Aberdeen vs Hibernian prediction
Our breakdown
Aberdeen hold 10th place in the Scottish Premiership. They've collected 11 points from 11 games. Hibernian sit 12th in the standings, 3 points behind. They've taken 8 points from 11 games.
Aberdeen's last 6 matches brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. They scored 10 and conceded 7. Their last 6 games brought Hibernian 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. They scored 4 and conceded 8.
This season, 36% of Aberdeen matches saw both sides score, and 45% had more than 2.5 goals. For Hibernian, the rates were 82% and 64%. Per game, Aberdeen generate 1.25 expected goals and concede 1.47. Hibernian create 1.54 on average but allow 1.47.
Our results list 8 meetings since August 2024: 2 wins for Aberdeen, 4 for Hibernian and 2 draws. Hibernian 1-1 Aberdeen was the score on Saturday 19 September 2026 in their most recent meeting.
The model gives a Hibernian win the highest chance at 41%, with Aberdeen 31% and the draw 29%. It calculates these from expected goals: Aberdeen at 1.13 and Hibernian at 1.33.
We predict Aberdeen 0-1 Hibernian. A 1-1 draw has the highest chance of any exact score, at 13.6%. Within the result we lean toward, 0-1 is the likeliest score.
Stats: Aberdeen v Hibernian
| Per game |  Aberdeen |  Hibernian |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 7.4 / 4.2 | 4.4 / 5.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| xG for / against | 1.50 / 1.22 | 1.22 / 1.22 |
| Per game | Aberdeen | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 11 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.09 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.27 | 1.55 |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 64% |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.8 / 5.9 | 6.3 / 5.3 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| xG for / against | 1.25 / 1.47 | 1.54 / 1.47 |
| Per game | Aberdeen | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.83 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.83 | 1.20 |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.0 / 5.2 | 4.8 / 4.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| xG for / against | 1.53 / 1.29 | 1.60 / 1.74 |
| Per game | Aberdeen | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.12 | 1.62 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.62 | 1.12 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 25% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.5 / 4.8 | 4.8 / 6.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| xG for / against | 0.77 / 1.43 | 1.43 / 0.77 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Aberdeen win | 31% | 9/4 |
| Draw | 29% | 5/2 | |
| Hibernian win | 41% | 6/4 | |
| Double chance | Aberdeen or draw | 59% | 4/6 |
| Hibernian or draw | 69% | 4/9 | |
| Draw no bet | Aberdeen | 43% | 11/8 |
| Hibernian | 57% | 8/11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | evens |
| No | 49% | evens | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 71% | 2/5 |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 5/4 | |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 4/5 | |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 10/3 | |
| Result and BTTS | Aberdeen and yes | 14% | 13/2 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Hibernian and yes | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Result and goals | Aberdeen and over 2.5 | 17% | 5/1 |
| Hibernian and over 2.5 | 22% | 7/2 | |
| Aberdeen and under 2.5 | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Hibernian and under 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Half time / full time | Hibernian / Hibernian | 25% | 3/1 |
| Aberdeen / Aberdeen | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Draw / Hibernian | 15% | 6/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 61% | 8/13 |
| Over 10.5 | 50% | evens | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 54% | 5/6 |
| Over 4.5 | 37% | 13/8 |
To get a fair price, divide 1 by our chance. Our feed doesn't have this match's UK bookmaker prices yet. football-data.co.uk usually posts those prices two or three days ahead of kick-off.
Expected line-ups
Aberdeen 4-2-3-1
- Müller, Marius.GK
- Cadden, Christopher.DEF
- Guinness-Walker, Nesta.DEF
- Afeez, Aremu.MID
- Molloy, Gavin.DEF
- Happe, Daniel.DEF
- Smith, Lewis.MID
- Lyons, Brad.MID
- Mouloua, Ayoub.FWD
- Nisbet, Kevin.MID
- Armstrong, Stuart.MID
They started on Wed 28 Oct in a match against Falkirk.
Hibernian 4-2-3-1
- Sallinger, Raphael.GK
- Passlack, Felix.DEF
- Major, Adam.DEF
- Newell, Joe.MID
- Kerr, Jason.DEF
- Ivezic, Marko.DEF
- McGrath, Jamie.MID
- Chaiwa, Miguel.MID
- Elding, Owen.FWD
- Mulligan, Josh.MID
- Cadden, Nicky.MID
They started on Wed 28 Oct in a match at St Mirren.
For other clubs, we list the eleven who started their most recent match, as reported by ESPN. Once ESPN confirms the teams, they replace these line-ups, about an hour before kick-off.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 10.6 | 7.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 13.6 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
For Aberdeen, 11 games. For Hibernian, 11 games. This season's goals by minute, taken from ESPN match events.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 10.8 in total, with Aberdeen 5.4 and Hibernian 5.4; the league figure is 10.3.
- Yellow cards expected: 4.0 (league 3.9).
Form in recent matches
Aberdeen
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 Oct | v Falkirk | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Dundee United | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v St Mirren | 3-1 | W |
| Sun 11 Oct | v St Johnstone | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 19 Sep | at Hibernian | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 15 Sep | at Motherwell | 4-0 | W |
Aberdeen is listed first in the scores.
Hibernian
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 Oct | at St Mirren | 1-1 | D |
| Sun 25 Oct | v Celtic | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Falkirk | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Dundee United | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 19 Sep | v Aberdeen | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 15 Sep | v Kilmarnock | 0-1 | L |
Hibernian comes first in the scores.
Head to head
| Sat 19 Sep 2026 | Scottish Prem | Hibernian 1-1 Aberdeen | 0-1 | 15 |
| Sat 11 Apr 2026 | Scottish Prem | Aberdeen 2-0 Hibernian | 1-0 | 6 |
| Tue 30 Dec 2025 | Scottish Prem | Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen | 0-0 | 9 |
| Sun 26 Oct 2025 | Scottish Prem | Aberdeen 1-2 Hibernian | 0-1 | 9 |
| Sat 26 Apr 2025 | Scottish Prem | Aberdeen 1-0 Hibernian | 0-0 | 15 |
| Sat 1 Feb 2025 | Scottish Prem | Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen | 1-0 | 10 |
| Sat 21 Dec 2024 | Scottish Prem | Aberdeen 1-3 Hibernian | 1-2 | 11 |
| Tue 26 Nov 2024 | Scottish Prem | Hibernian 3-3 Aberdeen | 1-0 | 15 |
Scottish Premiership standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |  St Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
The table comes from ESPN and is current as of Wednesday 4 November.