Cheltenham Town vs FC Halifax Town prediction
Our breakdown
One FA Cup game, and the sides sit in different leagues: a League Two team and a National League team, 1 division apart. League games and earlier cup ties feed the single scale that rates both clubs.
Cheltenham's last 6 brought 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 7 scored and 13 conceded. Halifax's last 6 brought 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 13 scored and 7 conceded.
In Cheltenham matches this season, both teams scored in 79%, while 71% finished with more than 2.5 goals. Halifax recorded 62% and 56% respectively.
The model gives a Cheltenham win the highest chance, 54%, from expected goals of Cheltenham 1.93 and Halifax 1.21. The draw is 23%, and Halifax 23%.
We predict Cheltenham Town 2-1 FC Halifax Town. Of all exact scores, 1-1 at 10.7% is the single likeliest. Inside the result we lean to, the likeliest score is 2-1.
Cheltenham and Halifax by the numbers
| Per game |  Cheltenham |  Halifax |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.0 / 3.8 | 5.2 / 4.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| Per game | Cheltenham | Halifax |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 16 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.64 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.79 | 1.25 |
| Both teams scored | 79% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 7% | 31% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.1 / 5.5 | 4.5 / 5.3 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Per game | Cheltenham | Halifax |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.6 / 5.7 | 3.3 / 4.7 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.7 | 1.4 |
Fair prices, market by market
| Match result | Cheltenham win | 54% | 5/6 |
| Draw | 23% | 10/3 | |
| Halifax win | 23% | 10/3 | |
| Double chance | Cheltenham or draw | 77% | 3/10 |
| Halifax or draw | 46% | 6/5 | |
| Draw no bet | Cheltenham | 70% | 4/9 |
| Halifax | 30% | 9/4 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 4/6 |
| No | 39% | 6/4 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 83% | 1/5 |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 4/6 | |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 6/4 | |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 13/8 | |
| Result and BTTS | Cheltenham and yes | 29% | 5/2 |
| Draw and yes | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Halifax and yes | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Result and goals | Cheltenham and over 2.5 | 38% | 13/8 |
| Halifax and over 2.5 | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Cheltenham and under 2.5 | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Halifax and under 2.5 | 8% | 12/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Cheltenham / Cheltenham | 34% | 15/8 |
| Draw / Cheltenham | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Halifax / Halifax | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 12% | 7/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 48% | 11/10 |
| Over 10.5 | 37% | 13/8 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 50% | evens |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 2/1 |
A fair price is 1 divided by our chance. Our feed has no UK bookmaker prices for this match (football-data.co.uk doesn't cover this competition).
Who we expect to start
Cheltenham 4-2-3-1
- Stanway, Wyll.GK
- Tomkinson, Jonathan.DEF
- Shipley, Jordan.DEF
- McWilliams, Shaun.MID
- Sweeney, Pierce.DEF
- Wilson, James.DEF
- Evans, Jake.MID
- Stevenson, Ben.MID
- Weimann, Andreas.FWD
- Mccann, Charlie.MID
- Broom, Ryan.MID
They began the match Sat 31 Oct, at Tranmere.
Halifax 4-4-2
- Grant, True.GK
- Houghton, Lucas.DEF
- Hill, Deniche.DEF
- Johnson, Cody.MID
- Flint, Will.DEF
- Hobson, Shaun.DEF
- Douglas, Connor.MID
- Hugill, Will.MID
- Carty, Conor.FWD
- Mcdermott, Tommy.FWD
- Tollitt, Ben.MID
Started Sat 31 Oct against Yeovil.
Elsewhere, ESPN supplies the eleven who started each side's most recent game. ESPN's confirmed teams take over from these about an hour before kick-off, once they are named.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.8 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 9.8 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.2 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Cheltenham, 15 games and Halifax, 16 games. This season's ESPN match events show goals scored by minute.
Corners plus cards
- 9.6corners expected, with Cheltenham 5.0 and Halifax 4.7 (league 9.9).
- Yellow cards expected: 3.8(league 3.7)
Latest form
Cheltenham Town
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Tranmere | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Newport County | 1-0 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Fleetwood Town | 4-2 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Oldham | 1-4 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Salford | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Accrington | 0-2 | L |
For scores, Cheltenham comes first.
FC Halifax Town
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Yeovil | 2-0 | W |
| Tue 27 Oct | v Barrow | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Southend | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Gateshead | 4-1 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Solihull | 2-0 | W |
| Tue 29 Sep | v Boston Utd | 1-1 | D |
The score lists Halifax first.