Hull City vs Ipswich Town prediction
The market average from 6 UK bookmakers, with margin removed, gives Hull 37%, draw 28%, Ipswich 36%.
What the model found
In the Premier League, Hull occupy 11th spot after 9 matches, earning 11 points Ipswich are 14th on 11 points from 9 matches, 0 points level
Hull's last 6 gave them 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats, with 6 scored and 9 conceded. Ipswich's last 6 brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 10 goals scored and 12 conceded.
For Ipswich this season, the figures are 75% and 62%; Hull's are 50% of games with both teams scoring and 38% over 2.5 goals. Hull's expected goals are 1.04 created and 1.52 allowed each game; Ipswich's are 1.37 and 2.05.
Our results include 2 meetings since August 2024, with 0 wins for Hull, 2 for Ipswich and 0 draws. On Tuesday 3 March 2026, the most recent meeting ended Ipswich 1-0 Hull.
Expected goals stand at 1.49 for Hull and 1.51 for Ipswich, so the model gives an Ipswich win the highest chance at 38% (Hull 37%, the draw 26%). After the margin is taken out, UK bookmakers price it at 36%, and we rate it above the market
Our predicted score is Hull City 1-2 Ipswich Town. 1-1 is the likeliest single exact score at 11.9%. Within the result we favour, 1-2 is the likeliest score.
Hull vs Ipswich stats
| Per game |  Hull |  Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.0 / 7.2 | 2.2 / 4.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| xG for / against | 1.21 / 1.43 | 1.18 / 2.47 |
| Per game | Hull | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.12 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.9 / 6.5 | 2.9 / 4.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| xG for / against | 1.04 / 1.52 | 1.37 / 2.05 |
| Per game | Hull | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.75 | 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.0 / 5.5 | 3.5 / 5.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| xG for / against | 1.12 / 1.79 | 1.70 / 2.73 |
| Per game | Hull | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 100% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.5 / 6.0 | 6.0 / 3.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Best UK odds and fair prices
| Match result | Hull win | 37% | 7/4 | 13/8 Betfred | -3.7% |
| Draw | 26% | 3/1 | 5/2 Betfred | -10.2% | |
| Ipswich win | 38% | 13/8 | 7/4 bet365 | +1.8% | |
| Double chance | Hull or draw | 62% | 8/13 | ||
| Ipswich or draw | 63% | 4/7 | |||
| Draw no bet | Hull | 49% | 21/20 | ||
| Ipswich | 51% | evens | |||
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 8/13 | ||
| No | 39% | 13/8 | |||
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 81% | 1/4 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 8/11 | 10/11 bet365 | +8.3% | |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 11/8 | evens bet365 | -16.1% | |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 15/8 | |||
| Result and BTTS | Hull and yes | 20% | 4/1 | ||
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |||
| Ipswich and yes | 21% | 4/1 | |||
| Result and goals | Hull and over 2.5 | 24% | 3/1 | ||
| Ipswich and over 2.5 | 25% | 3/1 | |||
| Hull and under 2.5 | 12% | 7/1 | |||
| Ipswich and under 2.5 | 13% | 7/1 | |||
| Half time / full time | Ipswich / Ipswich | 23% | 10/3 | ||
| Hull / Hull | 22% | 7/2 | |||
| Draw / Draw | 14% | 13/2 | |||
| Draw / Ipswich | 13% | 13/2 | |||
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 53% | 10/11 | ||
| Over 10.5 | 42% | 11/8 | |||
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 66% | 8/15 | ||
| Over 4.5 | 49% | 21/20 |
A fair price comes from dividing 1 by our chance. football-data.co.uk provides our bookmaker prices and carries only match odds and over/under 2.5. Where both figures are available, edge shows the comparison.
Starting team line-ups
Hull 5-4-1
- Tzolakis, Konstantinos.GK
- Coyle, Lewie.DEF
- Giles, Ryan.DEF
- Mendy, Nobel.DEF
- Egan, John.DEF
- Ajayi, Semi.DEF
- Belloumi, Mohamed.MID
- Iroegbunam, Tim.MID
- McBurnie, Oliver.FWD
- Slater, Regan.MID
- Stroud, Elliot.MID
Ipswich 4-2-3-1
- Walton, Christian.GK
- Ouattara, Abdoul.DEF
- Davis, Leif.DEF
- Palacios, Exequiel.MID
- O'Shea, Dara.DEF
- Diop, Issa.DEF
- Issahaku, Fatawu.MID
- FlorentinoMID
- EmersonnFWD
- Enciso, Julio.MID
- Philogene, Jaden.MID
ESPN supplied the starting elevens. We read them Wednesday 4 November, 09:11.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.7 | 11.9 | 8.5 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.5 | 8.3 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
When each team scores
For Hull, 11 games; Ipswich, 11 games. This season's goals by minute come from ESPN match events.
Corners plus cards
- Corners forecast: 10.0 totalHull 4.3, Ipswich 5.7, and the league sits at 9.9
- Yellow cards expected: 4.7 (league 3.8, referee adjusted).
Latest form
Hull City
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct | v Brentford | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Fulham | 0-1 | L |
| Sun 11 Oct | v Everton | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 19 Sep | at Newcastle | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 12 Sep | at Chelsea | 2-2 | D |
| Tue 8 Sep | at Sunderland | 0-1 | L |
Read these scores with Hull first.
Ipswich Town
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 23 Oct | v Nott'm Forest | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Man City | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Fulham | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 19 Sep | at Everton | 0-1 | L |
| Tue 15 Sep | v Arsenal | 2-4 | L |
| Sat 12 Sep | at Crystal Palace | 3-2 | W |
Read these scores with Ipswich first.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Mar 2026 | Championship | Ipswich 1-0 Hull | 0-0 | 10 |
| Tue 25 Nov 2025 | Championship | Hull 0-2 Ipswich | 0-0 | 9 |
Premier League standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds United | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
The standings come from ESPN, as of Wednesday 4 November.