Bromley vs Rotherham United prediction
The analysis we provide
This FA Cup tie pits a League One side against a League Two side, 1 division apart. Both clubs are rated by the model on one scale built from league matches and past cup ties
Bromley's last 6 games brought 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats, with 5 scored and 15 conceded. Across their last 6, Rotherham recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 14.
This season 62% of Bromley games saw both teams score and 62% went over 2.5 goals, while the Rotherham figures are 71% and 57%. Expected goals show Bromley creating 0.82 a game and allowing 1.93, with Rotherham creating 1.29 and allowing 1.37.
Based on expected goals of Bromley 1.65 and Rotherham 1.11, the model puts a Bromley win as the likeliest result at 49%. The draw is 26% and Rotherham 25%.
We predict Bromley 1-0 Rotherham United. A 1-1 draw has the highest single exact score chance, 12.3%. Within the result we lean to, 1-0 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Bromley v Rotherham
| Per game |  Bromley |  Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.8 / 7.2 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| xG for / against | 0.77 / 1.96 | 1.05 / 1.70 |
| Per game | Bromley | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.54 | 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 8% | 7% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.3 / 7.2 | 3.4 / 5.1 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| xG for / against | 0.82 / 1.93 | 1.29 / 1.37 |
| Per game | Bromley | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.33 | 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.0 / 6.7 | 3.7 / 6.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| xG for / against | 0.52 / 1.63 | 1.11 / 1.15 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Bromley win | 49% | 21/20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3/1 | |
| Rotherham win | 25% | 3/1 | |
| Double chance | Bromley or draw | 75% | 1/3 |
| Rotherham or draw | 51% | evens | |
| Draw no bet | Bromley | 66% | 1/2 |
| Rotherham | 34% | 2/1 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 5/6 |
| No | 45% | 6/5 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 77% | 3/10 |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 10/11 | |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 11/10 | |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 9/4 | |
| Result and BTTS | Bromley and yes | 23% | 10/3 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Rotherham and yes | 13% | 7/1 | |
| Result and goals | Bromley and over 2.5 | 31% | 9/4 |
| Rotherham and over 2.5 | 15% | 6/1 | |
| Bromley and under 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Rotherham and under 2.5 | 10% | 9/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Bromley / Bromley | 30% | 9/4 |
| Draw / Bromley | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 15% | 6/1 | |
| Rotherham / Rotherham | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 49% | 21/20 |
| Over 10.5 | 38% | 13/8 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 51% | evens |
| Over 4.5 | 34% | 2/1 |
A fair price is 1 divided by our chance. football-data.co.uk doesn't cover this competition, so our feed has no UK bookmaker prices for the match.
Line-ups we predict
Bromley 4-1-4-1
- Grant SmithGK
- Ifill, Markus.DEF
- Pinnock, Mitchell.DEF
- Saville, George.MID
- Jackson, Adam.DEF
- Grant, Kamarl.DEF
- Jones, Jodi.MID
- Hondermarck, William.MID
- Cheek, Michael.FWD
- Whitely, Corey.MID
- Miller, Mickel.MID
They started Sat 31 Oct at Wigan.
Rotherham 4-3-3
- Eyestone, Julian.GK
- Rafferty, Joseph.DEF
- Ngwenya, Kieran.DEF
- Fitzgerald, Jayce.MID
- Hall, Denzel.DEF
- Iorfa, Dominic.DEF
- Cover, Brandon.MID
- Austerfield, Joshua.MID
- Mullin, Paul.FWD
- Nemane, Aaron.FWD
- Buyabu, Jili.FWD
They started Sat 31 Oct at Swindon.
For other clubs, the eleven who started in their most recent match come from ESPN. Once the teams are named, ESPN's confirmed line-ups replace these about an hour before kick-off
Chances for the correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.7 | 12.3 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 9.6 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Bromley, 14 games and Rotherham, 15 games. This season, goals by minute come from ESPN match events.
Corners plus cards
- Corners expected: 9.7 in all, with Bromley 5.0 and Rotherham 4.8, against a league figure of 10.4.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.8, with the league on 3.7
Latest form
Bromley
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Wigan | 2-3 | L |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Milton Keynes Dons | 1-4 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Peterborough | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Leicester | 0-4 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Stockport | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Mansfield | 1-2 | L |
Bromley is listed first in the scores.
Rotherham United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Swindon | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Shrewsbury | 3-3 | D |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Newport County | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Fleetwood Town | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Gillingham | 1-4 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Exeter | 0-1 | L |
Rotherham is listed first in the scores.