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Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth Argyle prediction

Sheffield Wednesday crestSheff Wed
15:00Saturday 14 November
PlymouthPlymouth Argyle crest
1-2predicted score (8%)
60%both teams score
56%over 2.5 goals
1.46-1.49expected goals

Our breakdown

Sheff Wed are 9th in League One on 20 points from 13 games. Plymouth sit 5th on 23 points from 14 games, 3 points ahead.

Sheff Wed's last 6 games brought 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses, 9 scored and 8 conceded. Plymouth's last 6 brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, 7 scored and 8 against.

This season, both teams scored in 54% of Sheff Wed games, and 46% of their games finished above 2.5 goals. For Plymouth, the numbers are 43% and 50%. Per game, Sheff Wed's expected goals are 1.67 created and 1.41 allowed; Plymouth 1.44 and 1.43.

Our results show 2 meetings since August 2024, with Sheff Wed winning 2, Plymouth winning 0 and 0 draws. Plymouth 0-3 Sheffield Wednesday was the result on Saturday 8 March 2025, their latest meeting.

Plymouth's 1.49 expected goals and Sheff Wed's 1.46 lead the model to 38% for Plymouth, Sheff Wed 36% and 26% for the draw.

Our prediction: Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 Plymouth Argyle. Only one exact score comes top: 1-1 at 12.1%. Inside the result we lean to, 1-2 is the likeliest score.

Sheff Wed v Plymouth match stats

Per gameSheffield Wednesday crestSheff WedPlymouth Argyle crestPlymouth
Games55
Goals scored a game1.401.00
Goals conceded a game1.201.60
Both teams scored40%40%
Over 2.5 goals20%60%
Clean sheets20%20%
Corners won / conceded4.6 / 7.43.4 / 8.4
Yellow cards a game2.41.0
xG for / against1.25 / 1.371.15 / 1.55

Fair prices for each market

Match resultSheff Wed win36%7/4
Draw26%11/4
Plymouth win38%13/8
Double chanceSheff Wed or draw62%8/13
Plymouth or draw64%4/7
Draw no betSheff Wed49%21/20
Plymouth51%evens
Both teams to scoreYes60%4/6
No40%6/4
GoalsOver 1.580%1/4
Over 2.556%4/5
Under 2.544%5/4
Over 3.534%2/1
Result and BTTSSheff Wed and yes20%4/1
Draw and yes20%4/1
Plymouth and yes20%4/1
Result and goalsSheff Wed and over 2.524%10/3
Plymouth and over 2.525%3/1
Sheff Wed and under 2.513%7/1
Plymouth and under 2.513%13/2
Half time / full timePlymouth / Plymouth23%7/2
Sheff Wed / Sheff Wed22%7/2
Draw / Draw14%6/1
Draw / Plymouth13%13/2
CornersOver 9.566%8/15
Over 10.555%4/5
CardsOver 3.545%6/5
Over 4.529%5/2

A fair price comes from dividing 1 by our chance. For this match, UK bookmaker prices aren't in our feed yet. Those usually show up on football-data.co.uk two or three days ahead of kick-off.

Line-ups we expect

Sheffield Wednesday crestThe Sheff Wed 3-4-2-1 shape.

  1. Maynard-Brewer, Ashley.GK
  2. Valery, Yan.MID
  3. Lowe, Max.MID
  4. Swinkels, Sil.DEF
  5. Weaver, Ernie.DEF
  6. Palmer, Liam.DEF
  7. Heskey, Jaden.MID
  8. Bannan, Barry.MID
  9. Burstow, Mason.FWD
  10. Slattery, Callum.FWD
  11. Kellior-Dunn, Davis.FWD

They started against Blackpool on Sun 1 Nov.

Plymouth Argyle crestPlymouth 3-4-3

  1. Storer, James.GK
  2. Edwards, Joe.MID
  3. Mackenzie, Jack.MID
  4. Harding, Wes.DEF
  5. Mitchell, Alex.DEF
  6. Pleguezuelo, Julio.DEF
  7. Bakinson, Tyreeq.MID
  8. White, Harvey.MID
  9. Pepple, Aribim.FWD
  10. Amaechi, Xavier.FWD
  11. Evans, Will.FWD

They started Sat 31 Oct v Reading.

For the other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven who started their latest match. ESPN's confirmed teams replace these once named, about an hour before kick-off.

Chances for each correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Sheff Wed goals listed down the side and Plymouth goals across
012345
06.07.15.82.91.10.3
17.012.18.54.21.60.5
25.68.36.23.11.10.3
32.74.03.01.50.60.2
41.01.51.10.50.20.1
50.30.40.30.20.10.0

When each team scores

211-152516-306331-455846-603261-755676-90

15 games for Sheff Wed, and Plymouth, 16 games. This season's goals by minute come from ESPN match events.

Corners plus cards

Form guide

Sheffield Wednesday crestSheffield Wednesday

The last 6 for Sheff Wed
Result
Sun 1 Novv Blackpool1-1D
Tue 27 Octv Cambridge1-1D
Sat 24 Octat Doncaster0-2L
Tue 20 Octat Notts County0-2L
Sat 17 Octv AFC Wimbledon5-0W
Sat 10 Octat Huddersfield2-2D

Sheff Wed is listed first in the scores.

Plymouth Argyle crestPlymouth Argyle

The last 6 for Plymouth
Result
Sat 31 Octv Reading0-0D
Sat 24 Octat Cambridge3-2W
Tue 20 Octat Stevenage0-3L
Sat 17 Octv Huddersfield0-2L
Sat 10 Octv AFC Wimbledon2-1W
Sat 3 Octat Leyton Orient2-0W

Plymouth is listed first in the scores.

Head to head

DateCompetitionResultHalf timeCorners
Sat 8 Mar 2025ChampionshipPlymouth 0-3 Sheffield Wednesday0-24
Sun 11 Aug 2024ChampionshipSheffield Wednesday 4-0 Plymouth1-016

League One table

PosClubPWDLGDPts
3Luton Town crestLuton Town14734+624
4Oxford United crestOxford United12651+923
5Plymouth Argyle crestPlymouth Argyle14725+223
6Reading crestReading13643+1222
7Bradford City crestBradford City13643+222
8Cambridge United crestCambridge United14563+021
9Sheffield Wednesday crestSheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester City crestLeicester City13544+319
11Mansfield Town crestMansfield Town13544+219

Positions are taken from ESPN, as at Wednesday 4 November.

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