Salford City vs Northampton Town prediction
Our assessment
Salford City sit 1st in League Two on 31 points from 14 games played. Northampton sit 21st on 14 points from 13 games, trailing by 17 points.
Salford City's last 6 brought 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, plus 13 goals for and 5 against. Northampton's last 6 gave them 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 6 scored and 4 conceded.
This season, 57% of Salford City games saw both sides score and 57% had more than 2.5 goals. Northampton's figures are 31% and 0%. Per game, Salford City produce 1.23 expected goals and give up 1.05, while Northampton produce 0.81 and give up 1.15.
Our model gives the Salford City win the highest chance at 53%. The draw is 28% and Northampton 19%, using expected goals of 1.45 (Salford City) and 0.77 (Northampton).
Our prediction: Salford City 1-0 Northampton Town.
Stats for Salford City and Northampton
| Per game |  Salford City |  Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.2 / 5.2 | 6.4 / 3.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| xG for / against | 1.28 / 0.97 | 1.08 / 1.30 |
| Per game | Salford City | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 13 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.79 | 0.69 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.07 | 0.77 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 31% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.8 / 4.8 | 5.5 / 3.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| xG for / against | 1.23 / 1.05 | 0.81 / 1.15 |
| Per game | Salford City | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.29 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.57 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 17% |
| Corners won / conceded | 7.4 / 3.4 | 5.3 / 4.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| xG for / against | 1.29 / 0.80 | 0.79 / 1.34 |
Fair odds for each market
| Match result | Salford City win | 53% | 10/11 |
| Draw | 28% | 5/2 | |
| Northampton win | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Double chance | Salford City or draw | 81% | 1/4 |
| Northampton or draw | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Draw no bet | Salford City | 73% | 4/11 |
| Northampton | 27% | 11/4 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 11/8 |
| No | 58% | 8/11 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 66% | 8/15 |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 13/8 | |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 8/13 | |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Result and BTTS | Salford City and yes | 18% | 9/2 |
| Draw and yes | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Northampton and yes | 7% | 12/1 | |
| Result and goals | Salford City and over 2.5 | 26% | 11/4 |
| Northampton and over 2.5 | 8% | 11/1 | |
| Salford City and under 2.5 | 26% | 11/4 | |
| Northampton and under 2.5 | 11% | 8/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Salford City / Salford City | 32% | 9/4 |
| Draw / Salford City | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Northampton / Northampton | 11% | 17/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 51% | 10/11 |
| Over 10.5 | 41% | 6/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 43% | 11/8 |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 11/4 |
A fair price is 1 divided by our chance. Our feed has no UK bookmaker prices for this match yet; football-data.co.uk usually adds them two or three days before the match starts.
Team line-ups we predict
Salford City 5-4-1
- Norris, Will.GK
- Odoh, Abraham.DEF
- Garbutt, Luke.DEF
- Aimson, Will.DEF
- Scarr, Dan.DEF
- Oluwo, Adebola.DEF
- Woodburn, Ben.MID
- Bonds, Elliott.MID
- Langstaff, Macaulay.FWD
- Sarpong-Wiredu, Brendan.MID
- Molyneux, Luke.MID
They began the match against Exeter on Sat 31 Oct.
Northampton 3-4-2-1
- Jeacock, Zach.GK
- Wormleighton, Joe.MID
- Powell, Josh.MID
- Guthrie, Jon.DEF
- Moore, Elliott.DEF
- Donacien, Janoi.DEF
- Lemonheigh-Evans, Connor.MID
- Evans, Lee.MID
- Warhurst, Matthew.FWD
- Dale, Owen.FWD
- O'Brien-Whitmarsh, Joseph.FWD
They started Tue 3 Nov against Oldham.
For other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven players who started their latest match. Once ESPN's confirmed teams are named, they replace these about an hour before kick-off.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.6 | 7.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 15.0 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 11.4 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 5.5 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Northampton, 14 games. Salford City, 15 games. This season's ESPN match events show goals scored by minute.
Corners plus cards
- Corners expected: 9.9 (league 9.9; Salford City 5.2, Northampton 4.8).
- Yellow cards expected: 3.4 (league 3.7).
Latest form
Salford City
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Exeter | 2-1 | W |
| Mon 26 Oct | at Walsall | 4-2 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | at Bristol Rvs | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Crawley Town | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Cheltenham | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Fleetwood Town | 1-0 | W |
Salford City scores come first.
Northampton Town
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | v Oldham | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Accrington | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Colchester | 2-0 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Tranmere | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Grimsby | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at York | 1-1 | D |
Northampton scores come first.
League Two standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham United | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester United | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
The table comes from ESPN and is current as of Wednesday 4 November.