West Ham United vs Preston North End prediction

West Ham

15:00Saturday 21 November

Preston

Championship
London Stadium is the venue.
UK TV: not live (Saturday blackout)

2-0predicted score (10%)

55%both teams score

70%over 2.5 goals

2.75-0.88expected goals

76%15%9%

Analysis from us

In the Championship table, West Ham sit 8th, taking 23 points from 14 games. Preston sit 24th in the table with 5 points from 14, 18 points behind.

West Ham's last 6 brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, 14 goals for and 10 against. Preston’s last 6 show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 15 conceded.

This season, 71% of West Ham matches had both teams scoring, and 79% finished over 2.5 goals. Preston: 64% and 64%. Expected goals put West Ham at 2.07 created a game with 1.26 allowed; Preston sit at 1.14 created and 1.57 allowed.

The model's likeliest result is a West Ham win at 76%, based on 2.75 expected goals for West Ham and 0.88 for Preston (the draw 15%, Preston 9%).

Our prediction: West Ham United 2-0 Preston North End.

Stats for West Ham v Preston

Per game	West Ham	Preston
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	2.60	0.80
Goals conceded a game	1.80	2.80
Both teams scored	60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	60%
Clean sheets	40%	0%
Corners won / conceded	7.8 / 5.0	4.2 / 7.0
Yellow cards a game	2.2	2.2
xG for / against	1.88 / 1.23	0.82 / 2.03

Per game	West Ham	Preston
Games	14	14
Goals scored a game	2.57	0.86
Goals conceded a game	1.50	2.14
Both teams scored	71%	64%
Over 2.5 goals	79%	64%
Clean sheets	29%	0%
Corners won / conceded	6.9 / 4.6	4.8 / 5.9
Yellow cards a game	2.2	2.2
xG for / against	2.07 / 1.26	1.14 / 1.57

Per game	West Ham	Preston
Games	7	7
Goals scored a game	2.57	0.71
Goals conceded a game	1.57	2.43
Both teams scored	71%	57%
Over 2.5 goals	86%	71%
Clean sheets	29%	0%
Corners won / conceded	6.6 / 5.1	3.6 / 6.6
Yellow cards a game	1.6	2.4
xG for / against	2.24 / 0.99	1.03 / 1.67

Fair prices for each market


Match result	West Ham win	76%	3/10
	Draw	15%	11/2
	Preston win	9%	10/1
Double chance	West Ham or draw	91%	1/10
	Preston or draw	24%	16/5
Draw no bet	West Ham	89%	2/17
	Preston	11%	17/2
Both teams to score	Yes	55%	4/5
	No	45%	5/4
Goals	Over 1.5	88%	1/7
	Over 2.5	70%	2/5
	Under 2.5	30%	12/5
	Over 3.5	49%	21/20
Result and BTTS	West Ham and yes	38%	13/8
	Draw and yes	12%	15/2
	Preston and yes	6%	16/1
Result and goals	West Ham and over 2.5	59%	4/6
	Preston and over 2.5	6%	16/1
	West Ham and under 2.5	17%	5/1
	Preston and under 2.5	3%	33/1
Half time / full time	West Ham / West Ham	53%	10/11
	Draw / West Ham	19%	4/1
	Draw / Draw	8%	12/1
	Preston / Preston	5%	18/1
Corners	Over 9.5	61%	4/6
	Over 10.5	50%	evens
Cards	Over 3.5	45%	6/5
	Over 4.5	29%	12/5

Match result

West Ham win

76%

3/10

Draw

15%

11/2

Preston win

10/1

Double chance

West Ham or draw

91%

1/10

Preston or draw

24%

16/5

Draw no bet

West Ham

89%

2/17

Preston

11%

17/2

Both teams to score

Yes

55%

4/5

45%

5/4

Goals

Over 1.5

88%

1/7

Over 2.5

70%

2/5

Under 2.5

30%

12/5

Over 3.5

49%

21/20

Result and BTTS

West Ham and yes

38%

13/8

Draw and yes

12%

15/2

Preston and yes

16/1

Result and goals

West Ham and over 2.5

59%

4/6

Preston and over 2.5

16/1

West Ham and under 2.5

17%

5/1

Preston and under 2.5

33/1

Half time / full time

West Ham / West Ham

53%

10/11

Draw / West Ham

19%

4/1

Draw / Draw

12/1

Preston / Preston

18/1

Corners

Over 9.5

61%

4/6

Over 10.5

50%

evens

Cards

Over 3.5

45%

6/5

Over 4.5

29%

12/5

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.

Team line-up predictions

West Ham 4-4-1-1

Hermansen, Mads.GK
Joël VeltmanDEF
MoratoDEF
Engels, Arne.MID
Konstantinos MavropanosDEF
Kilman, Max.DEF
Bowen, Jarrod.MID
Soungoutou MagassaMID
Valentín CastellanosFWD
Mukasa, Divine.FWD
Manor SolomonMID

They started at Cardiff on Wed 4 Nov.

Preston 3-4-1-2

Iversen, Daniel.GK
Mills, Stanley.MID
Vukcevic, Andrija.MID
Hughes, Andrew.DEF
Storey, Jordan.DEF
Offiah, Odeluga.DEF
Leroy, Leo.MID
Thompson, Jordan.MID
Moran, Andy.MID
Kenny, Johnny.FWD
Erabi, Jusef.FWD

They started against Sheff Utd on Tue 3 Nov.

Chances for the correct score

Chance of each score in %, with West Ham goals down the side and Preston goals across
	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0	1.9	1.0	0.3	0.1
1	6.9	6.8	2.8	0.8	0.2
2	10.0	8.8	3.9	1.2	0.3
3	9.1	8.1	3.6	1.1	0.2
4	6.3	5.6	2.5	0.7	0.2
5	3.5	3.1	1.4	0.4	0.1

Scoring times

Games played: West Ham, 17; Preston, 16 games.

Cards and corners

Corners expected: 10.8 (league 10.4; West Ham 6.0, Preston 4.7).
Yellow cards expected 3.5 (league 3.7).

Latest form

West Ham United

West Ham's last 6
			Result
Wed 4 Nov	at Cardiff	3-3	D
Sat 31 Oct	v West Brom	1-3	L
Sat 24 Oct	v Southampton	2-3	L
Sat 17 Oct	at Swansea	1-0	W
Wed 14 Oct	at Lincoln	6-0	W
Fri 9 Oct	v QPR	1-1	D

Read the scores with West Ham first.

Preston North End

Preston's last 6
			Result
Tue 3 Nov	v Sheffield United	2-3	L
Sat 31 Oct	at Stoke	0-2	L
Sat 24 Oct	v West Brom	1-1	D
Sat 17 Oct	at Wrexham	1-4	L
Tue 13 Oct	at Birmingham	0-4	L
Sat 10 Oct	v Millwall	0-1	L

Read the scores with Preston first.

The Championship table

Pos	Club	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
6	West Bromwich Albion	14	7	4	3	+5	25
7	Southampton	14	8	4	2	+15	24
8	West Ham United	14	6	5	3	+15	23
9	Sheffield United	14	6	4	4	+3	22
10	Portsmouth	14	6	4	4	+3	22
22	Burnley	14	1	7	6	-8	10
23	Derby County	14	1	4	9	-18	7
24	Preston North End	14	1	2	11	-18	5