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Brentford vs Nottingham Forest prediction

Brentford crestBrentford
2-0full time, Sat 31 Oct
Nottm ForestNottingham Forest crest
2-1predicted score (9%)
57%both teams score
54%over 2.5 goals
1.65-1.21expected goals

Averaged from 6 UK bookmakers with no market margin: Brentford 46%, draw 26%, Nottm Forest 28%.

What the model made of it

Across 9 games Brentford earned 14 points, placing them 6th in the Premier League. Nottm Forest have 6 points from 9 games, sit 19th and trail by 8 points.

Brentford's last 6 brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 11 scored and 9 conceded. In their last 6 matches, Nottm Forest recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 7.

This season, Brentford saw both teams score in 75% of matches and 62% finish with over 2.5 goals. Nottm Forest stands at 50% and 38%. By expected goals, Brentford produce 1.68 per game and concede 1.48, while Nottm Forest produce 1.73 and concede 1.10.

Since August 2024, our results show 4 meetings: 1 Brentford win, 3 for Nottm Forest and 0 draws. Their most recent meeting, played on Sunday 25 January 2026, ended Brentford 0-2 Nott'm Forest.

Brentford sit at 1.65 expected goals and Nottm Forest at 1.21. Those figures underpin the model's 47% for a Brentford win, 26% for the draw and Nottm Forest 28%, with a Brentford win the likeliest result. Once their margin is removed, UK bookmakers put it at 46%, near our figure.

Brentford 2-1 Nottingham Forest is the predicted score. One exact score stands out as likeliest: 1-1, at 12.1%. Within the result we lean to, 2-1 is the likeliest score.

Stats for Brentford v Nottm Forest

Per gameBrentford crestBrentfordNottingham Forest crestNottm Forest
Games55
Goals scored a game1.800.80
Goals conceded a game1.601.40
Both teams scored80%60%
Over 2.5 goals80%40%
Clean sheets20%0%
Corners won / conceded3.8 / 7.05.6 / 3.8
Yellow cards a game3.52.2
xG for / against1.58 / 1.581.99 / 1.10

Best UK odds and fair prices

Match resultBrentford win47%11/1021/20 bet365-4.1%
Draw26%3/111/4 Betfred-3.6%
Nottm Forest win28%11/45/2 bet365-3.6%
Double chanceBrentford or draw72%4/11
Nottm Forest or draw53%10/11
Draw no betBrentford63%4/7
Nottm Forest37%7/4
Both teams to scoreYes57%8/11
No43%11/8
GoalsOver 1.579%2/7
Over 2.554%5/68/11 bet365-5.8%
Under 2.546%6/511/10 bet365-4.4%
Over 3.532%2/1
Result and BTTSBrentford and yes23%10/3
Draw and yes19%4/1
Nottm Forest and yes15%6/1
Result and goalsBrentford and over 2.530%9/4
Nottm Forest and over 2.517%5/1
Brentford and under 2.516%5/1
Nottm Forest and under 2.510%17/2
Half time / full timeBrentford / Brentford29%5/2
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest16%11/2
Draw / Brentford16%11/2
Draw / Draw14%6/1
CornersOver 9.548%11/10
Over 10.537%7/4
CardsOver 3.559%8/11
Over 4.542%11/8

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance. We source bookmaker prices through football-data.co.uk, which lists only match odds, plus over/under 2.5; edge appears where we have both numbers.

Chances for goalscorers and cards

Brentford crestBrentfordThiago FWD24.137%13/839%
Brentford crestBrentfordAnthony MID11.728%5/219%
Brentford crestBrentfordSchade MID32.124%10/313%
Brentford crestBrentfordO.Dango MID11.120%4/10%
Nottingham Forest crestNottm ForestDelap FWD12.725%3/128%
Nottingham Forest crestNottm ForestGibbs-White MID12.521%4/10%
Nottingham Forest crestNottm ForestNdoye MID22.317%5/112%
Nottingham Forest crestNottm ForestMuñoz DEF01.112%15/216%

Data on player goals, xG, minutes and bookings comes from the Fantasy Premier League feed. Our chances pair that data with the team goal expectation we have and the referee's card rate. We list only players who are at least 75% likely to play.

Starting lineups

Brentford crestBrentford 4-3-3

  1. Kelleher, Caoimhín.GK
  2. Kayode, Michael.DEF
  3. Lewis-Potter, Keane.DEF
  4. Janelt, Vitaly.MID
  5. Ajer, Kristoffer.DEF
  6. Berg, Sepp van den.DEF
  7. Sangare, Mamadou.MID
  8. Jensen, Mathias.MID
  9. Thiago, Igor.FWD
  10. Ouattara, Dango.FWD
  11. Schade, Kevin.FWD

Nottingham Forest crestNottm Forest 3-4-2-1

  1. Sels, Matz.GK
  2. Aina, Ola.MID
  3. Williams, Neco.MID
  4. MurilloDEF
  5. Milenkovic, Nikola.DEF
  6. Paula, Jair.DEF
  7. McAtee, James.MID
  8. Schlager, Xaver.MID
  9. Delap, Liam.FWD
  10. Ndoye, Dan.FWD
  11. Gibbs-White, Morgan.FWD

ESPN supplied the starting elevens, read Wednesday 4 November, 09:11.

Chances for the correct score

For each score, the chance in %, with Brentford goals down the side and Nottm Forest goals across
012345
06.46.34.21.70.50.1
18.712.16.92.80.90.2
27.89.45.72.30.70.2
34.35.23.11.30.40.1
41.72.11.30.50.20.0
50.60.70.40.20.10.0

Scoring times

421-151116-307031-454146-604161-756176-90

Brentford, 12 games and Nottm Forest, 10 games. ESPN match events this season give the goals scored by minute.

Cards and corners

Latest form

Brentford crestBrentford

Brentford's last 6
Result
Wed 28 Octat Sunderland2-3L
Sun 25 Octat Hull1-1D
Sat 17 Octv Liverpool1-2L
Sat 10 Octat Aston Villa2-2D
Fri 18 Sepv Chelsea3-0W
Tue 15 Sepat Reading2-1W

Read the scores with Brentford first.

Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest

The last 6 for Nottm Forest
Result
Fri 23 Octat Ipswich1-1D
Sun 18 Octv Arsenal0-1L
Sun 11 Octat Crystal Palace1-3L
Sat 19 Sepv Coventry0-1L
Sat 12 Sepat Aston Villa2-1W
Sat 5 Sepv Tottenham0-0D

Read the scores with Nottm Forest first.

Head to head

Sun 25 Jan 2026Premier LeagueBrentford 0-2 Nott'm Forest0-111
Sun 17 Aug 2025Premier LeagueNott'm Forest 3-1 Brentford3-010
Thu 1 May 2025Premier LeagueNott'm Forest 0-2 Brentford0-19
Sat 21 Dec 2024Premier LeagueBrentford 0-2 Nott'm Forest0-114

Table for the Premier League

PosClubPWDLGDPts
4Chelsea crestChelsea9513+416
5Liverpool crestLiverpool9432+215
6Brentford crestBrentford9351+714
7Everton crestEverton9342+013
8AFC Bournemouth crestAFC Bournemouth9333+112
17Manchester United crestManchester United9144-57
18Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace9216-127
19Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest9135-66
20Sunderland crestSunderland9126-105

ESPN provided the standings as of Wednesday 4 November.

Further Premier League predictions