Boreham Wood vs Wigan Athletic prediction
The analysis we provide
In the FA Cup, a National League team meets a League One team, with 2 divisions between them. Both clubs are rated by the model on a single scale, which draws on league games and earlier cup ties.
Boreham Wood's last 6 gave them 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats, with 18 scored and 6 conceded. Wigan's last 6 read 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 6 scored and 9 against.
So far this season, 75% of Boreham Wood games saw both teams score and 88% went over 2.5 goals, while Wigan's figures are 36% and 50%.
The model rates a Wigan win likeliest at 40%, ahead of Boreham Wood 34% and the draw 26%. Expected goals sit at 1.43 for Boreham Wood and 1.55 for Wigan.
Boreham Wood 1-2 Wigan Athletic is the predicted score. At 11.9%, 1-1 is the most likely single exact score; inside the result we favour, 1-2 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Boreham Wood v Wigan
| Per game |  Boreham Wood |  Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.6 / 1.8 | 3.4 / 5.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| Per game | Boreham Wood | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.75 | 0.79 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.06 | 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 88% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 21% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.5 / 2.5 | 4.9 / 5.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Per game | Boreham Wood | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.12 | 0.57 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.38 | 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | 88% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 12% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.9 / 1.9 | 5.1 / 6.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 3.3 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Boreham Wood win | 34% | 15/8 |
| Draw | 26% | 3/1 | |
| Wigan win | 40% | 6/4 | |
| Double chance | Boreham Wood or draw | 60% | 4/6 |
| Wigan or draw | 66% | 8/15 | |
| Draw no bet | Boreham Wood | 46% | 6/5 |
| Wigan | 54% | 5/6 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 4/6 |
| No | 39% | 6/4 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 80% | 1/4 |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 8/11 | |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 11/8 | |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 15/8 | |
| Result and BTTS | Boreham Wood and yes | 19% | 9/2 |
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Wigan and yes | 22% | 7/2 | |
| Result and goals | Boreham Wood and over 2.5 | 23% | 7/2 |
| Wigan and over 2.5 | 27% | 11/4 | |
| Boreham Wood and under 2.5 | 12% | 15/2 | |
| Wigan and under 2.5 | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Half time / full time | Wigan / Wigan | 24% | 3/1 |
| Boreham Wood / Boreham Wood | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Draw / Wigan | 14% | 13/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 14% | 13/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 48% | 11/10 |
| Over 10.5 | 37% | 7/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 51% | evens |
| Over 4.5 | 34% | 2/1 |
A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance. We don't have UK bookmaker prices for this match in our feed, because football-data.co.uk doesn't cover this competition.
The line-ups we predict
Boreham Wood 4-2-3-1
- Curd, Ted.GK
- Golden, Tylor.DEF
- Bainbridge, Oliver.DEF
- White, Tom.MID
- O'Connell, Charlie.DEF
- Bush, Chris.DEF
- Cashman, Danny.MID
- Booty, Regan.MID
- Bird, Jay.FWD
- Brunt, Zak.MID
- Allarakhia, Tarryn.MID
They started against Hartlepool on Sat 31 Oct.
Wigan 3-4-2-1
- Whitworth, Joseph.GK
- Barrett, Connor.MID
- K'Marni MillerMID
- Burns, Finley.DEF
- Carragher, James.DEF
- Weir, Jensen.DEF
- Power, Max.MID
- Gray, Charlie.MID
- Hogan, Scott.FWD
- Burrowes, Bradley.FWD
- Walsh, Reggie.FWD
They started Tue 3 Nov v Mansfield.
For other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven who started in their most recent match. Once ESPN confirms the teams, they replace these line-ups, about an hour before kick-off.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 7.2 | 6.1 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 11.9 | 8.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 8.0 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
When each team scores
16 games for Boreham Wood; Wigan, 15 games. These are goals scored by minute, taken from ESPN match events this season.
Corners plus cards
- Corners expected: 9.6 in total, with Boreham Wood 5.7 and Wigan 3.9; the league figure is 10.0.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.8 (league 3.8).
Latest form
Boreham Wood
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Hartlepool | 4-3 | W |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Woking | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Fylde | 4-0 | W |
| Fri 9 Oct | at Sutton | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Altrincham | 3-1 | W |
| Tue 29 Sep | v Kidderminster | 3-1 | W |
In these scores, Boreham Wood comes first.
Wigan Athletic
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | v Mansfield | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 31 Oct | v Bromley | 3-2 | W |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Leicester | 0-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Huddersfield | 1-2 | L |
| Tue 20 Oct | at Oxford | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Reading | 1-0 | W |
In these score lines, Wigan comes first.