football-tips.uk

St Johnstone vs Dundee prediction

St Johnstone crestSt Johnstone
15:00Saturday 7 November
DundeeDundee crest
2-1predicted score (9%)
58%both teams score
54%over 2.5 goals
1.49-1.33expected goals

Analysis from us

In the Scottish Premiership, St Johnstone sit 7th on 14 points from 12 games. Dundee sit 5th on 17 points from 11 games, 3 points ahead.

Across their last 6 matches, St Johnstone recorded 1 win, 4 draws and 1 defeat, with 7 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last 6, Dundee recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 9.

This season, 67% of St Johnstone matches saw both sides score and 50% finished over 2.5 goals. Dundee's figures are 73% and 64%. Expected goals per game: St Johnstone create 1.18 and allow 1.87; Dundee's figures are 1.44 and 1.66.

Our results list 5 meetings since August 2024: 1 St Johnstone win, 2 Dundee wins and 2 draws. The most recent meeting, on Wednesday 2 September 2026, ended Dundee 1-1 St Johnstone.

The model expects 1.49 goals from St Johnstone and 1.33 from Dundee. On those expected goals, a St Johnstone win is the likeliest result at 40%, with the draw 27% and Dundee 33%.

Our predicted score is St Johnstone 2-1 Dundee. The likeliest exact result comes as 1-1 at 12.5%. For the outcome we lean toward, 2-1 has the highest chance.

Stats for St Johnstone v Dundee

Per gameSt Johnstone crestSt JohnstoneDundee crestDundee
Games55
Goals scored a game1.202.00
Goals conceded a game1.801.40
Both teams scored60%100%
Over 2.5 goals60%100%
Clean sheets20%0%
Corners won / conceded2.4 / 10.06.8 / 5.0
Yellow cards a game1.61.2
xG for / against1.03 / 2.341.65 / 1.67

Fair prices for each market

Match resultSt Johnstone win40%6/4
Draw27%11/4
Dundee win33%2/1
Double chanceSt Johnstone or draw67%1/2
Dundee or draw60%4/6
Draw no betSt Johnstone55%5/6
Dundee45%6/5
Both teams to scoreYes58%8/11
No42%11/8
GoalsOver 1.578%2/7
Over 2.554%5/6
Under 2.546%6/5
Over 3.531%9/4
Result and BTTSSt Johnstone and yes21%4/1
Draw and yes20%4/1
Dundee and yes17%5/1
Result and goalsSt Johnstone and over 2.525%3/1
Dundee and over 2.521%4/1
St Johnstone and under 2.515%6/1
Dundee and under 2.513%7/1
Half time / full timeSt Johnstone / St Johnstone25%3/1
Dundee / Dundee20%4/1
Draw / Draw15%6/1
Draw / St Johnstone14%13/2
CornersOver 9.558%8/11
Over 10.547%11/10
CardsOver 3.540%6/4
Over 4.525%3/1

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance. football-data.co.uk usually posts UK bookmaker prices for this match two or three days before kick-off, and they aren't in our feed yet

Line-ups we predict

St Johnstone crestFormation: St Johnstone 3-4-2-1.

  1. Steward, Toby.GK
  2. Todd, Matthew.MID
  3. Cotterill, Joel.MID
  4. Alic, Enes.DEF
  5. Mikulic, Bozo.DEF
  6. Diabate, Cheick.DEF
  7. McAlear, Reece.MID
  8. Holt, Jason.MID
  9. Schmidt, Danny.FWD
  10. Steven, Taylor.FWD
  11. Fowler, Josh.FWD

They started the match at Kilmarnock on Sat 31 Oct.

Dundee crestDundee 4-4-2

  1. Goodman, Owen.GK
  2. Wright, Drey.DEF
  3. Samuels, Imari.DEF
  4. Jones, Callum.MID
  5. Wright, Joe.DEF
  6. Astley, Ryan.DEF
  7. Bevan, Joe.MID
  8. Hamilton, Ethan.MID
  9. Fink, Bradley.FWD
  10. Hay, Ashley.FWD
  11. Forrest, Alan.MID

They started against Kilmarnock on Wed 28 Oct.

For other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven players who started their latest match. These line-ups give way to ESPN's confirmed teams after the teams are named, around an hour before kick-off.

Chances for correct scores

Each score's chance in %, with St Johnstone goals listed down the side and Dundee goals across
012345
06.77.25.32.40.80.2
18.112.57.93.51.20.3
26.68.85.92.60.90.2
33.34.42.91.30.40.1
41.21.61.10.50.20.0
50.40.50.30.10.00.0

Scoring times

111-154216-302431-452346-602261-754576-90

St Johnstone, 12 games and Dundee, 11 games. This season's goals by minute come from ESPN match events.

Corners and card counts

Form in recent matches

St Johnstone crestSt Johnstone

St Johnstone in the last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octat Kilmarnock2-2D
Wed 28 Octv Motherwell2-2D
Sat 24 Octat Rangers0-4L
Sat 17 Octv Dundee United1-1D
Sun 11 Octat Aberdeen1-0W
Sat 19 Sepv Falkirk1-1D

St Johnstone's score comes first.

Dundee crestDundee

Dundee in the last 6
Result
Wed 28 Octv Kilmarnock3-1W
Sat 24 Octat St Mirren1-2L
Sat 17 Octv Rangers2-2D
Sat 10 Octat Falkirk2-1W
Sat 19 Sepv Motherwell2-1W
Sun 6 Sepat Hearts1-2L

Dundee's score comes first.

Head to head

Wed 2 Sep 2026Scottish PremDundee 1-1 St Johnstone0-07
Sun 18 May 2025Scottish PremSt Johnstone 0-2 Dundee0-110
Sat 1 Mar 2025Scottish PremDundee 1-1 St Johnstone1-18
Sun 5 Jan 2025Scottish PremSt Johnstone 1-3 Dundee0-38
Sat 26 Oct 2024Scottish PremDundee 1-2 St Johnstone1-05

Scottish Premiership standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
3Heart of Midlothian crestHeart of Midlothian11623+720
4Falkirk crestFalkirk12534+318
5Dundee crestDundee11524+417
6Dundee United crestDundee United11443+016
7St Johnstone crestSt Johnstone12354-414
8St Mirren crestSt Mirren12426-814
9Motherwell crestMotherwell12336-612

ESPN provided the standings as of Wednesday 4 November.

Further Scottish Premiership predictions