Blackburn Rovers vs West Ham United prediction
Analysis from us
Blackburn sit 14th in the Championship on 18 points from 14 games. West Ham sit 8th with 22 points from 13 games, 4 points ahead.
Blackburn's last 6 brought 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with 8 scored and 10 conceded. Across their last 6 matches, West Ham recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 14 and conceding 10.
This season, 71% of Blackburn matches featured goals from both teams, while 79% had more than 2.5 goals. West Ham recorded the same 71% and 79%. For West Ham, expected goals created are 2.07 per game and allowed are 1.26, while Blackburn's figures are 1.04 and 1.79.
Likeliest outcome in the model: a West Ham win at 57%, Blackburn 20% and the draw 23%, from 1.06 expected goals for Blackburn and 1.94 for West Ham.
Score prediction: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 West Ham United. Of all exact scores, 1-1 at 10.8% is the likeliest. Within the result we lean to, 1-2 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Blackburn v West Ham
| Per game |  Blackburn |  West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.8 / 6.6 | 7.8 / 5.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| xG for / against | 0.94 / 2.34 | 1.88 / 1.23 |
| Per game | Blackburn | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.43 | 2.57 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% | 79% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.9 / 5.6 | 6.9 / 4.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| xG for / against | 1.04 / 1.79 | 2.07 / 1.26 |
| Per game | Blackburn | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.71 | 2.57 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.0 / 5.4 | 7.1 / 4.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| xG for / against | 1.47 / 1.28 | 1.90 / 1.53 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Blackburn win | 20% | 4/1 |
| Draw | 23% | 10/3 | |
| West Ham win | 57% | 8/11 | |
| Double chance | Blackburn or draw | 43% | 11/8 |
| West Ham or draw | 80% | 1/4 | |
| Draw no bet | Blackburn | 25% | 3/1 |
| West Ham | 75% | 1/3 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 4/5 |
| No | 44% | 5/4 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 81% | 1/4 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 8/11 | |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 11/8 | |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 15/8 | |
| Result and BTTS | Blackburn and yes | 11% | 17/2 |
| Draw and yes | 17% | 9/2 | |
| West Ham and yes | 28% | 5/2 | |
| Result and goals | Blackburn and over 2.5 | 12% | 15/2 |
| West Ham and over 2.5 | 39% | 13/8 | |
| Blackburn and under 2.5 | 7% | 12/1 | |
| West Ham and under 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Half time / full time | West Ham / West Ham | 37% | 7/4 |
| Draw / West Ham | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 13% | 7/1 | |
| Blackburn / Blackburn | 11% | 8/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 61% | 4/6 |
| Over 10.5 | 50% | evens | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 54% | 5/6 |
| Over 4.5 | 37% | 7/4 |
A fair price is 1 divided by our chance. football-data.co.uk usually posts UK bookmaker prices for this match two or three days before kick-off, but they aren't in our feed yet.
The line-ups we predict
Blackburn 4-2-3-1
- Toth, Balazs.GK
- Alebiousu, Ryan.DEF
- Pickering, Harry.DEF
- Montgomery, Kristi.MID
- Hayden CarterDEF
- McLoughlin, Sean.DEF
- Fevrier, Jayden.MID
- Sam MorsyMID
- Gudjohnsen, Andri.FWD
- Cantwell, Todd.MID
- Afolayan, Oladapo.MID
Started against Stoke on Tue 3 Nov.
West Ham 4-4-1-1 formation.
- Hermansen, Mads.GK
- Veltman, Joël.DEF
- MoratoDEF
- Engels, Arne.MID
- Mavropanos, Konstantinos.DEF
- Kilman, Max.DEF
- Bowen, Jarrod.MID
- Magassa, Soungoutou.MID
- Castellanos, Valentín.FWD
- Mukasa, Divine.FWD
- Solomon, Manor.MID
They started Wed 4 Nov at Cardiff.
For other clubs, we list the eleven who started their most recent match, based on ESPN. Once ESPN confirms the teams, they replace these line-ups, roughly an hour before kick-off.
Chances for each exact score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 9.1 | 9.4 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 4.7 | 10.8 | 9.9 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 2.8 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring by minute
Blackburn, 16 games , and West Ham, 17 games. This season's ESPN match events show the goals scored by minute.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 10.8 (league 10.4), Blackburn 5.0, West Ham 5.8.
- Expected yellow cards: 4.0 (league 3.7).
Latest form
Blackburn Rovers
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | v Stoke | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Swansea | 0-4 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Wrexham | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | at West Brom | 2-3 | L |
| Tue 13 Oct | at Bristol City | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Cardiff | 2-1 | W |
Read the scores with Blackburn first.
West Ham United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | at Cardiff | 3-3 | D |
| Sat 31 Oct | v West Brom | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Southampton | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Swansea | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 14 Oct | at Lincoln | 6-0 | W |
| Fri 9 Oct | v QPR | 1-1 | D |
West Ham is listed first in the scores.
Championship standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham United | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Queens Park Rangers | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich City | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn Rovers | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Bolton Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
The table comes from ESPN and is as of Wednesday 4 November.