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Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere Rovers prediction

Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town
17:30Saturday 14 November
TranmereTranmere Rovers crest
1-0predicted score (11%)
52%both teams score
51%over 2.5 goals
1.74-0.96expected goals

Our own analysis

Fleetwood Town hold 16th place in League Two, gaining 17 points across 14 games. Tranmere sit 11th with 19 points from 14 games, 2 points clear.

Across their last 6 matches, Fleetwood Town recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 10 goals scored and 9 conceded. Tranmere's last 6 matches brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 9 conceded.

This season, both teams scored in 64% of Fleetwood Town games, while 43% had more than 2.5 goals. Tranmere's figures are 64% and 36%. In expected goals, Fleetwood Town generate 1.24 per match and concede 1.40, while Tranmere sit at 1.12 created and 1.39 allowed.

Our results include 4 meetings since August 2024, with 0 Fleetwood Town wins, 1 Tranmere win and 3 draws. Their most recent meeting, dated Saturday 14 March 2026, ended Fleetwood Town 0-0 Tranmere.

Working from expected goals of 1.74 (Fleetwood Town) and 0.96 (Tranmere), the model puts a Fleetwood Town win first at 55%, the draw 25% and Tranmere 20%.

The predicted score is Fleetwood Town 1-0 Tranmere Rovers. 1-1 is the single likeliest exact score, at 11.9%. Inside the result we lean toward, 1-0 is the likeliest score.

Stats for Fleetwood Town v Tranmere

Per gameFleetwood Town crestFleetwood TownTranmere Rovers crestTranmere
Games55
Goals scored a game1.801.40
Goals conceded a game1.601.00
Both teams scored80%80%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%
Clean sheets20%20%
Corners won / conceded5.5 / 4.55.6 / 5.4
Yellow cards a game2.22.0
xG for / against1.76 / 1.071.19 / 1.16

Fair prices for each market

Match resultFleetwood Town win55%5/6
Draw25%3/1
Tranmere win20%4/1
Double chanceFleetwood Town or draw80%1/4
Tranmere or draw45%6/5
Draw no betFleetwood Town73%4/11
Tranmere27%11/4
Both teams to scoreYes52%10/11
No48%21/20
GoalsOver 1.576%1/3
Over 2.551%evens
Under 2.549%21/20
Over 3.529%5/2
Result and BTTSFleetwood Town and yes24%3/1
Draw and yes18%9/2
Tranmere and yes10%9/1
Result and goalsFleetwood Town and over 2.534%2/1
Tranmere and over 2.511%8/1
Fleetwood Town and under 2.521%4/1
Tranmere and under 2.59%10/1
Half time / full timeFleetwood Town / Fleetwood Town34%15/8
Draw / Fleetwood Town18%9/2
Draw / Draw14%6/1
Tranmere / Tranmere11%8/1
CornersOver 9.553%10/11
Over 10.542%11/8
CardsOver 3.552%10/11
Over 4.535%15/8

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance. Our feed hasn't got UK bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. football-data.co.uk usually lists them two or three days before the game starts.

Expected starting elevens

Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town 3-1-4-2

  1. Lynch, Jay.GK
  2. Mccann, Lewis.MID
  3. Batty, Jake.MID
  4. Bennett, Rhys.DEF
  5. Rooney, Shaun.DEF
  6. Potter, Finley.DEF
  7. Mclean, Crispin.MID
  8. Neal, Harrison.DEF
  9. Coughlan, Ronan.FWD
  10. Loupalo-Bi, Aaron.FWD
  11. Helm, Mark.MID

These players started against Bristol Rovers on Sat 31 Oct.

Tranmere Rovers crestTranmere 4-4-1-1

  1. McGee, Luke.GK
  2. Senior, Joel.DEF
  3. Slater, Jacob.DEF
  4. Vaulks, Will.MID
  5. Faulkner, Bobby.DEF
  6. Turnbull, Jordan.DEF
  7. Jones, Dylan.MID
  8. Conlon, Tom.MID
  9. Ironside, Joe.FWD
  10. Ince, Tom.FWD
  11. Whitaker, Charlie.MID

They started Sat 31 Oct v Cheltenham.

For other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven who started their latest match. Once ESPN's confirmed teams are named, they take the place of these line-ups about an hour ahead of kick-off.

Chances for each correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Fleetwood Town goals down the side and Tranmere goals across
012345
07.45.83.11.00.20.0
111.011.95.41.70.40.1
210.19.84.71.50.40.1
35.95.72.70.90.20.0
42.62.51.20.40.10.0
50.90.90.40.10.00.0

When the teams score

321-153416-305331-454446-605561-755376-90

For Fleetwood Town, 18 games; for Tranmere, 15 games. This season's ESPN match events show the goals scored by minute.

Cards and corners

Latest form

Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town, last 6 games
Result
Sat 31 Octv Bristol Rvs3-1W
Tue 27 Octv Arsenal1-1D
Sat 24 Octat Exeter1-2L
Tue 20 Octat Cheltenham2-4L
Sat 17 Octv Rotherham2-0W
Sat 10 Octv Walsall1-1D

In these scores, Fleetwood Town comes first.

Tranmere Rovers crestTranmere Rovers

Tranmere, last 6 games
Result
Sat 31 Octv Cheltenham3-1W
Sat 24 Octat Crawley Town1-1D
Tue 20 Octat Northampton1-0W
Sat 17 Octv Barnet1-2L
Sat 10 Octv Rochdale1-1D
Sat 3 Octat Chesterfield2-4L

Here, Tranmere is listed first in the score.

Head to head

Sat 14 Mar 2026League TwoFleetwood Town 0-0 Tranmere0-012
Fri 26 Dec 2025League TwoTranmere 1-0 Fleetwood Town1-013
Sat 22 Mar 2025League TwoFleetwood Town 0-0 Tranmere0-05
Tue 11 Feb 2025League TwoTranmere 0-0 Fleetwood Town0-02

League Two standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
9Accrington Stanley crestAccrington Stanley14473+619
10Chesterfield crestChesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere Rovers crestTranmere Rovers14473+219
12Exeter City crestExeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town crestSwindon Town14545-219
14Newport County crestNewport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury Town crestShrewsbury Town14536-518
16Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town14455+017
17Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham Athletic crestOldham Athletic14437-415

The table comes from ESPN and is current as of Wednesday 4 November.

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