Bristol City vs Norwich City prediction
Analysis from us
In the Championship, Bristol City sit 15th on 18 points from 13 games. Norwich City sit 12th with 18 points from 14 games, level on 0 points.
Of their last 6, Bristol City took 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. From their last 6, Norwich City have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 7.
So far this season, 57% of Bristol City matches saw both teams find the net and 50% had more than 2.5 goals. For Norwich City, the numbers read 64% and 79%. For expected goals, Bristol City generate 1.40 a game and concede 1.40; Norwich City generate 1.48 and concede 1.40.
Since August 2024 our results list 4 meetings: 3 won by Bristol City, 1 by Norwich City and 0 level. The most recent of those, Saturday 18 April 2026, ended Bristol City 2-4 Norwich.
Our model rates a Bristol City win as the likeliest outcome at 37%, with the draw at 26% and Norwich City 36%. It works from expected goals: 1.44 for Bristol City, 1.42 for Norwich City.
Score prediction: Bristol City 2-1 Norwich City. For exact scores, 1-1 is the single likeliest at 12.4%. Within the result we lean to, 2-1 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Bristol City v Norwich City
| Per game |  Bristol City |  Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.0 / 6.2 | 5.4 / 2.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| xG for / against | 1.47 / 1.24 | 1.32 / 1.19 |
| Per game | Bristol City | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.14 | 1.93 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.36 | 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 79% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 7% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.1 / 5.7 | 4.8 / 3.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| xG for / against | 1.40 / 1.40 | 1.48 / 1.40 |
| Per game | Bristol City | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.57 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.14 | 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 86% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.6 / 5.7 | 4.4 / 4.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| xG for / against | 1.07 / 1.37 | 1.67 / 1.36 |
| Per game | Bristol City | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.8 / 4.8 | 4.8 / 4.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Bristol City win | 37% | 13/8 |
| Draw | 26% | 11/4 | |
| Norwich City win | 36% | 7/4 | |
| Double chance | Bristol City or draw | 64% | 4/7 |
| Norwich City or draw | 63% | 8/13 | |
| Draw no bet | Bristol City | 51% | evens |
| Norwich City | 49% | 21/20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 8/11 |
| No | 41% | 11/8 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 79% | 2/7 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 5/6 | |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 6/5 | |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 2/1 | |
| Result and BTTS | Bristol City and yes | 20% | 4/1 |
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Norwich City and yes | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Result and goals | Bristol City and over 2.5 | 24% | 10/3 |
| Norwich City and over 2.5 | 23% | 10/3 | |
| Bristol City and under 2.5 | 14% | 13/2 | |
| Norwich City and under 2.5 | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Half time / full time | Bristol City / Bristol City | 22% | 7/2 |
| Norwich City / Norwich City | 22% | 7/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Draw / Bristol City | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 50% | evens |
| Over 10.5 | 39% | 6/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 52% | 10/11 |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 15/8 |
A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance. We don't have UK prices from bookmakers for this match in our feed yet. They normally appear on football-data.co.uk two or three days ahead of kick-off.
Line-ups we predict
Bristol City 4-2-3-1
- Collins, Bradley.GK
- Tanner, George.DEF
- Pring, Cameron.DEF
- Williams, Joe.MID
- McNally, Luke.DEF
- Eissat, Lisav.DEF
- Cardines, Rio.MID
- Knight, Jason.MID
- Tolaj, Lorent.FWD
- Bell, Sam.MID
- Twine, Scott.MID
Started Wed 4 Nov against Wolves.
Norwich City 4-2-3-1
- Grimshaw, Daniel.GK
- Stacey, Jack.DEF
- Yongwa, Darlin.DEF
- Wright, Jacob.MID
- McConville, Ruairi.DEF
- Harry DarlingDEF
- Brooks, Andre.MID
- Field, Sam.MID
- Kvistgaarden, Mathias.FWD
- Paris MaghomaMID
- Musaba, Anthony.MID
Started at Derby on Tue 3 Nov.
For the other clubs, the eleven who started their latest match come from ESPN. When ESPN names the teams, its confirmed line-ups replace these roughly an hour before kick-off.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 12.4 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.0 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
When the goals come
15 games for Bristol City; Norwich City, 17 games. This season's goal timings come from ESPN match events.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 9.8 in totalBristol City 3.9 and Norwich City 5.9 are the team figures, with 10.4 given for the league
- Yellow cards expected 3.9 (league 3.7).
Form guide
Bristol City
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | v Wolves | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Bolton | 3-2 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Stoke | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Sheffield United | 0-1 | L |
| Tue 13 Oct | v Blackburn | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Charlton | 1-1 | D |
Bristol City scores come first.
Norwich City
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Derby | 4-0 | W |
| Sat 31 Oct | v Watford | 3-2 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Charlton | 3-1 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Portsmouth | 0-1 | L |
| Wed 14 Oct | v Southampton | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Swansea | 1-2 | L |
Norwich City scores come first.
Head to head
| Sat 18 Apr 2026 | Championship | Bristol City 2-4 Norwich | 1-0 | 12 |
| Sat 18 Oct 2025 | Championship | Norwich 0-1 Bristol City | 0-0 | 12 |
| Fri 14 Mar 2025 | Championship | Bristol City 2-1 Norwich | 2-0 | 8 |
| Sat 9 Nov 2024 | Championship | Norwich 0-2 Bristol City | 0-1 | 6 |
Championship table
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Queens Park Rangers | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich City | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn Rovers | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Bolton Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 |  Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
ESPN provides the standings, as of Wednesday 4 November.