Manchester City vs Fulham prediction
How we see it
In the Premier League, Man City are 2nd with 21 points from 9 games. Fulham have taken 9 points from 9 games and sit 15th, 12 points behind.
In their last 6 matches, Man City took 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 14 scored and 10 conceded. Fulham's last 6 gave them 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 5 goals for and 5 against.
So far this season, 56% of Man City games saw both teams score and 67% went over 2.5 goals; Fulham's figures are 56% and 33%. Expected goals per game: Man City make 2.07 and give up 1.27, while Fulham make 1.52 and give up 1.36.
Our results show 4 meetings since August 2024, with Man City taking 4 wins, Fulham taking 0 and 0 draws. The most recent of those, on Wednesday 11 February 2026, ended Man City 3-0 Fulham.
Semenyo, a regular starter this season, is expected to be missing for Man City.
The likeliest result in the model is a Man City win at 63%, with the draw on 22% and Fulham 15%. Expected goals behind it: 2.03 for Man City, 0.89 for Fulham.
Score prediction: Manchester City 2-0 Fulham.
Stats for Man City v Fulham
| Per game |  Man City |  Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.8 / 3.5 | 7.0 / 3.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 3.0 |
| xG for / against | 2.01 / 1.05 | 1.50 / 0.91 |
| Per game | Man City | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 9 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.22 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.11 | 1.22 |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 33% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.0 / 3.9 | 6.2 / 4.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| xG for / against | 2.07 / 1.27 | 1.52 / 1.36 |
| Per game | Man City | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.6 / 3.6 | 6.0 / 4.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| xG for / against | 2.49 / 1.65 | 1.25 / 1.36 |
| Per game | Man City | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.50 | 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.0 / 3.8 | 3.8 / 5.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 0.5 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Man City win | 63% | 4/7 |
| Draw | 22% | 18/5 | |
| Fulham win | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Double chance | Man City or draw | 85% | 2/11 |
| Fulham or draw | 37% | 7/4 | |
| Draw no bet | Man City | 81% | 2/9 |
| Fulham | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 10/11 |
| No | 48% | 21/20 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 79% | 1/4 |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 4/5 | |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 5/4 | |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 2/1 | |
| Result and BTTS | Man City and yes | 28% | 13/5 |
| Draw and yes | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Fulham and yes | 8% | 12/1 | |
| Result and goals | Man City and over 2.5 | 42% | 7/5 |
| Fulham and over 2.5 | 9% | 11/1 | |
| Man City and under 2.5 | 22% | 18/5 | |
| Fulham and under 2.5 | 6% | 14/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Man City / Man City | 41% | 7/5 |
| Draw / Man City | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 12% | 7/1 | |
| Fulham / Fulham | 8% | 11/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 65% | 8/15 |
| Over 10.5 | 54% | 5/6 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 43% | 13/10 |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 13/5 |
To find a fair price, divide 1 by our chance.
Chances for goalscorers and cards
| Man City | Haaland FWD | 9 | 6.6 | 51% | 10/11 | 0% |
| Man City | Foden MID | 1 | 2.3 | 43% | 13/10 | 22% |
| Man City | O'Reilly DEF | 0 | 1.2 | 26% | 14/5 | 22% |
| Man City | Cherki MID | 4 | 1.8 | 25% | 3/1 | 28% |
| Fulham | Gonzalo FWD | 1 | 4.0 | 22% | 7/2 | 0% |
| Fulham | King MID | 2 | 1.9 | 11% | 8/1 | 28% |
| Fulham | Bobb MID | 1 | 1.7 | 10% | 17/2 | 0% |
| Fulham | Iwobi MID | 1 | 1.4 | 8% | 11/1 | 0% |
We list only players with at least a 75% chance of playing.
The line-ups we predict
Man City 4-2-3-1
- DonnarummaGK · 9 starts
- RúbenDEF · 9 starts
- GuéhiDEF · 8 starts
- GvardiolDEF · 7 starts
- Matheus N.DEF · 5 starts
- AndersonMID · 8 starts
- NdiayeMID · 8 starts
- EnzoMID · 6 starts
- CherkiMID · 6 starts
- FodenMID · 4 starts
- HaalandFWD · 9 starts
Semenyo (Knee injury) is out or doubtful.
Fulham 4-2-3-1
- LenoGK · 9 starts
- BasseyDEF · 9 starts
- RobinsonDEF · 8 starts
- CastagneDEF · 8 starts
- AffengruberDEF · 6 starts
- KingMID · 9 starts
- IwobiMID · 9 starts
- BobbMID · 9 starts
- BergeMID · 7 starts
- CharlesMID · 7 starts
- GonzaloFWD · 9 starts
Chances for the correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 10.4 | 10.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 11.2 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.6 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
When each team scores
Fulham, 12 games. Man City, 11 games.
Corners and card counts
- 11.2corners expected, with Man City 6.3 and Fulham 4.9; the league figure is 9.9
- 3.4yellow cards expected, compared with a league average of 3.8
Form in recent games
Manchester City
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Brighton | 0-1 | L |
| Wed 28 Oct | v Brighton | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Aston Villa | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Ipswich | 3-2 | W |
| Sun 11 Oct | at Liverpool | 3-0 | W |
| Sun 20 Sep | v Sunderland | 5-3 | W |
Man City is shown first in the scores.
Fulham
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Aston Villa | 1-1 | D |
| Wed 28 Oct | v Crystal Palace | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Coventry | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Hull | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Ipswich | 1-2 | L |
| Sun 20 Sep | v Man United | 1-1 | D |
Fulham is shown first in the scores.
Head to head
| Wed 11 Feb 2026 | Premier League | Man City 3-0 Fulham | 3-0 | 8 |
| Tue 2 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Fulham 4-5 Man City | 1-3 | 9 |
| Sun 25 May 2025 | Premier League | Fulham 0-2 Man City | 0-1 | 7 |
| Sat 5 Oct 2024 | Premier League | Man City 3-2 Fulham | 1-1 | 11 |
Premier League standings table
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 13 |  Newcastle United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November