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Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

Ipswich Town crestIpswich
14:00Sunday 8 November
BournemouthAFC Bournemouth crest
1-2predicted score (10%)
62%both teams score
63%over 2.5 goals
1.23-2.03expected goals

Analysis from us

In the Premier League table, Ipswich sit 14th, with 11 points from 9 games played. Bournemouth sit 8th on 12 from 9 games, 1 point ahead.

In their last 6 matches, Ipswich took 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and letting in 12. Bournemouth's last 6 brought 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, with 11 goals scored and 6 conceded.

This season, in 78% of Ipswich games both teams scored, and 67% finished above 2.5 goals, while Bournemouth's figures are 56% and 56% respectively. Expected goals a game: Ipswich produce 1.34 and concede 1.91, while Bournemouth produce 1.75 and concede 1.12.

Our results record 2 meetings since August 2024, with 1 win for Ipswich, 1 for Bournemouth and 0 ending level. The most recent one, played on Wednesday 2 April 2025, ended Bournemouth 1-2 Ipswich.

Scott, a regular starter this season, is expected to be missing for Bournemouth.

The likeliest result our model finds is a Bournemouth win at 55%, with Ipswich 22% and the draw 22%, based on expected goals: 1.23 for Ipswich, 2.03 for Bournemouth.

Our predicted score is Ipswich Town 1-2 AFC Bournemouth. One exact score stands above the rest: 1-1 at 10.1%. Inside the outcome we lean toward, 1-2 is the likeliest score.

Ipswich v Bournemouth match stats

Per gameIpswich Town crestIpswichAFC Bournemouth crestBournemouth
Games55
Goals scored a game1.402.20
Goals conceded a game1.601.00
Both teams scored80%20%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Clean sheets0%80%
Corners won / conceded2.4 / 4.45.0 / 3.2
Yellow cards a game2.02.5
xG for / against1.15 / 2.132.26 / 0.76

Our fair prices, market by market

Match resultIpswich win22%7/2
Draw22%7/2
Bournemouth win55%4/5
Double chanceIpswich or draw45%5/4
Bournemouth or draw78%2/7
Draw no betIpswich29%5/2
Bournemouth71%2/5
Both teams to scoreYes62%8/13
No38%13/8
GoalsOver 1.584%2/11
Over 2.563%4/7
Under 2.537%7/4
Over 3.541%11/8
Result and BTTSIpswich and yes14%13/2
Draw and yes18%9/2
Bournemouth and yes31%9/4
Result and goalsIpswich and over 2.515%11/2
Bournemouth and over 2.540%6/4
Ipswich and under 2.57%14/1
Bournemouth and under 2.515%11/2
Half time / full timeBournemouth / Bournemouth35%15/8
Draw / Bournemouth17%5/1
Ipswich / Ipswich13%7/1
Draw / Draw12%15/2
CornersOver 9.546%6/5
Over 10.536%7/4
CardsOver 3.556%4/5
Over 4.539%6/4

We work out a fair price as 1 divided by our chance. Our feed doesn't have UK bookmaker prices for this match yet; football-data.co.uk generally posts those prices two or three days before kick-off.

Line-ups we expect

Ipswich Town crestIpswich 4-2-3-1

  1. Walton, Christian.GK
  2. Ouattara, Abdoul.DEF
  3. Davis, Leif.DEF
  4. Palacios, Exequiel.MID
  5. O'Shea, Dara.DEF
  6. Diop, Issa.DEF
  7. Issahaku, Fatawu.MID
  8. FlorentinoMID
  9. EmersonnFWD
  10. Enciso, Julio.MID
  11. Philogene, Jaden.MID

They started Sat 31 Oct at Hull.

AFC Bournemouth crestBournemouth 4-2-3-1

  1. PetrovićGK · 9 starts
  2. HillDEF · 9 starts
  3. SilvaDEF · 9 starts
  4. TruffertDEF · 9 starts
  5. SmithDEF · 9 starts
  6. RayanMID · 9 starts
  7. TavernierMID · 9 starts
  8. AdamsMID · 7 starts
  9. KluivertMID · 6 starts
  10. CookMID · 4 starts
  11. EvanilsonFWD · 9 starts

Scott is out or doubtful with a Thigh injury.

For Premier League clubs, we show each player's starts this season plus the availability flags from the Fantasy Premier League; for other clubs, ESPN gives the eleven who started their latest match. Once the teams are named, ESPN's confirmed teams replace these about an hour ahead of kick-off.

Chances for exact scores

Each score's chance in %, with Ipswich goals down the side and Bournemouth goals across
012345
04.47.27.95.32.71.1
14.110.19.76.63.31.4
22.95.96.04.12.10.8
31.22.42.51.70.80.3
40.40.70.80.50.30.1
50.10.20.20.10.10.0

Scoring by minute

041-155116-302631-450446-604361-758376-90

Ipswich, 11 games For Bournemouth, 11 games. This season's goals scored by minute, based on ESPN match events.

Cards and corners

Latest form

Ipswich Town crestIpswich Town

Ipswich's last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octat Hull2-2D
Fri 23 Octv Nott'm Forest1-1D
Sat 17 Octat Man City2-3L
Sat 10 Octv Fulham2-1W
Sat 19 Sepat Everton0-1L
Tue 15 Sepv Arsenal2-4L

Each score lists Ipswich first.

AFC Bournemouth crestAFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth's last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octv Leeds2-0W
Wed 28 Octv Aston Villa3-0W
Sun 25 Octat Man United3-0W
Sun 18 Octv Sunderland2-0W
Sat 10 Octat Chelsea1-5L
Sun 20 Sepv Liverpool0-1L

Each score lists Bournemouth first.

Head to head

DateCompetitionResultHalf timeCorners
Wed 2 Apr 2025Premier LeagueBournemouth 1-2 Ipswich0-111
Sun 8 Dec 2024Premier LeagueIpswich 1-2 Bournemouth1-019

Premier League standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
6Brentford crestBrentford9351+714
7Everton crestEverton9342+013
8AFC Bournemouth crestAFC Bournemouth9333+112
9Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur9333+012
10Aston Villa crestAston Villa9333-312
11Hull City crestHull City9252+111
12Leeds United crestLeeds United9252+111
13Newcastle United crestNewcastle United9324-311
14Ipswich Town crestIpswich Town9324-411
15Fulham crestFulham9234-29
16Coventry City crestCoventry City9306-79

ESPN provided the standings as of Wednesday 4 November.

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