Brentford vs Everton prediction

Brentford

20:00Monday 23 November

Everton

Premier League
The venue is Gtech Community Stadium.

2-1predicted score (9%)

56%both teams score

52%over 2.5 goals

1.56-1.21expected goals

45%26%29%

The analysis we did

Brentford sit 6th in the Premier League after 9 games, earning 14 points. Everton are 7th with 13 points from 9 games, 1 point behind.

Brentford's last 6 matches brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 11 scored and 8 conceded. Everton's last 6 games gave them 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 7 scored and 7 against.

So far this season, both teams scored in 67% of Brentford games, and 56% had more than 2.5 goals. For Everton, those rates are 33% and 22%. Expected goals per game: Brentford create 1.55 and allow 1.41; Everton's figures are 1.36 created and 1.46 allowed.

Since August 2024 our results cover 4 meetings: 1 win for Brentford, 0 for Everton and 3 draws. Their most recent meeting, on Saturday 11 April 2026, ended Brentford 2-2 Everton.

With expected goals at 1.56 for Brentford and 1.21 for Everton, the model rates a Brentford win likeliest at 45%, the draw 26% and Everton 29%.

Our predicted score is Brentford 2-1 Everton. At 12.5%, 1-1 is the likeliest single exact score. Inside the result we favor, 2-1 comes out on top.

Stats for Brentford v Everton

Per game	Brentford	Everton
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	1.60	1.20
Goals conceded a game	1.60	1.40
Both teams scored	80%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	40%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Corners won / conceded	3.5 / 5.0	4.8 / 7.5
Yellow cards a game	3.2	2.0
xG for / against	1.03 / 1.59	1.22 / 1.56

Per game	Brentford	Everton
Games	9	9
Goals scored a game	1.78	1.00
Goals conceded a game	1.00	1.00
Both teams scored	67%	33%
Over 2.5 goals	56%	22%
Clean sheets	33%	44%
Corners won / conceded	4.0 / 5.0	4.9 / 5.8
Yellow cards a game	2.7	1.9
xG for / against	1.55 / 1.41	1.36 / 1.46

Per game	Brentford	Everton
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	2.00	0.80
Goals conceded a game	0.60	1.00
Both teams scored	40%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	20%
Clean sheets	60%	40%
Corners won / conceded	4.2 / 6.2	5.4 / 7.6
Yellow cards a game	2.6	1.8
xG for / against	1.81 / 1.13	1.48 / 1.52

Per game	Brentford	Everton
Games	4	4
Goals scored a game	1.75	1.25
Goals conceded a game	1.25	1.75
Both teams scored	75%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Corners won / conceded	3.2 / 5.5	5.5 / 3.2
Yellow cards a game	1.2	0.8

Market fair prices


Match result	Brentford win	45%	5/4
	Draw	26%	14/5
	Everton win	29%	5/2
Double chance	Brentford or draw	71%	2/5
	Everton or draw	55%	4/5
Draw no bet	Brentford	61%	4/6
	Everton	39%	6/4
Both teams to score	Yes	56%	4/5
	No	44%	13/10
Goals	Over 1.5	77%	3/10
	Over 2.5	52%	10/11
	Under 2.5	48%	11/10
	Over 3.5	30%	23/10
Result and BTTS	Brentford and yes	22%	18/5
	Draw and yes	19%	4/1
	Everton and yes	15%	11/2
Result and goals	Brentford and over 2.5	28%	13/5
	Everton and over 2.5	17%	9/2
	Brentford and under 2.5	17%	5/1
	Everton and under 2.5	11%	8/1
Half time / full time	Brentford / Brentford	27%	13/5
	Everton / Everton	17%	5/1
	Draw / Brentford	16%	11/2
	Draw / Draw	15%	6/1
Corners	Over 9.5	51%	evens
	Over 10.5	40%	6/4
Cards	Over 3.5	51%	evens
	Over 4.5	34%	15/8

Match result

Brentford win

45%

5/4

Draw

26%

14/5

Everton win

29%

5/2

Double chance

Brentford or draw

71%

2/5

Everton or draw

55%

4/5

Draw no bet

Brentford

61%

4/6

Everton

39%

6/4

Both teams to score

Yes

56%

4/5

44%

13/10

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

3/10

Over 2.5

52%

10/11

Under 2.5

48%

11/10

Over 3.5

30%

23/10

Result and BTTS

Brentford and yes

22%

18/5

Draw and yes

19%

4/1

Everton and yes

15%

11/2

Result and goals

Brentford and over 2.5

28%

13/5

Everton and over 2.5

17%

9/2

Brentford and under 2.5

17%

5/1

Everton and under 2.5

11%

8/1

Half time / full time

Brentford / Brentford

27%

13/5

Everton / Everton

17%

5/1

Draw / Brentford

16%

11/2

Draw / Draw

15%

6/1

Corners

Over 9.5

51%

evens

Over 10.5

40%

6/4

Cards

Over 3.5

51%

evens

Over 4.5

34%

15/8

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.

Chances for goalscorers and cards


Brentford	Thiago FWD	2	4.1	36%	9/5	36%
Brentford	Anthony MID	1	1.7	27%	11/4	17%
Brentford	Schade MID	3	2.1	23%	10/3	12%
Brentford	O.Dango MID	1	1.1	19%	9/2	0%
Everton	Barry FWD	4	6.4	47%	11/10	0%
Everton	Johnson MID	0	1.1	17%	5/1	33%
Everton	Dewsbury-Hall MID	2	1.6	15%	6/1	11%
Everton	Armstrong MID	0	0.8	8%	12/1	28%

We list only players with at least a 75% chance of playing.

Line-ups we predict

Brentford 4-2-3-1

KelleherGK · 9 starts
AjerDEF · 9 starts
KayodeDEF · 8 starts
SchusterDEF · 3 starts
Berg, Van den.DEF · 3 starts
Lewis-PotterMID · 9 starts
JaneltMID · 8 starts
SchadeMID · 8 starts
M.SangaréMID · 6 starts
AnthonyMID · 5 starts
ThiagoFWD · 9 starts

Everton 4-2-3-1

PickfordGK · 9 starts
TarkowskiDEF · 9 starts
BranthwaiteDEF · 8 starts
MykolenkoDEF · 8 starts
Maitland-NilesDEF · 4 starts
Dewsbury-HallMID · 9 starts
ArmstrongMID · 9 starts
GarnerMID · 8 starts
GeorgeMID · 6 starts
RöhlMID · 6 starts
BarryFWD · 9 starts

Chances for correct scores

Each score's chance in %, with Brentford goals down the side and Everton goals across
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.9	6.8	4.6	1.9	0.6	0.1
1	9.0	12.5	7.2	2.9	0.9	0.2
2	7.6	9.2	5.6	2.3	0.7	0.2
3	4.0	4.8	2.9	1.2	0.4	0.1
4	1.5	1.9	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0
5	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

When each side scores

For Brentford, it's 12 games; Everton, 12 games.

Cards and corners

9.8corners expected, with the league at 9.9 (Brentford 4.9, Everton 4.9)
Yellow cards expected: 3.9(league 3.8)

Latest form

Brentford

Last 6 matches for Brentford
			Result
Sat 31 Oct	v Nott'm Forest	2-0	W
Wed 28 Oct	at Sunderland	2-3	L
Sun 25 Oct	at Hull	1-1	D
Sat 17 Oct	v Liverpool	1-2	L
Sat 10 Oct	at Aston Villa	2-2	D
Fri 18 Sep	v Chelsea	3-0	W

Each score lists Brentford first.

Everton

Last 6 matches for Everton
			Result
Mon 2 Nov	at Newcastle	1-0	W
Thu 29 Oct	v Newcastle	3-1	W
Sat 24 Oct	at Arsenal	0-2	L
Sat 17 Oct	v Chelsea	0-2	L
Sun 11 Oct	at Hull	2-2	D
Sat 19 Sep	v Ipswich	1-0	W

Each score lists Everton first.

Head to head


Sat 11 Apr 2026	Premier League	Brentford 2-2 Everton	1-1	5
Sun 4 Jan 2026	Premier League	Everton 2-4 Brentford	0-1	9
Wed 26 Feb 2025	Premier League	Brentford 1-1 Everton	1-0	7
Sat 23 Nov 2024	Premier League	Everton 0-0 Brentford	0-0	14