Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
Our breakdown
With 11 points from 9 matches, Hull occupy 11th place in the Premier League. Brighton sit 3rd with 19 points from 9 games, placing them 8 points clear.
Across their last 6 matches, Hull recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. They scored 8 and conceded 10. In Brighton's last 6 they won 4, drew 1 and lost 1, with 13 scored and 4 against.
For Hull this season, both teams scored in 56% of matches, while 44% finished over 2.5 goals. Brighton's corresponding rates are 22% and 56%. Hull average 1.01 expected goals per match and concede 1.47. Brighton's figures are 1.91 created and 1.45 allowed.
A Brighton victory leads the model at 62%, ahead of Hull 17% and a draw at 22%. It uses 0.97 expected goals for Hull and 2.04 for Brighton.
Our scoreline has Hull City losing 0-2 to Brighton & Hove Albion. At 10.3%, 1-1 is the most likely single exact score. Within the result we favor, 0-2 is the most likely score.
Hull v Brighton match stats
| Per game |  Hull |  Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 60% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.4 / 5.8 | 4.2 / 6.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| xG for / against | 1.09 / 1.46 | 1.43 / 1.08 |
| Per game | Hull | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 9 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.22 | 2.67 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.11 | 0.78 |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 67% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.1 / 6.1 | 4.9 / 5.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| xG for / against | 1.01 / 1.47 | 1.91 / 1.45 |
| Per game | Hull | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 60% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.4 / 5.0 | 3.8 / 5.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| xG for / against | 1.05 / 1.65 | 1.59 / 1.57 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Hull win | 17% | 5/1 |
| Draw | 22% | 18/5 | |
| Brighton win | 62% | 8/13 | |
| Double chance | Hull or draw | 38% | 8/5 |
| Brighton or draw | 83% | 1/5 | |
| Draw no bet | Hull | 21% | 18/5 |
| Brighton | 79% | 2/7 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 5/6 |
| No | 45% | 6/5 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 81% | 2/9 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 8/11 | |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 11/8 | |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 9/5 | |
| Result and BTTS | Hull and yes | 9% | 10/1 |
| Draw and yes | 16% | 5/1 | |
| Brighton and yes | 29% | 12/5 | |
| Result and goals | Hull and over 2.5 | 10% | 9/1 |
| Brighton and over 2.5 | 42% | 11/8 | |
| Hull and under 2.5 | 6% | 14/1 | |
| Brighton and under 2.5 | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Brighton / Brighton | 40% | 6/4 |
| Draw / Brighton | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 12% | 15/2 | |
| Hull / Hull | 9% | 10/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 55% | 4/5 |
| Over 10.5 | 44% | 5/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 52% | 10/11 |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 9/5 |
A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.
Line-ups we predict
Hull 5-4-1
- Tzolakis, Konstantinos.GK
- Coyle, Lewie.DEF
- Giles, Ryan.DEF
- Mendy, Nobel.DEF
- Egan, John.DEF
- Ajayi, Semi.DEF
- Belloumi, Mohamed.MID
- Iroegbunam, Tim.MID
- McBurnie, Oliver.FWD
- Slater, Regan.MID
- Stroud, Elliot.MID
Began the match Sat 31 Oct against Ipswich.
Brighton 4-2-3-1
- VerbruggenGK · 9 starts
- VuskovicDEF · 9 starts
- De CuyperDEF · 9 starts
- BoscagliDEF · 9 starts
- DunkDEF · 7 starts
- GroßMID · 9 starts
- GomezMID · 9 starts
- AyariMID · 8 starts
- AndrésMID · 5 starts
- YalcouyéMID · 3 starts
- KostoulasFWD · 8 starts
Chances for the correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 9.4 | 10.2 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 1.5 |
| 1 | 4.2 | 10.3 | 9.9 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 2 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Hull, 11 games and Brighton, 11 games.
Corner and card figures
- 10.2corners expected (Hull 4.7, Brighton 5.6; league 9.9)
- Yellow cards expected: 3.9(league 3.8)
Form from recent games
Hull City
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Ipswich | 2-2 | D |
| Sun 25 Oct | v Brentford | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Fulham | 0-1 | L |
| Sun 11 Oct | v Everton | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 19 Sep | at Newcastle | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 12 Sep | at Chelsea | 2-2 | D |
Hull goals come first in the score.
Brighton & Hove Albion
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Man City | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 28 Oct | at Man City | 2-2 | D |
| Sun 25 Oct | at Liverpool | 0-2 | L |
| Sun 18 Oct | v Crystal Palace | 5-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Sunderland | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 19 Sep | v Arsenal | 3-0 | W |
Brighton goals come first in the score.
Premier League standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds United | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November