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Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town prediction

Tottenham Hotspur crestSpurs
15:00Saturday 21 November
IpswichIpswich Town crest
2-1predicted score (10%)
63%both teams score
64%over 2.5 goals
2.05-1.25expected goals

Our assessment

With 12 points from 9 games, Spurs sit 9th in the Premier League. Ipswich sit 14th with 11 points from 9 games, 1 point behind.

Their last 6 gave Spurs 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, 11 goals for and 8 against. In their last 6, Ipswich had 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 12.

So far this season, 33% of Spurs games saw both teams score and 33% had more than 2.5 goals. For Ipswich, those figures are 78% and 67%. Each game, Spurs create 1.29 expected goals and allow 1.12. For Ipswich, the figures are 1.34 created and 1.91 allowed.

Since August 2024, our results include 2 meetings: Spurs took 1 win, Ipswich took 1 and 0 ended level. Saturday 22 February 2025 saw Ipswich 1-4 Tottenham in their latest meeting.

Sávio, who has started regularly this season, is expected to be unavailable for Spurs.

According to the model, the likeliest result is a Spurs win at 55%. The draw stands at 22% and Ipswich 22%, based on expected goals of 2.05 for Spurs, plus 1.25 for Ipswich.

The scoreline we expect: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Ipswich Town. At 10.0%, 1-1 is the single likeliest exact score; 2-1 leads within the result we favor.

Stats: Spurs v Ipswich

Per gameTottenham Hotspur crestSpursIpswich Town crestIpswich
Games55
Goals scored a game2.001.40
Goals conceded a game1.001.60
Both teams scored60%80%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%
Clean sheets40%0%
Corners won / conceded8.8 / 2.62.4 / 4.4
Yellow cards a game2.02.0
xG for / against1.65 / 0.681.15 / 2.13

Market fair prices

Match resultSpurs win55%4/5
Draw22%7/2
Ipswich win22%7/2
Double chanceSpurs or draw78%2/7
Ipswich or draw45%5/4
Draw no betSpurs71%2/5
Ipswich29%5/2
Both teams to scoreYes63%4/7
No37%17/10
GoalsOver 1.585%2/11
Over 2.564%4/7
Under 2.536%9/5
Over 3.542%11/8
Result and BTTSSpurs and yes31%9/4
Draw and yes18%9/2
Ipswich and yes14%13/2
Result and goalsSpurs and over 2.540%6/4
Ipswich and over 2.515%11/2
Spurs and under 2.515%6/1
Ipswich and under 2.57%14/1
Half time / full timeSpurs / Spurs35%9/5
Draw / Spurs17%5/1
Ipswich / Ipswich13%13/2
Draw / Draw11%8/1
CornersOver 9.555%5/6
Over 10.544%13/10
CardsOver 3.559%4/6
Over 4.542%11/8

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.

Starting XIs we expect

Tottenham Hotspur crestSpurs 3-5-2

  1. KinskyGK · 9 starts
  2. Van HeckeDEF · 9 starts
  3. Name: Van de Ven.DEF · 7 starts
  4. RobertsonDEF · 7 starts
  5. TonaliMID · 9 starts
  6. GrayMID · 7 starts
  7. FernandesMID · 5 starts
  8. TelMID · 5 starts
  9. KudusMID · 4 starts
  10. MarmoushFWD · 7 starts
  11. SolankeFWD · 5 starts

Doubtful or out: Sávio (Muscular injury).

Ipswich Town crestIpswich 4-2-3-1

  1. Walton, Christian.GK
  2. Ouattara, Abdoul.DEF
  3. Davis, Leif.DEF
  4. Palacios, Exequiel.MID
  5. O'Shea, Dara.DEF
  6. Diop, Issa.DEF
  7. Issahaku, Fatawu.MID
  8. FlorentinoMID
  9. EmersonnFWD
  10. Enciso, Julio.MID
  11. Philogene, Jaden.MID

Sat 31 Oct was when they started, at Hull.

Exact score probabilities

Each score's chance in %, with Spurs goals down the side and Ipswich goals across
012345
04.24.02.91.20.40.1
17.010.05.92.50.80.2
27.79.76.12.50.80.2
35.36.64.11.70.50.1
42.73.42.10.90.30.1
51.11.40.90.40.10.0

Timing of goals

101-151516-302231-451046-603461-758876-90

Spurs, 11 games and Ipswich, 11 games.

Corners plus cards

Form guide

Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur

Spurs, last 6 games
Result
Sat 31 Octv Crystal Palace2-0W
Sat 24 Octat Chelsea2-0W
Mon 19 Octv Coventry3-1W
Sat 10 Octat Man United1-1D
Sat 19 Sepv Aston Villa2-3L
Tue 15 Sepat Liverpool1-3L

The Spurs score is listed first.

Ipswich Town crestIpswich Town

Ipswich, last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octat Hull2-2D
Fri 23 Octv Nott'm Forest1-1D
Sat 17 Octat Man City2-3L
Sat 10 Octv Fulham2-1W
Sat 19 Sepat Everton0-1L
Tue 15 Sepv Arsenal2-4L

The Ipswich score is listed first.

Head to head

DateCompetitionResultHalf timeCorners
Sat 22 Feb 2025Premier LeagueIpswich 1-4 Tottenham1-28
Sun 10 Nov 2024Premier LeagueTottenham 1-2 Ipswich0-214

Premier League standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
7Everton crestEverton9342+013
8AFC Bournemouth crestAFC Bournemouth9333+112
9Tottenham Hotspur crestTottenham Hotspur9333+012
10Aston Villa crestAston Villa9333-312
11Hull City crestHull City9252+111
12Leeds United crestLeeds United9252+111
13Newcastle United crestNewcastle United9324-311
14Ipswich Town crestIpswich Town9324-411
15Fulham crestFulham9234-29
16Coventry City crestCoventry City9306-79

Standings updated Thursday 5 November

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