football-tips.uk

Rochdale vs York City prediction

Rochdale crestRochdale
15:00Saturday 14 November
York CityYork City crest
1-2predicted score (9%)
61%both teams score
59%over 2.5 goals
1.32-1.73expected goals

Our breakdown

With 15 points from 14 games, Rochdale sit 20th in the League Two. York City sit 7th on 20 points. That total comes from 14 games, putting them 5 points ahead.

Rochdale's last 6 show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. They scored 8 and let in 15. York City's last 6 include 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats, with 8 scored and 11 against.

In 50% of Rochdale games this season, both teams scored, and 64% had more than 2.5 goals. York City's rates are 71% and 50%. Rochdale's expected goals per game are 0.79, and they allow 1.83. For York City, the figures are 1.68 created and 1.19 allowed.

Our results list 4 meetings since August 2024. Rochdale won 0 times, York City won 3 and 1 was level. Their most recent meeting, Saturday 25 April 2026, ended Rochdale 1-1 York.

At 46%, a York City win is the model's likeliest result. Rochdale 29% and the draw 25% are the other chances, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Rochdale, 1.73 for York City.

We predict a York City win, with Rochdale scoring 1 and York City scoring 2. At 11.5%, 1-1 is the most likely exact score. Inside the result we favor, 1-2 is the likeliest score.

Stats: Rochdale v York City

Per gameRochdale crestRochdaleYork City crestYork City
Games55
Goals scored a game1.401.40
Goals conceded a game3.002.00
Both teams scored80%80%
Over 2.5 goals80%40%
Clean sheets0%20%
Corners won / conceded4.8 / 4.63.4 / 5.8
Yellow cards a game1.62.6
xG for / against0.90 / 2.161.01 / 1.40

Fair prices for each market

Match resultRochdale win29%5/2
Draw25%3/1
York City win46%6/5
Double chanceRochdale or draw54%5/6
York City or draw71%2/5
Draw no betRochdale38%13/8
York City62%8/13
Both teams to scoreYes61%4/6
No39%6/4
GoalsOver 1.581%2/9
Over 2.559%8/11
Under 2.541%11/8
Over 3.536%7/4
Result and BTTSRochdale and yes16%5/1
Draw and yes19%4/1
York City and yes25%3/1
Result and goalsRochdale and over 2.519%9/2
York City and over 2.532%9/4
Rochdale and under 2.510%9/1
York City and under 2.515%6/1
Half time / full timeYork City / York City29%5/2
Rochdale / Rochdale17%5/1
Draw / York City15%11/2
Draw / Draw13%13/2
CornersOver 9.553%10/11
Over 10.542%11/8
CardsOver 3.548%11/10
Over 4.532%9/4

Divide 1 by our chance to get a fair price. Our feed doesn't have UK bookmaker prices for this match yet; football-data.co.uk normally puts them up two or three days before kick-off.

Team line-up predictions

Rochdale crestRochdale 4-2-3-1

  1. Waller, Sam.GK
  2. Sherring, Sam.DEF
  3. Tasker, Charlie.DEF
  4. Gilmour, Harvey.MID
  5. Flint, Aden.DEF
  6. Wilson, Kaiden.DEF
  7. Hayes, Cian.MID
  8. Adeeko, Babajide.MID
  9. Brown, Dajaune.FWD
  10. Silcott-Duberry, Zain.MID
  11. Middleton, Glenn.MID

Sat 31 Oct at Port Vale was when they started.

York City crestYork City 3-4-2-1

  1. Mcnally, Alfie.GK
  2. Hunt, Jack.MID
  3. Boyes, Harry.MID
  4. Kitching, Mark.DEF
  5. Johnson, Zak.DEF
  6. Fallowfield, Ryan.DEF
  7. Hunt, Alex.MID
  8. Read, Arthur.MID
  9. Stones, Josh.FWD
  10. Grey, Joey.FWD
  11. Pearce, Ollie.FWD

Sat 31 Oct at Grimsby was when they started.

For other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven who started their latest match. Once the teams are announced, ESPN's confirmed lineups replace these about an hour ahead of kick-off.

Exact score chances

In %, the chance of each score, with Rochdale goals down the side and York City goals across
012345
05.47.67.14.11.80.6
15.611.59.45.42.30.8
24.17.16.23.51.50.5
31.83.12.71.60.70.2
40.61.00.90.50.20.1
50.20.30.20.10.10.0

Scoring times

441-150416-303331-452246-602561-758676-90

For Rochdale, 16 games; York City, 15 games in total. ESPN match events show the goals scored by minute this season.

Cards and corners

Latest form

Rochdale crestRochdale

Rochdale's last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octat Port Vale2-4L
Sat 24 Octv Accrington0-5L
Tue 20 Octv Grimsby2-2D
Sat 17 Octat Crewe2-3L
Sat 10 Octat Tranmere1-1D
Sat 3 Octv Swindon1-0W

Rochdale appears first in the scores.

York City crestYork City

York City's last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octat Grimsby2-5L
Tue 27 Octat Barnet1-3L
Sat 24 Octv Port Vale2-0W
Tue 20 Octv Accrington1-1D
Sat 17 Octat Newport County1-1D
Sat 10 Octv Northampton1-1D

In the scores, York City comes first.

Head to head

Sat 25 Apr 2026National LeagueRochdale 1-1 York0-0
Tue 11 Nov 2025National LeagueYork 4-1 Rochdale1-1
Tue 25 Mar 2025National LeagueRochdale 0-4 York0-1
Tue 20 Aug 2024National LeagueYork 1-0 Rochdale1-0

League Two standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
5Cheltenham Town crestCheltenham Town14635-221
6Grimsby Town crestGrimsby Town14554+620
7York City crestYork City14554+320
8Gillingham crestGillingham14554+120
9Accrington Stanley crestAccrington Stanley14473+619
18Oldham Athletic crestOldham Athletic14437-415
19Port Vale crestPort Vale12435-415
20Rochdale crestRochdale14437-915
21Northampton Town crestNorthampton Town13355-114
22Rotherham United crestRotherham United14266-712

These standings come from ESPN and are dated Wednesday 4 November.

Other League Two predictions