Crawley Town vs Fleetwood Town prediction

Crawley

15:00Saturday 21 November

Fleetwood Town

League Two
Broadfield Stadium is the venue.
Not live on UK TV because of the Saturday blackout.

0-1predicted score (10%)

51%both teams score

45%over 2.5 goals

1.15-1.33expected goals

31%29%40%

The analysis we provide

With 9 points from 12 games, Crawley sit 24th in the League Two. Fleetwood Town sit 16th, with 17 points from 14 matches, 8 points clear.

Crawley's last 6 matches brought 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 7 goals for and 10 against. Fleetwood Town's last 6 brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. They scored 10 and conceded 9.

This season, 67% of Crawley matches saw both teams score, while 50% went past 2.5 goals. For Fleetwood Town, the rates are 64% and 43%. Crawley produce 1.35 expected goals per match and concede 1.71, while Fleetwood Town produce 1.24 and concede 1.40.

Since August 2024, our results show 2 meetings. Of those, Crawley recorded 1 win, Fleetwood Town recorded 1 and 0 ended level. Their latest meeting, on Saturday 21 March 2026, ended Fleetwood Town 1-0 Crawley Town.

With expected goals showing 1.15 for Crawley and 1.33 for Fleetwood Town, the model puts Fleetwood Town's win at 40%, Crawley 31% and a draw at 29%.

We predict Crawley Town 0-1 Fleetwood Town. We give 1-1 the highest single exact score chance at 13.6%. Inside the result we lean to, the likeliest score is 0-1.

Crawley vs Fleetwood Town stats

Per game	Crawley	Fleetwood Town
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	1.40	1.80
Goals conceded a game	1.60	1.60
Both teams scored	80%	80%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Corners won / conceded	3.8 / 6.2	5.5 / 4.5
Yellow cards a game	1.8	2.2
xG for / against	1.33 / 1.40	1.76 / 1.07

Per game	Crawley	Fleetwood Town
Games	12	14
Goals scored a game	1.08	1.29
Goals conceded a game	1.75	1.29
Both teams scored	67%	64%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	43%
Clean sheets	8%	29%
Corners won / conceded	4.2 / 5.7	5.1 / 5.1
Yellow cards a game	2.7	2.4
xG for / against	1.35 / 1.71	1.24 / 1.40

Per game	Crawley	Fleetwood Town
Games	6	7
Goals scored a game	1.00	1.14
Goals conceded a game	2.00	1.86
Both teams scored	67%	71%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	57%
Clean sheets	0%	14%
Corners won / conceded	4.0 / 7.0	4.0 / 6.9
Yellow cards a game	2.8	2.6
xG for / against	1.23 / 1.85	1.15 / 1.94

Per game	Crawley	Fleetwood Town
Games	2	2
Goals scored a game	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded a game	1.00	1.00
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	50%
Corners won / conceded	10.5 / 3.5	3.5 / 10.5
Yellow cards a game	1.0	2.5

Fair prices for each market


Match result	Crawley win	31%	11/5
	Draw	29%	5/2
	Fleetwood Town win	40%	6/4
Double chance	Crawley or draw	60%	4/6
	Fleetwood Town or draw	69%	4/9
Draw no bet	Crawley	44%	5/4
	Fleetwood Town	56%	4/5
Both teams to score	Yes	51%	evens
	No	49%	21/20
Goals	Over 1.5	72%	2/5
	Over 2.5	45%	6/5
	Under 2.5	55%	5/6
	Over 3.5	24%	16/5
Result and BTTS	Crawley and yes	14%	6/1
	Draw and yes	19%	4/1
	Fleetwood Town and yes	17%	9/2
Result and goals	Crawley and over 2.5	17%	5/1
	Fleetwood Town and over 2.5	22%	7/2
	Crawley and under 2.5	14%	6/1
	Fleetwood Town and under 2.5	18%	9/2
Half time / full time	Fleetwood Town / Fleetwood Town	24%	16/5
	Crawley / Crawley	18%	9/2
	Draw / Draw	17%	5/1
	Draw / Fleetwood Town	15%	11/2
Corners	Over 9.5	53%	10/11
	Over 10.5	42%	11/8
Cards	Over 3.5	55%	5/6
	Over 4.5	38%	13/8

Match result

Crawley win

31%

11/5

Draw

29%

5/2

Fleetwood Town win

40%

6/4

Double chance

Crawley or draw

60%

4/6

Fleetwood Town or draw

69%

4/9

Draw no bet

Crawley

44%

5/4

Fleetwood Town

56%

4/5

Both teams to score

Yes

51%

evens

49%

21/20

Goals

Over 1.5

72%

2/5

Over 2.5

45%

6/5

Under 2.5

55%

5/6

Over 3.5

24%

16/5

Result and BTTS

Crawley and yes

14%

6/1

Draw and yes

19%

4/1

Fleetwood Town and yes

17%

9/2

Result and goals

Crawley and over 2.5

17%

5/1

Fleetwood Town and over 2.5

22%

7/2

Crawley and under 2.5

14%

6/1

Fleetwood Town and under 2.5

18%

9/2

Half time / full time

Fleetwood Town / Fleetwood Town

24%

16/5

Crawley / Crawley

18%

9/2

Draw / Draw

17%

5/1

Draw / Fleetwood Town

15%

11/2

Corners

Over 9.5

53%

10/11

Over 10.5

42%

11/8

Cards

Over 3.5

55%

5/6

Over 4.5

38%

13/8

We divide 1 by our chance to get a fair price.

Expected starting line-ups

Crawley 4-1-4-1

Mannone, Vito.GK
Gordon, Kellan.DEF
Richardson, Lewis.DEF
Barker, Charlie.MID
Farquharson, Priestley.DEF
Russell, Jonathan.DEF
Duke-McKenna, Stephen.MID
Arthurs, Jude.MID
Orsi-Dadomo, Danilo.FWD
Jennings, Kai.MID
Morgan, Dylan.MID

They started out at Oldham on Sat 31 Oct.

Fleetwood Town 3-1-4-2

Lynch, Jay.GK
Mccann, Lewis.MID
Batty, Jake.MID
Bennett, Rhys.DEF
Rooney, Shaun.DEF
Potter, Finley.DEF
Mclean, Crispin.MID
Neal, Harrison.DEF
Coughlan, Ronan.FWD
Loupalo-Bi, Aaron.FWD
Helm, Mark.MID

Started Sat 31 Oct against Bristol Rovers.

Chances for the correct score

Percent chance of each score, with Crawley goals down the side and Fleetwood Town goals across
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9.2	10.4	7.4	3.3	1.1	0.3
1	8.9	13.6	8.5	3.8	1.2	0.3
2	5.5	7.4	4.9	2.2	0.7	0.2
3	2.1	2.8	1.9	0.8	0.3	0.1
4	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0
5	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

When each side scores

Crawley games: 14. Fleetwood Town, 18 games.

Cards and corners

Corners expected: 10.1 overall (league 9.9; Crawley 4.5, Fleetwood Town 5.5).
Yellow cards expected: 4.0 (league 3.7).

Latest form

Crawley Town

Crawley in the last 6
			Result
Sat 31 Oct	at Oldham	1-0	W
Sat 24 Oct	v Tranmere	1-1	D
Tue 20 Oct	v Shrewsbury	2-3	L
Sat 17 Oct	at Salford	1-2	L
Sat 10 Oct	v Chesterfield	2-2	D
Sat 19 Sep	at Grimsby	0-2	L

Crawley is listed first in the scores.

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town in the last 6
			Result
Sat 31 Oct	v Bristol Rvs	3-1	W
Tue 27 Oct	v Arsenal	1-1	D
Sat 24 Oct	at Exeter	1-2	L
Tue 20 Oct	at Cheltenham	2-4	L
Sat 17 Oct	v Rotherham	2-0	W
Sat 10 Oct	v Walsall	1-1	D

Fleetwood Town is listed first in the scores.

Head to head

Date	Competition	Result	Half time	Corners
Sat 21 Mar 2026	League Two	Fleetwood Town 1-0 Crawley Town	0-0	14
Sat 8 Nov 2025	League Two	Crawley Town 2-1 Fleetwood Town	1-0	14

The League Two table

Pos	Club	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
14	Newport County	14	4	6	4	+3	18
15	Shrewsbury Town	14	5	3	6	-5	18
16	Fleetwood Town	14	4	5	5	+0	17
17	Bristol Rovers	14	5	1	8	-6	16
18	Oldham Athletic	14	4	3	7	-4	15
19	Port Vale	12	4	3	5	-4	15
20	Rochdale	14	4	3	7	-9	15
21	Northampton Town	13	3	5	5	-1	14
22	Rotherham United	14	2	6	6	-7	12
23	Colchester United	13	2	6	5	-7	12
24	Crawley Town	12	2	3	7	-8	9