football-tips.uk

Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield prediction

Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers
15:00Saturday 14 November
ChesterfieldChesterfield crest
1-2predicted score (9%)
58%both teams score
54%over 2.5 goals
1.36-1.48expected goals

Our breakdown

In the League Two, Bristol Rovers are 17th, with 16 points from 14 games. Chesterfield sit 10th on 19 from 14, and they lead by 3 points.

Bristol Rovers' last 6 games brought 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats, with 4 scored and 12 conceded. Chesterfield's last 6 games gave them 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 13 and conceding 11.

Both teams scored in 43% of Bristol Rovers games this season, while 50% of them went over 2.5 goals; Chesterfield's figures are 71% and 57%. Expected goals per game: Bristol Rovers make 1.65 and allow 1.29, while Chesterfield's numbers are 1.71 created and 1.01 allowed.

Since August 2024 our results show 2 meetings: Chesterfield won 2, Bristol Rovers won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent meeting, on Saturday 7 February 2026, produced the score Bristol Rvs 2-3 Chesterfield.

The model puts a Chesterfield win as the likeliest result at 39%, with Bristol Rovers 34% and the draw 26%. Those figures come from expected goals, where Bristol Rovers stand at 1.36 and Chesterfield at 1.48.

Our score prediction: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Chesterfield. At 12.5%, 1-1 is the likeliest single exact score; within the result we lean to, 1-2 is the likeliest score.

Stats for Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield

Per gameBristol Rovers crestBristol RoversChesterfield crestChesterfield
Games55
Goals scored a game0.601.80
Goals conceded a game1.801.80
Both teams scored60%80%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Clean sheets20%0%
Corners won / conceded4.4 / 4.06.0 / 2.6
Yellow cards a game2.22.6
xG for / against1.29 / 1.631.42 / 0.97

Fair prices for each market

Match resultBristol Rovers win34%15/8
Draw26%11/4
Chesterfield win39%6/4
Double chanceBristol Rovers or draw61%4/6
Chesterfield or draw66%8/15
Draw no betBristol Rovers47%6/5
Chesterfield53%5/6
Both teams to scoreYes58%8/11
No42%11/8
GoalsOver 1.578%2/7
Over 2.554%5/6
Under 2.546%6/5
Over 3.532%9/4
Result and BTTSBristol Rovers and yes18%9/2
Draw and yes20%4/1
Chesterfield and yes20%4/1
Result and goalsBristol Rovers and over 2.522%7/2
Chesterfield and over 2.525%3/1
Bristol Rovers and under 2.513%7/1
Chesterfield and under 2.514%6/1
Half time / full timeChesterfield / Chesterfield24%10/3
Bristol Rovers / Bristol Rovers20%4/1
Draw / Draw14%6/1
Draw / Chesterfield14%6/1
CornersOver 9.541%6/4
Over 10.530%9/4
CardsOver 3.560%4/6
Over 4.544%5/4

Our fair price comes from 1 divided by our chance. Bookmaker prices from the UK haven't reached our feed for this match. football-data.co.uk normally publishes those prices two or three days before kick-off.

The line-ups we predict

Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers 3-4-3

  1. Young, Brad.GK
  2. James, Tom.MID
  3. Sparkes, Jack.MID
  4. Kelly, Ciaran.DEF
  5. Kilgour, Alfie.DEF
  6. Gough, Keenan.DEF
  7. Smallwood, Richard.MID
  8. Mola, Clinton.MID
  9. Cavegn, Fabrizio.FWD
  10. Forde, Shaqai.FWD
  11. Appiah, Arvin.FWD

They started Sat 31 Oct at Fleetwood Town.

Chesterfield crestChesterfield 4-2-3-1

  1. Hemming, Zachary.GK
  2. Hutton, Remeao.DEF
  3. Pearce, Tom.DEF
  4. McEachran, George.MID
  5. Pond, Alfie.DEF
  6. Simpson, Jack.DEF
  7. Kumar Markanday, Dilan.MID
  8. Naylor, Tom.MID
  9. Bryden, Fraser.FWD
  10. Mandeville, Liam.MID
  11. Koroma, Josh.MID

They started Fri 30 Oct at Newport.

For other clubs, these are the eleven who started their latest match, from ESPN. Once ESPN's confirmed teams are named, they replace these about an hour before kick-off.

Chances for correct scores

Chance of each score in %, with Bristol Rovers goals down the side and Chesterfield goals across
012345
06.57.96.43.11.20.3
17.312.58.74.31.60.5
25.48.05.92.91.10.3
32.53.62.71.30.50.1
40.81.20.90.50.20.0
50.20.30.30.10.00.0

Scoring times

141-153516-302231-454646-602161-755676-90

For Bristol Rovers, 15 games; for Chesterfield, 15 games. This season's goals by minute come from ESPN match events.

Cards and corners

Form in recent matches

Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers in their last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octat Fleetwood Town1-3L
Sat 24 Octv Swindon0-0D
Tue 20 Octv Salford1-2L
Sat 17 Octat Shrewsbury0-1L
Sat 10 Octv Barnet1-3L
Sat 3 Octat Crewe1-3L

Bristol Rovers scores come first.

Chesterfield crestChesterfield

Chesterfield in their last 6
Result
Fri 30 Octat Newport County1-4L
Sat 24 Octv Crewe5-1W
Tue 20 Octv Colchester1-1D
Sat 17 Octat Port Vale0-1L
Sat 10 Octat Crawley Town2-2D
Sat 3 Octv Tranmere4-2W

Chesterfield scores come first.

Head to head

DateCompetitionResultHalf timeCorners
Sat 7 Feb 2026League TwoBristol Rvs 2-3 Chesterfield1-112
Sat 16 Aug 2025League TwoChesterfield 3-1 Bristol Rvs1-09

League Two standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
8Gillingham crestGillingham14554+120
9Accrington Stanley crestAccrington Stanley14473+619
10Chesterfield crestChesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere Rovers crestTranmere Rovers14473+219
12Exeter City crestExeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town crestSwindon Town14545-219
14Newport County crestNewport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury Town crestShrewsbury Town14536-518
16Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town14455+017
17Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham Athletic crestOldham Athletic14437-415
19Port Vale crestPort Vale12435-415

The standings come from ESPN and are as of Wednesday 4 November.

Other League Two predictions