct | v Cardiff | 3-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Watford | 1-0 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Portsmouth | 1-1 | D |
| Fri 16 Oct | at Burnley | 2-1 | W |
| Tue 13 Oct | v Bolton | 1-3 | L |
Wolves comes first in the scores.
Championship table
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  West Bromwich Albion | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 25 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham United | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 17 |  Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 |  Cardiff City | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton Athletic | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
ESPN supplies the standings, current as of Wednesday 4 November.