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Reading vs Bromley prediction

12:30Saturday 21 November
2-0predicted score (11%)
54%both teams score
59%over 2.5 goals
2.10-0.94expected goals

Analysis from our team

In the League One table, Reading sit 6th on 22 points from 14 games. Bromley sit 24th with 9 points from 13 games, 13 points behind.

Over their last 6 games, Reading took 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 5. In their last 6 matches Bromley won 0, lost 5 and drew 1, scoring 5 goals and conceding 15.

This season, both teams scored in 50% of Reading games, and 50% went over 2.5 goals; Bromley stand at 62% and 62% on both measures. In expected goals, Reading produce 1.83 a game and concede 1.07, while Bromley produce 0.82 and concede 1.93.

At 63%, a Reading victory is the model's likeliest pick, ahead of the draw on 21% and Bromley 15%, on 2.10 expected goals for Reading against 0.94 for Bromley.

We predict Reading 2-0 Bromley.

Stats for Reading v Bromley

Per gameReading crestReadingBromley crestBromley
Games55
Goals scored a game0.600.80
Goals conceded a game0.802.60
Both teams scored20%60%
Over 2.5 goals20%60%
Clean sheets40%0%
Corners won / conceded5.8 / 5.23.8 / 7.2
Yellow cards a game2.42.4
xG for / against1.44 / 1.250.77 / 1.96

Fair prices for each market

Match resultReading win63%4/7
Draw21%18/5
Bromley win15%11/2
Double chanceReading or draw85%2/11
Bromley or draw37%7/4
Draw no betReading81%1/4
Bromley19%4/1
Both teams to scoreYes54%5/6
No46%6/5
GoalsOver 1.581%2/9
Over 2.559%8/11
Under 2.541%7/5
Over 3.536%7/4
Result and BTTSReading and yes30%12/5
Draw and yes16%11/2
Bromley and yes8%11/1
Result and goalsReading and over 2.543%13/10
Bromley and over 2.59%10/1
Reading and under 2.520%4/1
Bromley and under 2.56%16/1
Half time / full timeReading / Reading42%7/5
Draw / Reading19%4/1
Draw / Draw12%15/2
Bromley / Bromley9%11/1
CornersOver 9.553%10/11
Over 10.542%7/5
CardsOver 3.547%11/10
Over 4.531%11/5

A fair price = 1 divided by the chance we give it.

The line-ups we predict

Reading crestReading 4-4-1-1

  1. Pereira, Joel.GK
  2. Godwin-Malife, Udoka.DEF
  3. Roberts, Hayden.DEF
  4. Wing, Lewis.MID
  5. O'Conner, Paudie.DEF
  6. Dorsett, Jeriel.DEF
  7. Lisbie, Kyreece.MID
  8. Rinomhota, Andy.MID
  9. Marriott, Jack.FWD
  10. Stokes, Joshua.FWD
  11. Kyerewaa, Daniel.MID

They started Wed 4 Nov at Oxford Utd.

Bromley crestBromley 4-1-4-1

  1. Grant SmithGK
  2. Ifill, Markus.DEF
  3. Pinnock, Mitchell.DEF
  4. Saville, George.MID
  5. Jackson, Adam.DEF
  6. Grant, Kamarl.DEF
  7. Jones, Jodi.MID
  8. Hondermarck, William.MID
  9. Cheek, Michael.FWD
  10. Whitely, Corey.MID
  11. Miller, Mickel.MID

They started at Wigan on Sat 31 Oct.

Chances for each correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Reading goals listed down the side and Bromley goals across
012345
05.43.92.10.70.20.0
19.510.04.41.40.30.1
210.59.94.71.50.30.1
37.46.93.31.00.20.0
43.93.61.70.50.10.0
51.61.50.70.20.10.0

Scoring times

431-151216-307131-457346-605261-756376-90

Reading, 17 games , and Bromley, 14 games.

Cards and corners

Form in recent matches

Reading crestReading

The last 6 Reading matches
Result
Wed 4 Novat Oxford0-2L
Sat 31 Octat Plymouth0-0D
Sat 24 Octv Barnsley2-1W
Wed 21 Octv Leyton Orient1-0W
Sat 17 Octat Wigan0-1L
Sat 10 Octat Milton Keynes Dons5-1W

Reading comes first in the scores.

Bromley crestBromley

The last 6 Bromley matches
Result
Sat 31 Octat Wigan2-3L
Tue 27 Octat Milton Keynes Dons1-4L
Sat 24 Octv Peterborough1-1D
Tue 20 Octv Leicester0-4L
Sat 17 Octat Stockport0-1L
Sat 10 Octat Mansfield1-2L

Bromley comes first in the scores.

League One standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
4Luton Town crestLuton Town14734+624
5Plymouth Argyle crestPlymouth Argyle14725+223
6Reading crestReading14644+1022
7Bradford City crestBradford City13643+222
8Cambridge United crestCambridge United14563+021
22Peterborough United crestPeterborough United13247-1210
23Barnsley crestBarnsley12237-109
24Bromley crestBromley13238-209

Standings updated Thursday 5 November

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