AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool prediction
Our assessment
In League One, Wimbledon hold 18th place with 13 points from 13 games. Blackpool sit 19th on 12 points from 12 matches, 1 point behind.
Wimbledon finished their last 6 with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 14. In their last 6, Blackpool recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses. They scored 6 and conceded 12.
This season, both teams scored in 38% of Wimbledon's games, while 46% had more than 2.5 goals. Blackpool's figures are 67% and 58%. Wimbledon generate 0.87 expected goals per game and allow 1.63. Blackpool generate 1.28 and allow 1.89.
Since August 2024, the teams have played 2 times in our results, with 2 Wimbledon wins, 0 Blackpool wins and 0 draws. The most recent meeting finished AFC Wimbledon 4-1 Blackpool on Wednesday 11 March 2026.
Expected goals stand at 1.19 for Wimbledon and 1.39 for Blackpool. From those figures, our model makes Blackpool's win likeliest at 41%, ahead of Wimbledon 31% and the draw 28%.
Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Blackpool. For exact scores, 1-1 leads at 13.3%. Inside the result we lean toward, 0-1 is the likeliest score.
Wimbledon v Blackpool statistics
| Per game |  Wimbledon |  Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.6 / 5.4 | 6.8 / 7.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| xG for / against | 0.86 / 2.12 | 0.88 / 1.49 |
| Per game | Wimbledon | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 12 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.69 | 1.42 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.62 | 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 17% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.6 / 5.8 | 5.5 / 7.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| xG for / against | 0.87 / 1.63 | 1.28 / 1.89 |
| Per game | Wimbledon | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.50 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | 17% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.5 / 6.5 | 5.8 / 9.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| xG for / against | 0.85 / 1.71 | 1.20 / 2.18 |
| Per game | Wimbledon | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.0 / 4.5 | 4.5 / 4.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Wimbledon win | 31% | 9/4 |
| Draw | 28% | 5/2 | |
| Blackpool win | 41% | 6/4 | |
| Double chance | Wimbledon or draw | 59% | 4/6 |
| Blackpool or draw | 69% | 4/9 | |
| Draw no bet | Wimbledon | 43% | 5/4 |
| Blackpool | 57% | 4/5 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 10/11 |
| No | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 74% | 4/11 |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 11/10 | |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 10/11 | |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 11/4 | |
| Result and BTTS | Wimbledon and yes | 15% | 6/1 |
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Blackpool and yes | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Result and goals | Wimbledon and over 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 |
| Blackpool and over 2.5 | 24% | 10/3 | |
| Wimbledon and under 2.5 | 14% | 13/2 | |
| Blackpool and under 2.5 | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Blackpool / Blackpool | 24% | 3/1 |
| Wimbledon / Wimbledon | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 16% | 5/1 | |
| Draw / Blackpool | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 73% | 4/11 |
| Over 10.5 | 63% | 4/7 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 43% | 11/8 |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 11/4 |
Divide 1 by our chance to get the fair price. Our feed doesn't yet include UK bookmaker prices for this match. Two or three days ahead of kick-off, football-data.co.uk usually posts them.
The line-ups we expect
Wimbledon 5-3-2
- Bursik, Josef.GK
- Tilley, James.DEF
- Sasu, Aron.DEF
- Seddon, Steve.DEF
- Johnson, Ryan.DEF
- Yiadom, Andy.DEF
- Smith, Alistair.MID
- Harrison, Ollie.MID
- Cornick, Harry.FWD
- Stockley, Jayden.FWD
- Hippolyte, Myles.MID
They began at Stockport on Sat 31 Oct.
Blackpool 5-3-2
- Peacock-Farrell, Bailey.GK
- Williams, Jordan.DEF
- Coulson, Hayden.DEF
- Ashworth, Zachary.DEF
- Casey, Oliver.DEF
- Lyons, Andy.DEF
- Anderson, Karoy.MID
- Morgan, Albie.MID
- Taylor, Dale.FWD
- Bloxham, Tom.FWD
- Clarkson, Leighton.MID
They started at Sheff Wed on Sun 1 Nov.
Other clubs: from ESPN, the eleven who started their most recent match. Once ESPN confirms and names the teams, they replace these line-ups about an hour before kick-off.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.4 | 9.8 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 13.3 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
When the goals come
The game counts are Wimbledon, 15 games. Blackpool, 14 games. This season's ESPN match events record goals scored by minute.
Corner and card records
- Corners expected: 12.1 overall, with Wimbledon 6.5, Blackpool 5.6 and the league at 10.4.
- Expected yellow cards: 3.4 (league 3.7).
Latest form
AFC Wimbledon
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Stockport | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Wycombe | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Mansfield | 0-3 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Sheffield Wednesday | 0-5 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Plymouth | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 26 Sep | at Cambridge | 1-1 | D |
For these scores, Wimbledon comes first.
Blackpool
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 1 Nov | at Sheffield Wednesday | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Mansfield | 1-4 | L |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Milton Keynes Dons | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Leyton Orient | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Cambridge | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 19 Sep | v Plymouth | 2-4 | L |
Here, Blackpool is listed first.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 11 Mar 2026 | League One | AFC Wimbledon 4-1 Blackpool | 1-0 | 14 |
| Sat 4 Oct 2025 | League One | Blackpool 0-2 AFC Wimbledon | 0-1 | 3 |
The League One table
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster Rovers | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan Athletic | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
The standings come from ESPN and are as of Wednesday 4 November.