Stockport County vs Reading prediction
Our breakdown
In the League One table, Stockport are 2nd on 26 points from 14 games played. Reading are 6th on 22 points from 13 games, 4 points behind.
In their last 6 games, Stockport took 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Reading's last 6 brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded.
This season, 50% of Stockport games saw both teams score, and 50% finished above 2.5 goals. Reading's figures are 50% and 50%. Stockport's expected goals stand at 2.07 a game, with 1.06 allowed. Reading's figures are 1.83 created and 1.07 allowed.
Our results show 4 meetings since August 2024: Stockport won 2, Reading 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent of those, on Sunday 4 January 2026, ended with Reading 1-0 Stockport.
A Stockport win is the likeliest outcome in the model at 46%; the draw is 26% and Reading 29%. Working from expected goals: 1.63 for Stockport, 1.26 for Reading.
Prediction: Stockport County 2-1 Reading. At 12.1%, 1-1 is the single likeliest exact score; within the result we lean to, 2-1 has the best chance.
Stats: Stockport v Reading
| Per game |  Stockport |  Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 7.6 / 3.4 | 5.8 / 5.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| xG for / against | 2.52 / 0.75 | 1.44 / 1.25 |
| Per game | Stockport | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.86 | 1.79 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 1.07 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 36% | 36% |
| Corners won / conceded | 7.4 / 3.6 | 5.7 / 4.3 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| xG for / against | 2.07 / 1.06 | 1.83 / 1.07 |
| Per game | Stockport | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.29 | 1.14 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 8.9 / 3.4 | 6.0 / 4.9 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| xG for / against | 2.04 / 1.11 | 1.72 / 0.93 |
| Per game | Stockport | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 25% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.0 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 4.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Stockport win | 46% | 6/5 |
| Draw | 26% | 3/1 | |
| Reading win | 29% | 5/2 | |
| Double chance | Stockport or draw | 71% | 2/5 |
| Reading or draw | 54% | 5/6 | |
| Draw no bet | Stockport | 61% | 8/13 |
| Reading | 39% | 13/8 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 8/11 |
| No | 42% | 11/8 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 79% | 1/4 |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 4/5 | |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 5/4 | |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 2/1 | |
| Result and BTTS | Stockport and yes | 23% | 10/3 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Reading and yes | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Result and goals | Stockport and over 2.5 | 30% | 9/4 |
| Reading and over 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Stockport and under 2.5 | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Reading and under 2.5 | 11% | 17/2 | |
| Half time / full time | Stockport / Stockport | 28% | 5/2 |
| Reading / Reading | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Draw / Stockport | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 56% | 4/5 |
| Over 10.5 | 45% | 6/5 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 42% | 11/8 |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 11/4 |
A fair price is 1 divided by our chance. Our feed is still missing the UK bookmaker prices for this match; football-data.co.uk usually posts them before kick-off, two or three days ahead.
Predicted starting XIs
Stockport 3-4-3
- Whatmuff, Oliver.GK
- Dacres-Cogley, Joshua.MID
- Ennis, Ethan.MID
- Pye, Ethan.DEF
- O'Connell, Eoghan.DEF
- Jobe, Mamadou.DEF
- Norwood, Oliver.MID
- Fiorini, Lewis.MID
- Wootton, Kyle.FWD
- Diamond, Jack.FWD
- Andrésson, Benoný.FWD
They started against Wimbledon on Sat 31 Oct.
Reading 4-4-1-1
- Pereira, Joel.GK
- Godwin-Malife, Udoka.DEF
- Roberts, Hayden.DEF
- Wing, Lewis.MID
- O'Conner, Paudie.DEF
- Dorsett, Jeriel.DEF
- Lisbie, Kyreece.MID
- Rinomhota, Andy.MID
- Marriott, Jack.FWD
- Stokes, Joshua.FWD
- Kyerewaa, Daniel.MID
At Oxford Utd on Wed 4 Nov, they started
For other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven who started their latest match. Once the teams are named, ESPN's confirmed line-ups replace these about an hour ahead of kick-off.
Chances for each exact score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.4 | 12.1 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Stockport, 15 games and Reading, 17 games. ESPN match events this season give the goals scored by minute.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 10.4That splits into Stockport 5.8 and Reading 4.5, with the league at 10.4
- Yellow cards expected: 3.4, compared with 3.7 in the league.
Form guide
Stockport County
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v AFC Wimbledon | 2-1 | W |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Oxford | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Notts County | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 20 Oct | at Doncaster | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Bromley | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Barnsley | 3-1 | W |
Stockport's score comes first in each line.
Reading
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | at Oxford | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Plymouth | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Barnsley | 2-1 | W |
| Wed 21 Oct | v Leyton Orient | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Wigan | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Milton Keynes Dons | 5-1 | W |
Reading comes first in the scores.
Head to head
| Sun 4 Jan 2026 | League One | Reading 1-0 Stockport | 0-0 | 6 |
| Sat 27 Sep 2025 | League One | Stockport 1-1 Reading | 1-0 | 8 |
| Sat 18 Jan 2025 | League One | Reading 1-3 Stockport | 0-2 | 3 |
| Tue 29 Oct 2024 | League One | Stockport 4-1 Reading | 3-1 | 6 |
League One standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield Town | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Luton Town | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Oxford United | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Plymouth Argyle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford City | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +0 | 21 |
The table comes from ESPN, as of Wednesday 4 November.