Reading vs Bromley prediction
Analysis from our team
In the League One table, Reading sit 6th on 22 points from 14 games. Bromley sit 24th with 9 points from 13 games, 13 points behind.
Over their last 6 games, Reading took 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 5. In their last 6 matches Bromley won 0, lost 5 and drew 1, scoring 5 goals and conceding 15.
This season, both teams scored in 50% of Reading games, and 50% went over 2.5 goals; Bromley stand at 62% and 62% on both measures. In expected goals, Reading produce 1.83 a game and concede 1.07, while Bromley produce 0.82 and concede 1.93.
At 63%, a Reading victory is the model's likeliest pick, ahead of the draw on 21% and Bromley 15%, on 2.10 expected goals for Reading against 0.94 for Bromley.
We predict Reading 2-0 Bromley.
Stats for Reading v Bromley
| Per game | ||
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.8 / 5.2 | 3.8 / 7.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| xG for / against | 1.44 / 1.25 | 0.77 / 1.96 |
| Per game | ||
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 13 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.79 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.07 | 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 36% | 8% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.7 / 4.3 | 3.3 / 7.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| xG for / against | 1.83 / 1.07 | 0.82 / 1.93 |
| Per game | ||
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.43 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.4 / 3.7 | 3.6 / 7.7 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| xG for / against | 1.94 / 1.21 | 1.07 / 2.19 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Reading win | 63% | 4/7 |
| Draw | 21% | 18/5 | |
| Bromley win | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Double chance | Reading or draw | 85% | 2/11 |
| Bromley or draw | 37% | 7/4 | |
| Draw no bet | Reading | 81% | 1/4 |
| Bromley | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 5/6 |
| No | 46% | 6/5 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 81% | 2/9 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 8/11 | |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 7/5 | |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 7/4 | |
| Result and BTTS | Reading and yes | 30% | 12/5 |
| Draw and yes | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Bromley and yes | 8% | 11/1 | |
| Result and goals | Reading and over 2.5 | 43% | 13/10 |
| Bromley and over 2.5 | 9% | 10/1 | |
| Reading and under 2.5 | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Bromley and under 2.5 | 6% | 16/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Reading / Reading | 42% | 7/5 |
| Draw / Reading | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 12% | 15/2 | |
| Bromley / Bromley | 9% | 11/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 53% | 10/11 |
| Over 10.5 | 42% | 7/5 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 47% | 11/10 |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 11/5 |
A fair price = 1 divided by the chance we give it.
The line-ups we predict
Reading 4-4-1-1
- Pereira, Joel.GK
- Godwin-Malife, Udoka.DEF
- Roberts, Hayden.DEF
- Wing, Lewis.MID
- O'Conner, Paudie.DEF
- Dorsett, Jeriel.DEF
- Lisbie, Kyreece.MID
- Rinomhota, Andy.MID
- Marriott, Jack.FWD
- Stokes, Joshua.FWD
- Kyerewaa, Daniel.MID
They started Wed 4 Nov at Oxford Utd.
Bromley 4-1-4-1
- Grant SmithGK
- Ifill, Markus.DEF
- Pinnock, Mitchell.DEF
- Saville, George.MID
- Jackson, Adam.DEF
- Grant, Kamarl.DEF
- Jones, Jodi.MID
- Hondermarck, William.MID
- Cheek, Michael.FWD
- Whitely, Corey.MID
- Miller, Mickel.MID
They started at Wigan on Sat 31 Oct.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 9.5 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.5 | 9.9 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Reading, 17 games , and Bromley, 14 games.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 10.0, with Reading 5.7 and Bromley 4.3, while the league sits at 10.4.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.7(league 3.7)
Form in recent matches
Reading
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | at Oxford | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Plymouth | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Barnsley | 2-1 | W |
| Wed 21 Oct | v Leyton Orient | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Wigan | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Milton Keynes Dons | 5-1 | W |
Reading comes first in the scores.
Bromley
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Wigan | 2-3 | L |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Milton Keynes Dons | 1-4 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Peterborough | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Leicester | 0-4 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Stockport | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Mansfield | 1-2 | L |
Bromley comes first in the scores.
League One standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 24 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 22 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 22 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +0 | 21 | |
| 22 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 10 | |
| 23 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 | |
| 24 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -20 | 9 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November