Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town prediction
The analysis we provide
In the FA Cup, a League Two team faces a National League team. They are 1 division apart. The model puts both clubs on the same scale, using league games and earlier cup ties.
Across Chesterfield's last 6, the record was 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. They scored 13 and conceded 11. From Yeovil's last 6, there were 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. They scored 16 and conceded 6.
For Chesterfield this season, both teams scored in 71% of games and 57% went over 2.5 goals. Yeovil's figures were 69% and 62%.
A Chesterfield win tops the model's results at 72%. A draw stands at 17% and Yeovil 11%. Expected goals are 2.44 for Chesterfield and 0.86 for Yeovil.
Prediction: Chesterfield 2-0 Yeovil Town
Stats: Chesterfield v Yeovil
| Per game |  Chesterfield |  Yeovil |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.0 / 2.6 | 5.2 / 7.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| Per game | Chesterfield | Yeovil |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 16 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.71 | 2.19 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 25% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.9 / 2.8 | 4.8 / 5.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Per game | Chesterfield | Yeovil |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.29 | 1.88 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.29 | 1.12 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 25% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.4 / 3.1 | 3.9 / 5.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.7 | 2.2 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Chesterfield win | 72% | 2/5 |
| Draw | 17% | 9/2 | |
| Yeovil win | 11% | 17/2 | |
| Double chance | Chesterfield or draw | 89% | 2/17 |
| Yeovil or draw | 28% | 5/2 | |
| Draw no bet | Chesterfield | 87% | 2/13 |
| Yeovil | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 10/11 |
| No | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 85% | 2/11 |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 4/7 | |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 7/4 | |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 11/8 | |
| Result and BTTS | Chesterfield and yes | 34% | 2/1 |
| Draw and yes | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Yeovil and yes | 6% | 16/1 | |
| Result and goals | Chesterfield and over 2.5 | 52% | 10/11 |
| Yeovil and over 2.5 | 7% | 14/1 | |
| Chesterfield and under 2.5 | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Yeovil and under 2.5 | 4% | 25/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Chesterfield / Chesterfield | 49% | 21/20 |
| Draw / Chesterfield | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 9% | 10/1 | |
| Yeovil / Yeovil | 6% | 16/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 48% | 11/10 |
| Over 10.5 | 37% | 7/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 57% | 8/11 |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 6/4 |
To find a fair price, divide 1 by our chance. Our feed doesn't include prices from UK bookmakers for this match, and football-data.co.uk doesn't cover this competition.
Team line-up predictions
Chesterfield 4-2-3-1
- Hemming, Zachary.GK
- Hutton, Remeao.DEF
- Pearce, Tom.DEF
- McEachran, George.MID
- Pond, Alfie.DEF
- Simpson, Jack.DEF
- Kumar Markanday, Dilan.MID
- Naylor, Tom.MID
- Bryden, Fraser.FWD
- Mandeville, Liam.MID
- Koroma, Josh.MID
Started at Newport on Fri 30 Oct.
Yeovil 4-4-2
- Name: Josiah Alexander Barker.GK
- Kingdon, Jack.DEF
- Naylor, Sebastian.DEF
- Westbrooke, Zain.MID
- Muller, Hayden.DEF
- Gubbins, Joseph.DEF
- Jones, Ryan.MID
- Mcgavin, Brett.MID
- Powell, Johl.FWD
- Spasov, Slavi.FWD
- Daly, James.MID
Started at Halifax on Sat 31 Oct.
ESPN lists the eleven players who started each other club's latest match. The confirmed teams from ESPN replace these once named, roughly an hour before kick-off.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 11.0 | 9.4 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 9.0 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
When the goals come
Chesterfield, 15 games and Yeovil, 16 games. This season's ESPN match events show the goals scored by minute.
Corners plus cards
- Corners expected: 9.6 in total, Chesterfield 5.5, Yeovil 4.0; the league figure is 9.9.
- Yellow cards expected: 4.2(league 3.7)
Latest form
Chesterfield
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 30 Oct | at Newport County | 1-4 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Crewe | 5-1 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Colchester | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Port Vale | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Crawley Town | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Tranmere | 4-2 | W |
The scores show Chesterfield first.
Yeovil Town
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Halifax | 0-2 | L |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Hornchurch | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Altrincham | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Wealdstone | 6-0 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Boston Utd | 6-0 | W |
| Tue 29 Sep | v Worthing | 1-1 | D |
Here the scores show Yeovil first.