Derby County predictions
Derby County 23rd in the Championship table, with 7 points from 14 games (1 won, 4 drawn, 9 lost). Next up they host Bolton on Friday 6 November.
Page updated Thursday 5 November, 04:57. Match results cover up to Wednesday 4 November. UK prices are as of Thursday 5 November, 04:57.
The next match
Derby
- 49%Win for Derby.
- 25%A draw
- 26%A win for Bolton.
- 2-1Our predicted score
- 59%Both teams to score
- 58%More than 2.5 goals
We rate Derby to win at 49%, with a fair price of 21/20. Our feed has no UK bookmaker price for this match yet.
Derby match tips we've graded since 1 November 2025: 4 tips, 2 of them won (50%), for -0.1 points from a 1-point stake. Back-tested, then live from 4 Nov. Full record
Fixtures and predictions for Derby
| Kick-off | Competition | Opponent | Predicted | Our pick | Odds | Match page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 6 Nov 20:00 | Championship | H Bolton | 2-1 | Derby to win49% our chance | 21/20fair price | Preview |
Our feeds publish matches up to Saturday 14 November. The best UK price appears here only if football-data.co.uk lists one. Otherwise we publish our fair price, worked out as 1 divided by our chance.
Derby's stats this season
| Per game, this season | All (14) | Home (7) | Away (7) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored a game | 0.79 | 0.57 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.07 | 2.00 | 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Corners won a game | 5.5 | 6.3 | 4.7 |
| Corners conceded a game | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Cards a game | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| xG for a game | 0.98 | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| xG against a game | 1.95 | 1.85 | 2.04 |
Only Championship games count here, with 14 played by Tuesday 3 November. We include corners, cards and xG only where football-data.co.uk records them.
Derby's results
| Tue 3 Nov 2026 | Championship | H  Norwich City | 0-4 | L | 4 | 1 | Norwich City to win right |
| Sat 31 Oct 2026 | Championship | A  Millwall | 1-4 | L | 5 | 2 | Millwall to win right |
| Sat 24 Oct 2026 | Championship | A  Sheff Utd | 1-1 | D | 7 | 4 | |
| Sat 17 Oct 2026 | Championship | H  Stoke | 0-1 | L | 6 | 1 | |
| Wed 14 Oct 2026 | Championship | A  QPR | 1-4 | L | 3 | 3 | |
| Sat 10 Oct 2026 | Championship | H  Wrexham | 1-1 | D | 1 | 3 | |
| Sat 19 Sep 2026 | Championship | A  Burnley | 1-1 | D | 6 | 2 | |
| Sat 12 Sep 2026 | Championship | H  Birmingham | 1-2 | L | 10 | 1 | |
| Wed 9 Sep 2026 | Championship | H  West Brom | 0-1 | L | 11 | 0 | |
| Sat 5 Sep 2026 | Championship | A  West Ham | 0-3 | L | 6 | 2 | |
| Tue 1 Sep 2026 | Championship | A  Portsmouth | 2-0 | W | 2 | 2 | |
| Sat 29 Aug 2026 | Championship | H  Swansea | 0-3 | L | 5 | 3 |
Each score lists Derby first. The corners and yellow cards listed are Derby's own, and football-data.co.uk supplies them where it records them.
The Championship table
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton Athletic | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston North End | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
ESPN is the source of the standings, current at Wednesday 4 November 06:09. Championship predictions