Accrington Stanley vs Salford City prediction
Our assessment
In the League Two table Accrington are 9th, with 19 points earned over 14 games. Salford City sit 1st in the table, on 31 points from 14 games and 12 points ahead.
Across their most recent 6 matches, Accrington recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. They scored 12 goals and conceded 3. Across their last 6 Salford City won all 6, drew 0 and lost 0, scoring 13 and conceding 5.
So far this season, 64% of Accrington games saw both teams score and 50% had more than 2.5 goals. Salford City's figures are 57% and 57%. Expected goals per game see Accrington create 1.42 and allow 1.14. Salford City sit at 1.23 created and 1.05 allowed.
Since August 2024 our results list 4 meetings, split 2 wins for Accrington, 2 for Salford City and 0 draws. Their most recent meeting, on Thursday 5 February 2026, ended Accrington 1-0 Salford.
A Salford City win comes out likeliest in the model with 38%, ahead of Accrington 33% and the draw 29%. The expected goals behind it are 1.15 for Accrington and 1.27 for Salford City.
The predicted score is Accrington Stanley 0-1 Salford City. At 13.8%, 1-1 stands alone as the likeliest single exact score. Within the outcome we lean to, 0-1 is the likeliest score.
Stats: Accrington v Salford City
| Per game |  Accrington |  Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.6 / 3.8 | 4.2 / 5.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| xG for / against | 1.19 / 0.68 | 1.28 / 0.97 |
| Per game | Accrington | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.64 | 1.79 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.2 / 4.8 | 5.8 / 4.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| xG for / against | 1.42 / 1.14 | 1.23 / 1.05 |
| Per game | Accrington | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.86 | 2.29 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.14 | 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.6 / 4.3 | 4.1 / 6.1 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| xG for / against | 1.63 / 0.87 | 1.16 / 1.30 |
| Per game | Accrington | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 25% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.2 / 4.5 | 4.5 / 3.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 2.2 |
Market fair prices
| Match result | Accrington win | 33% | 21/10 |
| Draw | 29% | 5/2 | |
| Salford City win | 38% | 8/5 | |
| Double chance | Accrington or draw | 62% | 8/13 |
| Salford City or draw | 67% | 1/2 | |
| Draw no bet | Accrington | 46% | 6/5 |
| Salford City | 54% | 5/6 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | evens |
| No | 50% | evens | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 71% | 2/5 |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 13/10 | |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 4/5 | |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 17/5 | |
| Result and BTTS | Accrington and yes | 14% | 6/1 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Salford City and yes | 16% | 5/1 | |
| Result and goals | Accrington and over 2.5 | 17% | 5/1 |
| Salford City and over 2.5 | 21% | 4/1 | |
| Accrington and under 2.5 | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Salford City and under 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Half time / full time | Salford City / Salford City | 23% | 17/5 |
| Accrington / Accrington | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 17% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Salford City | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 52% | 10/11 |
| Over 10.5 | 41% | 6/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 50% | evens |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 2/1 |
To get a fair price, divide 1 by our chance.
Line-ups we predict
Accrington 3-4-1-2
- Moulden, Louie.GK
- Love, Donald.MID
- Tutonda, David.MID
- Anderson, Joseph.DEF
- Rawson, Farrend.DEF
- Matthews, Devon.DEF
- Borland, Aidan.MID
- Mols, Stefan.MID
- Henderson, Alex.MID
- Walton, Tyler.FWD
- Warren, Charlie.FWD
They started on Sat 31 Oct v Northampton.
Salford City 5-4-1
- Norris, Will.GK
- Odoh, Abraham.DEF
- Garbutt, Luke.DEF
- Aimson, Will.DEF
- Scarr, Dan.DEF
- Oluwo, Adebola.DEF
- Woodburn, Ben.MID
- Bonds, Elliott.MID
- Langstaff, Macaulay.FWD
- Sarpong-Wiredu, Brendan.MID
- Molyneux, Luke.MID
Started against Exeter on Sat 31 Oct.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6 | 10.5 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 13.8 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Salford City, 15 games. Accrington, 15 games.
Cards and corners
- We expect 9.9 corners in total, with Accrington 4.5 and Salford City 5.4; the league figure is 9.9.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.8 (league 3.7).
Form lately
Accrington Stanley
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Northampton | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Rochdale | 5-0 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | at York | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Gillingham | 3-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Oldham | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Cheltenham | 2-0 | W |
Read Accrington's score first.
Salford City
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Exeter | 2-1 | W |
| Mon 26 Oct | at Walsall | 4-2 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | at Bristol Rvs | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Crawley Town | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Cheltenham | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Fleetwood Town | 1-0 | W |
Read Salford City's score first.
Head to head
| Thu 5 Feb 2026 | League Two | Accrington 1-0 Salford | 1-0 | 7 |
| Sat 16 Aug 2025 | League Two | Salford 2-1 Accrington | 2-0 | 6 |
| Fri 18 Apr 2025 | League Two | Salford 1-2 Accrington | 0-1 | 12 |
| Sat 21 Dec 2024 | League Two | Accrington 0-2 Salford | 0-0 | 6 |
League Two standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe Alexandra | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | +0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby Town | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington Stanley | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere Rovers | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November
Other League Two predictions
- Exeter v CheltenhamSat 14 Nov 12:30
- Bristol Rovers v ChesterfieldSat 14 Nov 15:00
- Colchester v GillinghamSat 14 Nov 15:00
- Crewe v NewportSat 14 Nov 15:00
- Port Vale v AccringtonSat 14 Nov 15:00
- Rochdale v York CitySat 14 Nov 15:00
- Rotherham v CrawleySat 14 Nov 15:00
- Salford City v NorthamptonSat 14 Nov 15:00