Cambridge United vs Stockport County prediction

Cambridge

15:00Saturday 21 November

Stockport

League One
Play is at Cledara Abbey Stadium.
Not shown live on UK TV because of the Saturday blackout.

0-1predicted score (10%)

53%both teams score

48%over 2.5 goals

1.20-1.40expected goals

31%28%41%

Analysis from our team

Cambridge sit 8th in League One, on 21 points from 14 games. Stockport sit 2nd with 26 points from 14 games, 5 points clear.

Cambridge's last 6 brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, 8 goals for and 10 against. Stockport's last 6 games gave 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, 9 scored and 4 conceded.

For Cambridge this season, 86% of matches saw both teams score and 64% saw over 2.5 goals. Stockport's figures are 50% and 50%. Cambridge average 1.30 expected goals a game and concede 1.54, while Stockport average 2.07 and concede 1.06.

Our results show 2 meetings since August 2024: Cambridge took 1 win, Stockport took 1, and 0 matches ended level. Their most recent meeting, Saturday 22 February 2025, ended Cambridge 2-0 Stockport.

At 41%, the model rates a Stockport win first, ahead of Cambridge 31% and the draw 28%. It uses expected goals: Cambridge 1.20, Stockport 1.40.

Score prediction: Cambridge United 0-1 Stockport County. One exact score stands out as likeliest: 1-1 at 13.2%. Within the result we lean to, 0-1 is the likeliest score.

Stats for Cambridge v Stockport

Per game	Cambridge	Stockport
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	1.40	1.20
Goals conceded a game	2.00	0.60
Both teams scored	80%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	20%
Clean sheets	0%	40%
Corners won / conceded	10.8 / 6.6	7.6 / 3.4
Yellow cards a game	2.0	1.4
xG for / against	1.61 / 1.75	2.52 / 0.75

Per game	Cambridge	Stockport
Games	14	14
Goals scored a game	1.50	1.86
Goals conceded a game	1.50	1.00
Both teams scored	86%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	64%	50%
Clean sheets	7%	36%
Corners won / conceded	8.4 / 5.1	7.4 / 3.6
Yellow cards a game	1.9	1.1
xG for / against	1.30 / 1.54	2.07 / 1.06

Per game	Cambridge	Stockport
Games	7	7
Goals scored a game	1.71	1.43
Goals conceded a game	1.57	0.71
Both teams scored	86%	29%
Over 2.5 goals	71%	29%
Clean sheets	14%	43%
Corners won / conceded	9.3 / 4.3	6.0 / 3.9
Yellow cards a game	1.6	1.1
xG for / against	1.31 / 1.37	2.09 / 1.01

Per game	Cambridge	Stockport
Games	2	2
Goals scored a game	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded a game	1.00	1.00
Both teams scored	0%	0%
Over 2.5 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheets	50%	50%
Corners won / conceded	1.5 / 5.0	5.0 / 1.5
Yellow cards a game	1.5	2.5

Fair prices for each market


Match result	Cambridge win	31%	11/5
	Draw	28%	13/5
	Stockport win	41%	7/5
Double chance	Cambridge or draw	59%	4/6
	Stockport or draw	69%	4/9
Draw no bet	Cambridge	43%	13/10
	Stockport	57%	4/5
Both teams to score	Yes	53%	10/11
	No	47%	11/10
Goals	Over 1.5	74%	4/11
	Over 2.5	48%	11/10
	Under 2.5	52%	10/11
	Over 3.5	26%	14/5
Result and BTTS	Cambridge and yes	15%	11/2
	Draw and yes	20%	4/1
	Stockport and yes	19%	9/2
Result and goals	Cambridge and over 2.5	18%	9/2
	Stockport and over 2.5	24%	16/5
	Cambridge and under 2.5	13%	13/2
	Stockport and under 2.5	17%	5/1
Half time / full time	Stockport / Stockport	24%	3/1
	Cambridge / Cambridge	18%	9/2
	Draw / Draw	16%	5/1
	Draw / Stockport	15%	11/2
Corners	Over 9.5	72%	2/5
	Over 10.5	62%	8/13
Cards	Over 3.5	38%	8/5
	Over 4.5	23%	10/3

Match result

Cambridge win

31%

11/5

Draw

28%

13/5

Stockport win

41%

7/5

Double chance

Cambridge or draw

59%

4/6

Stockport or draw

69%

4/9

Draw no bet

Cambridge

43%

13/10

Stockport

57%

4/5

Both teams to score

Yes

53%

10/11

47%

11/10

Goals

Over 1.5

74%

4/11

Over 2.5

48%

11/10

Under 2.5

52%

10/11

Over 3.5

26%

14/5

Result and BTTS

Cambridge and yes

15%

11/2

Draw and yes

20%

4/1

Stockport and yes

19%

9/2

Result and goals

Cambridge and over 2.5

18%

9/2

Stockport and over 2.5

24%

16/5

Cambridge and under 2.5

13%

13/2

Stockport and under 2.5

17%

5/1

Half time / full time

Stockport / Stockport

24%

3/1

Cambridge / Cambridge

18%

9/2

Draw / Draw

16%

5/1

Draw / Stockport

15%

11/2

Corners

Over 9.5

72%

2/5

Over 10.5

62%

8/13

Cards

Over 3.5

38%

8/5

Over 4.5

23%

10/3

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.

Line-up predictions

Cambridge 3-4-2-1

Eastwood, Jake.GK
Bennett, Liam.MID
Bradshaw, Zak.MID
Perry, Callum.DEF
Watts, Kelland.DEF
Heffernan, Cathal.DEF
Hoddle, George.MID
Ruddock Mpanzu, Pelly.MID
Appere, Louis.FWD
Knight, Ben.FWD
Kaikai, Sullay.FWD

They started at Leyton Orient on Sat 31 Oct.

Stockport 3-4-3

Whatmuff, Oliver.GK
Dacres-Cogley, Joshua.MID
Ennis, Ethan.MID
Pye, Ethan.DEF
O'Connell, Eoghan.DEF
Jobe, Mamadou.DEF
Norwood, Oliver.MID
Fiorini, Lewis.MID
Wootton, Kyle.FWD
Diamond, Jack.FWD
Andrésson, Benoný.FWD

They started Sat 31 Oct v Wimbledon.

Chances for correct scores

Chance of each score in %, with Cambridge goals down the side and Stockport goals across
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.2	9.7	7.3	3.4	1.2	0.3
1	8.2	13.2	8.7	4.1	1.4	0.4
2	5.3	7.5	5.2	2.4	0.9	0.2
3	2.1	3.0	2.1	1.0	0.3	0.1
4	0.6	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0
5	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

When the goals come

Cambridge have 16 games; Stockport, 15.

Corners plus cards

Corners expected 11.9 in total, with the league on 10.4 (Cambridge 5.9, Stockport 6.1).
Yellow cards expected: 3.2 (league 3.7).

Latest form

Cambridge United

Cambridge, last 6
			Result
Sat 31 Oct	at Leyton Orient	0-3	L
Tue 27 Oct	at Sheffield Wednesday	1-1	D
Sat 24 Oct	v Plymouth	2-3	L
Tue 20 Oct	v Wycombe	2-2	D
Sat 17 Oct	at Barnsley	2-1	W
Sat 10 Oct	v Blackpool	1-0	W

Read these scores with Cambridge first.

Stockport County

Stockport, last 6
			Result
Sat 31 Oct	v AFC Wimbledon	2-1	W
Tue 27 Oct	at Oxford	0-1	L
Sat 24 Oct	at Notts County	1-1	D
Tue 20 Oct	at Doncaster	2-0	W
Sat 17 Oct	v Bromley	1-0	W
Sat 10 Oct	v Barnsley	3-1	W

Read these scores with Stockport first.

Head to head

Date	Competition	Result	Half time	Corners
Sat 22 Feb 2025	League One	Cambridge 2-0 Stockport	2-0	5
Sat 10 Aug 2024	League One	Stockport 2-0 Cambridge	1-0	8

League One standings

Pos	Club	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield Town	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton Town	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth Argyle	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford City	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	+0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester City	13	5	4	4	+3	19