Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United prediction
With margins removed, the average from 6 UK bookmakers gives Leyton Orient 35%, the draw 27% and Cambridge 38%.
What the model made of it
With 17 points earned across 13 games, Leyton Orient sit 14th in League One. Cambridge sit 8th, having collected 21 points from 14 games, 4 points ahead.
Across their last 6, Leyton Orient recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 4 scored and 5 conceded. In Cambridge's last 6, they recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 8.
This season, both teams scored in 42% of Leyton Orient games, while 42% finished above 2.5 goals. Cambridge's figures are 92% and 62%. Leyton Orient create 1.16 expected goals per game and allow 1.49; Cambridge's figures are 1.25 created and 1.50 allowed.
Our results show 2 meetings since August 2024: 2 wins for Leyton Orient, 0 for Cambridge and 0 draws. Cambridge 1-2 Leyton Orient was the score on Monday 21 April 2025, the latest meeting.
The model rates a Leyton Orient win most likely at 42% (the draw 28%, Cambridge 31%), drawing on 1.40 expected goals for Leyton Orient, 1.16 for Cambridge. Our estimate is higher than the market's. UK bookmakers, once their margin is taken out, put it at 35%.
Leyton Orient 1-0 Cambridge United is our predicted score. At 13.3%, 1-1 is the single likeliest exact score; inside the result we lean to, 1-0 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Leyton Orient v Cambridge
| Per game |  Leyton Orient |  Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.8 / 8.0 | 12.0 / 7.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| xG for / against | 1.40 / 1.25 | 1.58 / 1.48 |
| Per game | Leyton Orient | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 13 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.33 | 1.62 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 42% | 8% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.8 / 7.0 | 8.5 / 5.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| xG for / against | 1.16 / 1.49 | 1.25 / 1.50 |
| Per game | Leyton Orient | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.2 / 8.0 | 7.5 / 6.3 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| xG for / against | 1.15 / 1.66 | 1.18 / 1.66 |
| Per game | Leyton Orient | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.0 / 5.0 | 5.0 / 4.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Fair prices and the best UK odds
| Match result | Leyton Orient win | 42% | 11/8 | 7/4 BetVictor | +12.1% |
| Draw | 28% | 5/2 | 5/2 bet365 | -2.3% | |
| Cambridge win | 31% | 9/4 | 6/4 BetVictor | -23.5% | |
| Double chance | Leyton Orient or draw | 69% | 4/9 | ||
| Cambridge or draw | 58% | 8/11 | |||
| Draw no bet | Leyton Orient | 58% | 8/11 | ||
| Cambridge | 42% | 11/8 | |||
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 10/11 | ||
| No | 47% | 11/10 | |||
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 73% | 4/11 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 11/10 | 5/6 bet365 | -12.7% | |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 10/11 | 10/11 bet365 | +3.0% | |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 3/1 | |||
| Result and BTTS | Leyton Orient and yes | 19% | 9/2 | ||
| Draw and yes | 19% | 4/1 | |||
| Cambridge and yes | 14% | 6/1 | |||
| Result and goals | Leyton Orient and over 2.5 | 24% | 10/3 | ||
| Cambridge and over 2.5 | 17% | 5/1 | |||
| Leyton Orient and under 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 | |||
| Cambridge and under 2.5 | 13% | 13/2 | |||
| Half time / full time | Leyton Orient / Leyton Orient | 25% | 3/1 | ||
| Cambridge / Cambridge | 18% | 9/2 | |||
| Draw / Draw | 16% | 5/1 | |||
| Draw / Leyton Orient | 15% | 11/2 | |||
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 70% | 4/9 | ||
| Over 10.5 | 59% | 4/6 | |||
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 57% | 4/5 | ||
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 6/4 |
A fair price is 1 divided by our chance. Bookmaker prices come from football-data.co.uk. It covers match odds plus over/under 2.5 only. Edge marks where both figures are available.
Who starts
Leyton Orient 4-2-3-1
- Baxter, Nathan.GK
- Stevens, Fin.DEF
- Boniface, Somtochukwu.DEF
- Gilbert, Alex.MID
- Edmonds-Green, Rarmani.DEF
- Gilchrist, Alfie.DEF
- Connolly, Aaron.MID
- El Mizouni, Idris.MID
- Kabia, Jaze.FWD
- O'Neill, Oliver.MID
- Dobra, Armando.MID
Cambridge 3-4-2-1
- Eastwood, Jake.GK
- Bennett, Liam.MID
- Bradshaw, Zak.MID
- Perry, Callum.DEF
- Watts, Kelland.DEF
- Heffernan, Cathal.DEF
- Hoddle, George.MID
- Ruddock Mpanzu, Pelly.MID
- Appere, Louis.FWD
- Knight, Ben.FWD
- Kaikai, Sullay.FWD
ESPN starting elevens, read Wednesday 4 November, 09:11.
Exact score chances
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.0 | 13.3 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring by minute
For Leyton Orient, 16 games. For Cambridge, 16 games. This season's ESPN match events show the goals scored by minute.
Cards and corner kicks
- With the league at 10.4, the figures are Leyton Orient 4.7 and Cambridge 7.0, for 11.7 expected corners.
- Expected yellow cards: 4.2 (league 3.7, referee adjusted).
Latest form
Leyton Orient
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct | at Burton | 1-2 | L |
| Wed 21 Oct | at Reading | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Blackpool | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Bradford | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Plymouth | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 19 Sep | v Stevenage | 1-0 | W |
Leyton Orient scores come first.
Cambridge United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | at Sheffield Wednesday | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Plymouth | 2-3 | L |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Wycombe | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Barnsley | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Blackpool | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 26 Sep | v AFC Wimbledon | 1-1 | D |
Cambridge scores come first.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 21 Apr 2025 | League One | Cambridge 1-2 Leyton Orient | 1-0 | 5 |
| Sun 29 Dec 2024 | League One | Leyton Orient 2-0 Cambridge | 1-0 | 13 |
The League One table
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Reading | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford City | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge United | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
The standings come from ESPN and date to Wednesday 4 November.