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Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury Town prediction

Chesterfield crestChesterfield
15:00Saturday 21 November
ShrewsburyShrewsbury Town crest
1-0predicted score (10%)
53%both teams score
54%over 2.5 goals
1.86-0.96expected goals

Our assessment

After 14 games, Chesterfield have 19 points and sit 10th in the League Two. Shrewsbury sit 15th with 18 points from 14 games, 1 point behind.

Chesterfield's last 6 brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 11 conceded. Shrewsbury's last 6 produced 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 10 goals scored and 9 against.

Chesterfield saw both teams score in 71% of games this season and over 2.5 goals in 57%. The matching Shrewsbury numbers are 50% and 50%. Each match, Chesterfield's expected goals stand at 1.71 with 1.01 allowed. Shrewsbury's figures are 1.47 created and 1.05 allowed.

Since August 2024, our results show 2 meetings, with Chesterfield winning 1, Shrewsbury winning 1 and 0 ending level. Their most recent meeting, on Saturday 7 March 2026, ended with Chesterfield 2-3 Shrewsbury.

The model uses expected goals of 0.96 for Shrewsbury and 1.86 for Chesterfield. On that basis, a Chesterfield win is likeliest at 58% (the draw 24%, Shrewsbury 18%).

Our prediction is Chesterfield 1-0 Shrewsbury Town. At 11.3%, a 1-1 draw is the most likely single exact score. Within our favored result, the leading score is 1-0.

Chesterfield v Shrewsbury figures

Per gameChesterfield crestChesterfieldShrewsbury Town crestShrewsbury
Games55
Goals scored a game1.801.60
Goals conceded a game1.801.60
Both teams scored80%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Clean sheets0%20%
Corners won / conceded6.0 / 2.66.0 / 3.2
Yellow cards a game2.62.8
xG for / against1.42 / 0.971.84 / 1.28

Market fair prices

Match resultChesterfield win58%8/11
Draw24%16/5
Shrewsbury win18%9/2
Double chanceChesterfield or draw82%2/9
Shrewsbury or draw42%11/8
Draw no betChesterfield76%1/3
Shrewsbury24%16/5
Both teams to scoreYes53%10/11
No47%11/10
GoalsOver 1.578%2/7
Over 2.554%5/6
Under 2.546%6/5
Over 3.531%11/5
Result and BTTSChesterfield and yes26%14/5
Draw and yes17%5/1
Shrewsbury and yes9%10/1
Result and goalsChesterfield and over 2.537%17/10
Shrewsbury and over 2.511%17/2
Chesterfield and under 2.521%4/1
Shrewsbury and under 2.58%12/1
Half time / full timeChesterfield / Chesterfield37%17/10
Draw / Chesterfield19%9/2
Draw / Draw13%13/2
Shrewsbury / Shrewsbury10%17/2
CornersOver 9.543%13/10
Over 10.533%21/10
CardsOver 3.555%5/6
Over 4.538%13/8

We calculate the fair price by dividing 1 by our chance.

Expected team selections

Chesterfield crestChesterfield 4-2-3-1

  1. Hemming, Zachary.GK
  2. Hutton, Remeao.DEF
  3. Pearce, Tom.DEF
  4. McEachran, George.MID
  5. Pond, Alfie.DEF
  6. Simpson, Jack.DEF
  7. Kumar Markanday, Dilan.MID
  8. Naylor, Tom.MID
  9. Bryden, Fraser.FWD
  10. Mandeville, Liam.MID
  11. Koroma, Josh.MID

Fri 30 Oct saw them start at Newport.

Shrewsbury Town crestShrewsbury 3-4-1-2

  1. Brook, Will.GK
  2. Hoole, Luca.MID
  3. Berkoe, Kevin.MID
  4. Ruffels, Joshua.DEF
  5. Boyle, William.DEF
  6. Stubbs, Sam.DEF
  7. Sang, Thomas.MID
  8. Gray, Will.MID
  9. McMahon-Brown, Kian.MID
  10. Lloyd, George.FWD
  11. Davison, Josh.FWD

They began Sat 31 Oct against Gillingham.

Chances for the correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Chesterfield goals listed down the side and Shrewsbury goals across
012345
06.65.12.70.90.20.0
110.411.35.11.60.40.1
210.39.94.71.50.40.1
36.46.22.90.90.20.0
43.02.91.40.40.10.0
51.11.10.50.20.00.0

Scoring times

411-155316-302331-456446-601361-756476-90

Games played: Chesterfield, 15; Shrewsbury, 16 games.

Cards and corners

Form in recent matches

Chesterfield crestChesterfield

Chesterfield's last 6
Result
Fri 30 Octat Newport County1-4L
Sat 24 Octv Crewe5-1W
Tue 20 Octv Colchester1-1D
Sat 17 Octat Port Vale0-1L
Sat 10 Octat Crawley Town2-2D
Sat 3 Octv Tranmere4-2W

Chesterfield's score comes first.

Shrewsbury Town crestShrewsbury Town

Shrewsbury's last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octv Gillingham1-2L
Sat 24 Octat Rotherham3-3D
Tue 20 Octat Crawley Town3-2W
Sat 17 Octv Bristol Rvs1-0W
Sat 10 Octv Exeter0-1L
Sat 3 Octat Grimsby2-1W

Shrewsbury's score comes first.

Head to head

DateCompetitionResultHalf timeCorners
Sat 7 Mar 2026League TwoChesterfield 2-3 Shrewsbury1-19
Sat 20 Dec 2025League TwoShrewsbury 0-1 Chesterfield0-07

League Two standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
8Gillingham crestGillingham14554+120
9Accrington Stanley crestAccrington Stanley14473+619
10Chesterfield crestChesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere Rovers crestTranmere Rovers14473+219
12Exeter City crestExeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town crestSwindon Town14545-219
14Newport County crestNewport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury Town crestShrewsbury Town14536-518
16Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town14455+017
17Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers14518-616

Standings updated Thursday 5 November

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