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Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers prediction

Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town
3-1full time, Sat 31 Oct
Bristol RoversBristol Rovers crest
1-0predicted score (11%)
52%both teams score
48%over 2.5 goals
1.52-1.07expected goals

Across 6 UK bookmakers, the average with no margin gives Fleetwood Town 35%, draw 28% and Bristol Rovers 38%.

The model's view

In the League Two standings, Fleetwood Town are 16th after taking 17 points from 14 games. The 17th-placed Bristol Rovers have 16 points from 14 and trail by 1.

Across their last 6, Fleetwood Town recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 7 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last 6, Bristol Rovers had 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 9.

So far this season, 62% of Fleetwood Town games saw both sides score, while 38% produced more than 2.5 goals. Bristol Rovers' rates were 38% and 46%. Fleetwood Town's expected goals are 1.16 each game and 1.50 conceded; Bristol Rovers create 1.76 and concede 1.22.

Since August 2024, our results include 2 meetings: 1 Fleetwood Town win, 1 Bristol Rovers win and 0 draws. Friday 3 April 2026 saw Bristol Rvs 1-0 Fleetwood Town in their latest meeting.

The model's likeliest outcome is a Fleetwood Town win at 47%, followed by a 27% draw and Bristol Rovers 26%. Its expected goals are 1.52 for Fleetwood Town and 1.07 for Bristol Rovers. After removing their margin, UK bookmakers price the outcome at 35%. We rate it above the market.

Score prediction: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Bristol Rovers. With a 12.9% chance, 1-1 ranks as the likeliest exact score. Within the result we favor, 1-0 is most likely.

Fleetwood Town v Bristol Rovers statistics

Per gameFleetwood Town crestFleetwood TownBristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers
Games55
Goals scored a game1.400.60
Goals conceded a game1.601.80
Both teams scored80%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%
Clean sheets20%20%
Corners won / conceded6.5 / 4.25.0 / 4.0
Yellow cards a game2.83.0
xG for / against1.60 / 1.231.39 / 1.50

UK odds and fair prices

Match resultFleetwood Town win47%11/107/4 Betfred+28.7%
Draw27%11/45/2 Betfred-7.7%
Bristol Rovers win26%11/46/4 bet365-34.8%
Double chanceFleetwood Town or draw74%4/11
Bristol Rovers or draw53%10/11
Draw no betFleetwood Town64%4/7
Bristol Rovers36%7/4
Both teams to scoreYes52%10/11
No48%11/10
GoalsOver 1.574%4/11
Over 2.548%11/105/6 bet365-11.4%
Under 2.552%10/11evens bet365+4.2%
Over 3.526%11/4
Result and BTTSFleetwood Town and yes21%4/1
Draw and yes19%9/2
Bristol Rovers and yes12%7/1
Result and goalsFleetwood Town and over 2.528%11/4
Bristol Rovers and over 2.514%6/1
Fleetwood Town and under 2.519%4/1
Bristol Rovers and under 2.512%15/2
Half time / full timeFleetwood Town / Fleetwood Town28%5/2
Draw / Fleetwood Town17%5/1
Draw / Draw16%11/2
Bristol Rovers / Bristol Rovers15%11/2
CornersOver 9.551%10/11
Over 10.541%6/4
CardsOver 3.565%8/15
Over 4.549%21/20

Our chance divided into 1 gives the fair price. Our bookmaker prices use football-data.co.uk, with match odds plus over/under 2.5 only. The edge appears where both numbers are available.

Teams named to start

Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town 3-1-4-2

  1. Lynch, Jay.GK
  2. Mccann, Lewis.MID
  3. Batty, Jake.MID
  4. Bennett, Rhys.DEF
  5. Rooney, Shaun.DEF
  6. Potter, Finley.DEF
  7. Mclean, Crispin.MID
  8. Neal, Harrison.DEF
  9. Coughlan, Ronan.FWD
  10. Loupalo-Bi, Aaron.FWD
  11. Helm, Mark.MID

Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers 3-4-3

  1. Young, Brad.GK
  2. James, Tom.MID
  3. Sparkes, Jack.MID
  4. Kelly, Ciaran.DEF
  5. Kilgour, Alfie.DEF
  6. Gough, Keenan.DEF
  7. Smallwood, Richard.MID
  8. Mola, Clinton.MID
  9. Cavegn, Fabrizio.FWD
  10. Forde, Shaqai.FWD
  11. Appiah, Arvin.FWD

ESPN supplied the starting elevens, read Wednesday 4 November, 09:12.

Chances for each exact score

In %, the chance of every score, with Fleetwood Town goals listed down the side and Bristol Rovers goals running across
012345
08.27.34.31.50.40.1
110.712.96.52.30.60.1
28.69.35.01.80.50.1
34.44.72.50.90.20.1
41.71.81.00.30.10.0
50.50.50.30.10.00.0

Scoring by minute

311-153316-305231-454446-605261-755576-90

The count comes to Fleetwood Town, 18 games and Bristol Rovers, 15 games. This season's goals scored by minute come from ESPN match events.

Corners plus cards

Form guide

Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town

Last 6 for Fleetwood Town
Result
Tue 27 Octv Arsenal1-1D
Sat 24 Octat Exeter1-2L
Tue 20 Octat Cheltenham2-4L
Sat 17 Octv Rotherham2-0W
Sat 10 Octv Walsall1-1D
Sat 3 Octat Salford0-1L

Each score lists Fleetwood Town first.

Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers

Last 6 for Bristol Rovers
Result
Sat 24 Octv Swindon0-0D
Tue 20 Octv Salford1-2L
Sat 17 Octat Shrewsbury0-1L
Sat 10 Octv Barnet1-3L
Sat 3 Octat Crewe1-3L
Sat 26 Sepv Exeter1-0W

Each score lists Bristol Rovers first.

Head to head

DateCompetitionResultHalf timeCorners
Fri 3 Apr 2026League TwoBristol Rvs 1-0 Fleetwood Town0-09
Sat 9 Aug 2025League TwoFleetwood Town 2-1 Bristol Rvs2-07

League Two table

PosClubPWDLGDPts
14Newport County crestNewport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury Town crestShrewsbury Town14536-518
16Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town14455+017
17Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham Athletic crestOldham Athletic14437-415
19Port Vale crestPort Vale12435-415

The table comes from ESPN and is current as of Wednesday 4 November.

Further League Two predictions