Huddersfield Town vs Leicester City prediction
Analysis from us
With 29 points from 14 games, Huddersfield sit 1st in the League One. Leicester sit 10th on 19 points from 13 games, 10 points behind.
Huddersfield's last 6 games gave 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 14 scored and 5 conceded. Leicester's last 6 brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 13 scored and 8 conceded.
This season, 71% of Huddersfield games saw both teams score and 64% finished over 2.5 goals; Leicester's numbers are 62% and 69%. For expected goals, Huddersfield make 2.13 a game and give up 0.88; Leicester make 1.70 and give up 1.26.
Based on expected goals, with Huddersfield at 1.63 and Leicester at 1.39, the model rates a Huddersfield win as likeliest at 43%, the draw 25% and Leicester 32%
We predict Huddersfield Town 2-1 Leicester City. At 11.7%, 1-1 is the single likeliest exact score. Within the result we favor, 2-1 is the likeliest score.
Stats: Huddersfield v Leicester
| Per game |  Huddersfield |  Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.6 / 3.2 | 7.2 / 5.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| xG for / against | 2.23 / 0.77 | 2.01 / 0.93 |
| Per game | Huddersfield | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 13 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.00 | 1.69 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.86 | 1.46 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 69% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 31% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.3 / 3.5 | 7.0 / 5.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| xG for / against | 2.13 / 0.88 | 1.70 / 1.26 |
| Per game | Huddersfield | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.29 | 1.83 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 33% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.7 / 3.7 | 6.5 / 5.7 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| xG for / against | 2.06 / 0.97 | 1.52 / 1.32 |
Market fair prices
| Match result | Huddersfield win | 43% | 11/8 |
| Draw | 25% | 29/10 | |
| Leicester win | 32% | 21/10 | |
| Double chance | Huddersfield or draw | 68% | 4/9 |
| Leicester or draw | 57% | 8/11 | |
| Draw no bet | Huddersfield | 57% | 8/11 |
| Leicester | 43% | 13/10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 8/13 |
| No | 39% | 8/5 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 81% | 2/9 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 8/11 | |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 7/5 | |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 9/5 | |
| Result and BTTS | Huddersfield and yes | 23% | 10/3 |
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Leicester and yes | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Result and goals | Huddersfield and over 2.5 | 29% | 5/2 |
| Leicester and over 2.5 | 21% | 18/5 | |
| Huddersfield and under 2.5 | 14% | 13/2 | |
| Leicester and under 2.5 | 11% | 17/2 | |
| Half time / full time | Huddersfield / Huddersfield | 26% | 14/5 |
| Leicester / Leicester | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Huddersfield | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 68% | 1/2 |
| Over 10.5 | 57% | 8/11 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 47% | 11/10 |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 23/10 |
Fair price = our chance divided into 1.
Line-up predictions
Huddersfield 3-4-2-1
- Young, Matt.GK
- Bronkhorst, Ilias.MID
- Mumba, Bali.MID
- Roughan, Sean.DEF
- Bowat, Ibane.DEF
- Balker, Radinio.DEF
- Collins, Archie.MID
- Humphreys, Cameron.MID
- Taylor, Joseph.FWD
- Fernandes, Sanches.FWD
- Myers-Harness, Marcus.FWD
The start came Tue 3 Nov v Luton.
Leicester 4-1-4-1
- McCarthy, Alex.GK
- O'Hora, Warren.DEF
- Thomas, Luke.DEF
- Lundstram, John.MID
- Souttar, Harry.DEF
- Okoli, Caleb.DEF
- Alves, Will.MID
- Braybrooke, Sammy.MID
- Emil Riis Jakobsen is listed.FWD
- Louis Page is listed.MID
- Kamari Doyle is listed.MID
The start came Sat 31 Oct v Stevenage.
Chances of the correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 11.7 | 7.7 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Huddersfield, 15 games played. Leicester, 15 games played.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 11.5 in total, Huddersfield 5.7 and Leicester 5.8, with the league at 10.4.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.6 (league 3.7).
Form guide
Huddersfield Town
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | v Luton | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Bradford | 3-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Wigan | 2-1 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Peterborough | 4-1 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Plymouth | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Sheffield Wednesday | 2-2 | D |
The scores list Huddersfield first.
Leicester City
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Stevenage | 2-2 | D |
| Tue 27 Oct | v Wigan | 3-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Luton | 1-2 | L |
| Tue 20 Oct | at Bromley | 4-0 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Doncaster | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Peterborough | 1-3 | L |
The scores list Leicester first.
League One standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton Town | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth Argyle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford City | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November