Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley prediction

Wigan

15:00Saturday 14 November

Barnsley

League One
The match is at DW Stadium.
Our feed hasn't named the referee yet.
UK TV: no live coverage (the Saturday blackout)

2-1predicted score (9%)

58%both teams score

54%over 2.5 goals

1.49-1.34expected goals

40%26%33%

The analysis we provide

Wigan sit 21st in League One, taking 11 points from 14 games. Barnsley rank 23rd with 9 points from 12 matches, 2 points behind.

Wigan's last 6 matches brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 6 goals scored and 9 conceded. Barnsley lost 4 of their last 6 and drew 2, winning 0; they scored 6 and conceded 11.

In 36% of Wigan matches this season, both teams scored, and 50% finished above 2.5 goals; Barnsley reached 75% and 67%. Wigan's expected goals are 1.38 per game and 1.83 allowed; Barnsley stand at 1.31 created and 1.69 allowed.

Our results show 4 meetings since August 2024: 1 Wigan win, 0 for Barnsley and 3 draws. The most recent meeting, on Tuesday 17 March 2026, ended Barnsley 1-1 Wigan.

The likeliest result the model gives is a Wigan win at 40%. The draw stands at 26% and Barnsley 33%, based on 1.49 expected goals for Wigan and 1.34 for Barnsley.

We go with Wigan Athletic 2-1 Barnsley. At 12.5%, 1-1 ranks as the single likeliest exact score; within the result we favor, 2-1 is the likeliest score.

Stats for Wigan v Barnsley

Per game	Wigan	Barnsley
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded a game	1.80	2.00
Both teams scored	60%	100%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	80%
Clean sheets	20%	0%
Corners won / conceded	3.4 / 5.8	6.2 / 9.8
Yellow cards a game	2.8	2.2
xG for / against	1.18 / 2.16	1.26 / 1.98

Per game	Wigan	Barnsley
Games	14	12
Goals scored a game	0.79	1.00
Goals conceded a game	1.57	1.83
Both teams scored	36%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	67%
Clean sheets	21%	8%
Corners won / conceded	4.9 / 5.4	7.4 / 6.8
Yellow cards a game	2.7	2.5
xG for / against	1.38 / 1.83	1.31 / 1.69

Per game	Wigan	Barnsley
Games	7	6
Goals scored a game	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded a game	1.43	1.83
Both teams scored	29%	67%
Over 2.5 goals	43%	83%
Clean sheets	29%	17%
Corners won / conceded	4.7 / 4.3	6.2 / 6.0
Yellow cards a game	2.1	1.7
xG for / against	1.41 / 1.79	1.06 / 1.28

Per game	Wigan	Barnsley
Games	4	4
Goals scored a game	1.00	0.75
Goals conceded a game	0.75	1.00
Both teams scored	75%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheets	25%	0%
Corners won / conceded	5.2 / 7.0	7.0 / 5.2
Yellow cards a game	2.2	2.0

Market fair prices


Match result	Wigan win	40%	6/4
	Draw	26%	11/4
	Barnsley win	33%	2/1
Double chance	Wigan or draw	67%	1/2
	Barnsley or draw	60%	4/6
Draw no bet	Wigan	54%	5/6
	Barnsley	46%	6/5
Both teams to score	Yes	58%	8/11
	No	42%	11/8
Goals	Over 1.5	78%	2/7
	Over 2.5	54%	5/6
	Under 2.5	46%	6/5
	Over 3.5	31%	9/4
Result and BTTS	Wigan and yes	21%	4/1
	Draw and yes	20%	4/1
	Barnsley and yes	17%	9/2
Result and goals	Wigan and over 2.5	25%	3/1
	Barnsley and over 2.5	21%	4/1
	Wigan and under 2.5	15%	6/1
	Barnsley and under 2.5	13%	7/1
Half time / full time	Wigan / Wigan	24%	3/1
	Barnsley / Barnsley	20%	4/1
	Draw / Draw	15%	6/1
	Draw / Wigan	14%	6/1
Corners	Over 9.5	70%	4/9
	Over 10.5	59%	4/6
Cards	Over 3.5	59%	4/6
	Over 4.5	42%	11/8

Match result

Wigan win

40%

6/4

Draw

26%

11/4

Barnsley win

33%

2/1

Double chance

Wigan or draw

67%

1/2

Barnsley or draw

60%

4/6

Draw no bet

Wigan

54%

5/6

Barnsley

46%

6/5

Both teams to score

Yes

58%

8/11

42%

11/8

Goals

Over 1.5

78%

2/7

Over 2.5

54%

5/6

Under 2.5

46%

6/5

Over 3.5

31%

9/4

Result and BTTS

Wigan and yes

21%

4/1

Draw and yes

20%

4/1

Barnsley and yes

17%

9/2

Result and goals

Wigan and over 2.5

25%

3/1

Barnsley and over 2.5

21%

4/1

Wigan and under 2.5

15%

6/1

Barnsley and under 2.5

13%

7/1

Half time / full time

Wigan / Wigan

24%

3/1

Barnsley / Barnsley

20%

4/1

Draw / Draw

15%

6/1

Draw / Wigan

14%

6/1

Corners

Over 9.5

70%

4/9

Over 10.5

59%

4/6

Cards

Over 3.5

59%

4/6

Over 4.5

42%

11/8

Our chance, divided into 1, gives the fair price. Our feed doesn't yet include UK bookmaker prices for this match. football-data.co.uk usually publishes them two or three days ahead of kick-off.

Expected starting elevens

Wigan 3-4-2-1

Whitworth, Joseph.GK
Barrett, Connor.MID
K'Marni MillerMID
Burns, Finley.DEF
Carragher, James.DEF
Weir, Jensen.DEF
Power, Max.MID
Gray, Charlie.MID
Hogan, Scott.FWD
Burrowes, Bradley.FWD
Walsh, Reggie.FWD

They started against Mansfield on Tue 3 Nov.

Barnsley 4-2-3-1

Slicker, Cieran.GK
Kay, Arley.DEF
Larkeche, Ziyad.DEF
Connell, Luca.MID
Gale, Sam.DEF
Shepherd, Jack.DEF
Yoganathan, Vimal.MID
Kelly, Patrick.MID
Ademeyo, Tobi.FWD
McGeehan, Cameron.MID
Cleary, Reyes.MID

Started against Oxford Utd on Sat 31 Oct.

For other clubs, ESPN provides the eleven who started their latest match. Once the teams are named, ESPN's confirmed line-ups replace these about one hour before kick-off.

Chances for each correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Wigan goals listed down the side and Barnsley goals across
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.6	7.2	5.3	2.4	0.8	0.2
1	8.1	12.5	7.9	3.5	1.2	0.3
2	6.5	8.8	5.9	2.6	0.9	0.2
3	3.2	4.3	2.9	1.3	0.4	0.1
4	1.2	1.6	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0
5	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

When the goals come

Wigan, 15 games and Barnsley, 15 games. This season's goals by minute, taken from ESPN match events.

Cards and corners

Expected corners: 11.7, with Wigan 6.2, Barnsley 5.5 and the league on 10.4.
Yellow cards expected: 4.3 (league 3.7).

Latest form

Wigan Athletic

Wigan, last 6
			Result
Tue 3 Nov	v Mansfield	0-0	D
Sat 31 Oct	v Bromley	3-2	W
Tue 27 Oct	at Leicester	0-3	L
Sat 24 Oct	at Huddersfield	1-2	L
Tue 20 Oct	at Oxford	1-2	L
Sat 17 Oct	v Reading	1-0	W

Read the scores with Wigan first.

Barnsley

Barnsley, last 6
			Result
Sat 31 Oct	v Oxford	1-1	D
Sat 24 Oct	at Reading	1-2	L
Tue 20 Oct	at Luton	1-2	L
Sat 17 Oct	v Cambridge	1-2	L
Sat 10 Oct	at Stockport	1-3	L
Sat 19 Sep	v Leicester	1-1	D

The scores read Barnsley first.

Head to head


Tue 17 Mar 2026	League One	Barnsley 1-1 Wigan	0-1	16
Thu 1 Jan 2026	League One	Wigan 1-1 Barnsley	1-0	14
Sat 29 Mar 2025	League One	Wigan 1-1 Barnsley	0-1	7
Sat 23 Nov 2024	League One	Barnsley 0-1 Wigan	0-1	12