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Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers prediction

Cheltenham Town crestCheltenham
15:00Saturday 21 November
Bristol RoversBristol Rovers crest
1-2predicted score (8%)
62%both teams score
59%over 2.5 goals
1.50-1.54expected goals

Our breakdown

Cheltenham rank 5th in League Two after taking 21 points from 14 games. Their 14 matches have brought Bristol Rovers 16 points and 17th place, 5 points behind.

Across their last 6 matches, Cheltenham recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses. They scored 7 and conceded 13. Bristol Rovers' last 6 games produced 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 12 conceded.

During the season, 79% of Cheltenham matches featured goals from both sides, while 71% had more than 2.5 goals. Bristol Rovers' rates are 43% and 50%. Cheltenham's expected goals sit at 1.07 a game, with 1.61 allowed. Bristol Rovers sit at 1.65 created and 1.29 allowed.

There have been 2 meetings in our results since August 2024, with 1 Cheltenham win, 1 Bristol Rovers win and 0 draws. On Saturday 25 April 2026, the most recent meeting ended Bristol Rvs 4-0 Cheltenham.

A Bristol Rovers victory is the model's most likely outcome at 38%, ahead of Cheltenham 37% and a draw at 25%. Its expected goals are 1.50 for Cheltenham and 1.54 for Bristol Rovers.

Our score prediction: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Bristol Rovers. At 11.7%, 1-1 is the most likely single exact score. For the outcome we favor, 1-2 has the strongest chance.

Stats for Cheltenham against Bristol Rovers

Per gameCheltenham Town crestCheltenhamBristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers
Games55
Goals scored a game1.400.60
Goals conceded a game2.201.80
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Clean sheets20%20%
Corners won / conceded4.0 / 3.84.4 / 4.0
Yellow cards a game2.82.2
xG for / against0.97 / 1.521.29 / 1.63

Market fair prices

Match resultCheltenham win37%7/4
Draw25%29/10
Bristol Rovers win38%13/8
Double chanceCheltenham or draw62%8/13
Bristol Rovers or draw63%4/7
Draw no betCheltenham49%21/20
Bristol Rovers51%evens
Both teams to scoreYes62%8/13
No38%8/5
GoalsOver 1.581%2/9
Over 2.559%8/11
Under 2.541%7/5
Over 3.536%7/4
Result and BTTSCheltenham and yes21%4/1
Draw and yes20%4/1
Bristol Rovers and yes21%18/5
Result and goalsCheltenham and over 2.525%3/1
Bristol Rovers and over 2.526%29/10
Cheltenham and under 2.512%15/2
Bristol Rovers and under 2.512%7/1
Half time / full timeBristol Rovers / Bristol Rovers23%17/5
Cheltenham / Cheltenham22%7/2
Draw / Draw13%13/2
Draw / Bristol Rovers13%13/2
CornersOver 9.542%11/8
Over 10.532%11/5
CardsOver 3.556%4/5
Over 4.539%6/4

Divide 1 by our chance to get the fair price.

Line-ups we predict

Cheltenham Town crestCheltenham 4-2-3-1

  1. Stanway, Wyll.GK
  2. Tomkinson, Jonathan.DEF
  3. Shipley, Jordan.DEF
  4. McWilliams, Shaun.MID
  5. Sweeney, Pierce.DEF
  6. James WilsonDEF
  7. Evans, Jake.MID
  8. Stevenson, Ben.MID
  9. Weimann, Andreas.FWD
  10. Mccann, Charlie.MID
  11. Broom, Ryan.MID

They started Sat 31 Oct at Tranmere.

Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers 3-4-3

  1. Young, Brad.GK
  2. James, Tom.MID
  3. Sparkes, Jack.MID
  4. Kelly, Ciaran.DEF
  5. Kilgour, Alfie.DEF
  6. Gough, Keenan.DEF
  7. Smallwood, Richard.MID
  8. Mola, Clinton.MID
  9. Cavegn, Fabrizio.FWD
  10. Forde, Shaqai.FWD
  11. Appiah, Arvin.FWD

They started Sat 31 Oct at Fleetwood Town.

Chances for each correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Cheltenham goals down the side and Bristol Rovers goals across
012345
05.46.75.62.91.10.3
16.511.78.54.31.70.5
25.48.36.43.31.30.4
32.74.23.21.60.60.2
41.01.61.20.60.20.1
50.30.50.40.20.10.0

Scoring times

311-155316-305231-454446-603261-754576-90

Cheltenham, 15 games played. Bristol Rovers, 15 games played.

Cards and corners

Form guide

Cheltenham Town crestCheltenham Town

Cheltenham's last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octat Tranmere1-3L
Sat 24 Octv Newport County1-0W
Tue 20 Octv Fleetwood Town4-2W
Sat 17 Octat Oldham1-4L
Sat 10 Octv Salford0-2L
Sat 3 Octat Accrington0-2L

Read the scores with Cheltenham first.

Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers in their last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octat Fleetwood Town1-3L
Sat 24 Octv Swindon0-0D
Tue 20 Octv Salford1-2L
Sat 17 Octat Shrewsbury0-1L
Sat 10 Octv Barnet1-3L
Sat 3 Octat Crewe1-3L

Here the scores show Bristol Rovers first.

Head to head

DateCompetitionResultHalf timeCorners
Sat 25 Apr 2026League TwoBristol Rvs 4-0 Cheltenham2-08
Sat 22 Nov 2025League TwoCheltenham 1-0 Bristol Rvs0-013

The League Two table

PosClubPWDLGDPts
3Walsall crestWalsall13571+922
4Crewe Alexandra crestCrewe Alexandra14572+022
5Cheltenham Town crestCheltenham Town14635-221
6Grimsby Town crestGrimsby Town14554+620
7York City crestYork City14554+320
15Shrewsbury Town crestShrewsbury Town14536-518
16Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town14455+017
17Bristol Rovers crestBristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham Athletic crestOldham Athletic14437-415
19Port Vale crestPort Vale12435-415

Standings updated Thursday 5 November

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