Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic prediction

Wolves

15:00Saturday 21 November

Charlton

Championship
The venue is Molineux Stadium.
UK TV: not live (Saturday blackout)

1-0predicted score (14%)

44%both teams score

46%over 2.5 goals

1.79-0.74expected goals

62%24%14%

Analysis from us

Wolves sit 2nd in the Championship after taking 27 points from 14 games. Charlton sit 21st, with 14 points from 14 games and 13 points behind.

Wolves' last 6 matches gave them 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. They scored 10 and conceded 6. Charlton's last 6 matches brought 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. They scored 4 and conceded 12.

This season, both teams scored in 64% of Wolves games, and 64% finished above 2.5 goals. Charlton's two figures are 50% and 50%. For expected goals, Wolves produce 1.77 each game and give up 0.91. Charlton's figures are 0.93 created and 1.51 allowed.

Expected goals stand at 1.79 for Wolves, with 0.74 for Charlton, so the model rates a Wolves win as likeliest at 62% (the draw 24%, Charlton 14%).

The predicted score is Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 Charlton Athletic.

Stats for Wolves v Charlton

Per game	Wolves	Charlton
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	1.80	0.60
Goals conceded a game	0.60	2.20
Both teams scored	60%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%
Clean sheets	40%	0%
Corners won / conceded	6.8 / 2.8	4.2 / 5.8
Yellow cards a game	2.6	2.4
xG for / against	1.69 / 0.70	1.05 / 1.62

Per game	Wolves	Charlton
Games	14	14
Goals scored a game	1.79	0.79
Goals conceded a game	1.21	1.57
Both teams scored	64%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	64%	50%
Clean sheets	29%	21%
Corners won / conceded	6.6 / 3.8	4.4 / 6.1
Yellow cards a game	1.9	2.0
xG for / against	1.77 / 0.91	0.93 / 1.51

Per game	Wolves	Charlton
Games	7	7
Goals scored a game	1.86	0.86
Goals conceded a game	1.00	2.29
Both teams scored	57%	57%
Over 2.5 goals	57%	71%
Clean sheets	43%	0%
Corners won / conceded	7.4 / 3.6	3.6 / 6.4
Yellow cards a game	2.4	2.7
xG for / against	1.88 / 0.77	0.95 / 1.96

Market fair prices


Match result	Wolves win	62%	8/13
	Draw	24%	16/5
	Charlton win	14%	6/1
Double chance	Wolves or draw	86%	1/6
	Charlton or draw	38%	13/8
Draw no bet	Wolves	81%	2/9
	Charlton	19%	9/2
Both teams to score	Yes	44%	5/4
	No	56%	4/5
Goals	Over 1.5	72%	2/5
	Over 2.5	46%	6/5
	Under 2.5	54%	5/6
	Over 3.5	25%	3/1
Result and BTTS	Wolves and yes	23%	17/5
	Draw and yes	15%	11/2
	Charlton and yes	6%	16/1
Result and goals	Wolves and over 2.5	35%	9/5
	Charlton and over 2.5	7%	14/1
	Wolves and under 2.5	27%	11/4
	Charlton and under 2.5	7%	12/1
Half time / full time	Wolves / Wolves	39%	6/4
	Draw / Wolves	21%	4/1
	Draw / Draw	15%	11/2
	Charlton / Charlton	8%	12/1
Corners	Over 9.5	60%	4/6
	Over 10.5	49%	21/20
Cards	Over 3.5	52%	10/11
	Over 4.5	36%	9/5

Match result

Wolves win

62%

8/13

Draw

24%

16/5

Charlton win

14%

6/1

Double chance

Wolves or draw

86%

1/6

Charlton or draw

38%

13/8

Draw no bet

Wolves

81%

2/9

Charlton

19%

9/2

Both teams to score

Yes

44%

5/4

56%

4/5

Goals

Over 1.5

72%

2/5

Over 2.5

46%

6/5

Under 2.5

54%

5/6

Over 3.5

25%

3/1

Result and BTTS

Wolves and yes

23%

17/5

Draw and yes

15%

11/2

Charlton and yes

16/1

Result and goals

Wolves and over 2.5

35%

9/5

Charlton and over 2.5

14/1

Wolves and under 2.5

27%

11/4

Charlton and under 2.5

12/1

Half time / full time

Wolves / Wolves

39%

6/4

Draw / Wolves

21%

4/1

Draw / Draw

15%

11/2

Charlton / Charlton

12/1

Corners

Over 9.5

60%

4/6

Over 10.5

49%

21/20

Cards

Over 3.5

52%

10/11

Over 4.5

36%

9/5

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.

Expected starting line-ups

Wolves 4-2-3-1

Sá, José.GK
Trippier, Kieran.DEF
Bueno, Hugo.DEF
Munetsi, Marshall.MID
Mosquera, Yerson.DEF
Krejcí, Ladislav.DEF
López, Fernando.MID
AndréMID
Armstrong, Adam.FWD
Jean-Ricner BellegardeMID
Said, Rafiki.MID

They started Wed 4 Nov at Bristol City.

Charlton 4-2-3-1

Mannion, William.GK
McNamara, Dan.DEF
Bell, Amari'i.DEF
Coventry, Conor.MID
Jones, Lloyd.DEF
Koumetio, Billy.DEF
Knibbs, Harvey.MID
Chalobah, Nathaniel.MID
Kelman, Charlie.FWD
Grant, Karlan.MID
Campbell, Tyreece.MID

Started v Bolton on Tue 3 Nov.

Chances for each correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Wolves goals listed down the side and Charlton goals across
	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7	5.3	2.2	0.5	0.1
1	13.7	11.2	3.9	1.0	0.2
2	12.8	9.4	3.5	0.8	0.2
3	7.6	5.6	2.1	0.5	0.1
4	3.4	2.5	0.9	0.2	0.0
5	1.2	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0

Scoring times

Wolves, 17 games played. Charlton, 16 games in all.

Cards and corners

Corners expected: 10.7 total (league 10.4; Wolves 6.5 and Charlton 4.2).
Yellow cards expected: 3.9 (league 3.7).

Form guide

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Wolves' last 6
			Result
Wed 4 Nov	at Bristol City	2-1	W
Sat 31 Oct	v Cardiff	3-0	W
Sat 24 Oct	v Watford	1-0	W
Tue 20 Oct	v Portsmouth	1-1	D
Fri 16 Oct	at Burnley	2-1	W
Tue 13 Oct	v Bolton	1-3	L

Wolves scores come first.

Charlton Athletic

Charlton's last 6
			Result
Tue 3 Nov	v Bolton	0-1	L
Sat 31 Oct	at Middlesbrough	0-3	L
Sat 24 Oct	v Norwich	1-3	L
Sat 17 Oct	at Watford	0-2	L
Tue 13 Oct	at Burnley	2-2	D
Sat 10 Oct	v Bristol City	1-1	D

Charlton scores come first.

Championship standings

Pos	Club	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	14	8	4	2	+11	28
2	Wolverhampton Wanderers	14	8	3	3	+8	27
3	Birmingham City	14	7	5	2	+13	26
4	Stoke City	14	8	2	4	+5	26
19	Lincoln City	14	4	3	7	-10	15
20	Watford	14	4	2	8	-10	14
21	Charlton Athletic	14	3	5	6	-11	14
22	Burnley	14	1	7	6	-8	10
23	Derby County	14	1	4	9	-18	7