Tamworth vs Woking prediction
Once the margin is removed, the market has Tamworth 42%, draw 25% and Woking 33%, an average across 6 UK bookmakers
The model's view of the match
Across their last 6 matches, Tamworth's record was 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 11 goals scored and 9 conceded From Woking's last 6 matches, the record was 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 14 goals scored and 12 conceded
This season, 86% of Tamworth games saw both teams score and 86% finished over 2.5 goals, while Woking sit at 60% and 53%
Our results show 4 meetings since August 2024: 1 Tamworth win, 2 Woking wins and 1 level finish The latest meeting took place on Saturday 7 March 2026 and finished Woking 3-1 Tamworth
The model rates a Woking win as likeliest at 39%, with Tamworth 36% and the draw 25%. It bases these figures on expected goals: 1.54 for Tamworth, 1.59 for Woking. After their margin is removed, UK bookmakers have it at 33%, and we rate it higher than the market.
We predict Tamworth 1-2 Woking At 11.4%, 1-1 is the most likely single exact score. Within the result we favor, 1-2 is the most likely score.
Stats for Tamworth v Woking
| Per game | Tamworth |  Woking |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.8 / 4.2 | 4.2 / 5.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| Per game | Tamworth | Woking |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 15 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.79 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.21 | 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 7% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.0 / 4.9 | 4.9 / 5.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Per game | Tamworth | Woking |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.14 | 1.71 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.7 / 3.1 | 5.4 / 6.3 |
| Yellow cards a game | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| Per game | Tamworth | Woking |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 25% |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 3.0 |
Best UK odds and fair prices
| Match result | Tamworth win | 36% | 7/4 | 6/5 bet365 | -19.8% |
| Draw | 25% | 3/1 | 11/4 bet365 | -7.5% | |
| Woking win | 39% | 13/8 | 7/4 Betfred | +7.9% | |
| Double chance | Tamworth or draw | 61% | 8/13 | ||
| Woking or draw | 64% | 4/7 | |||
| Draw no bet | Tamworth | 49% | 21/20 | ||
| Woking | 51% | 10/11 | |||
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 4/7 | ||
| No | 37% | 7/4 | |||
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 83% | 2/9 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 4/6 | 1/2 bet365 | -9.3% | |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 6/4 | 6/4 bet365 | -1.2% | |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 13/8 | |||
| Result and BTTS | Tamworth and yes | 21% | 4/1 | ||
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |||
| Woking and yes | 22% | 7/2 | |||
| Result and goals | Tamworth and over 2.5 | 25% | 3/1 | ||
| Woking and over 2.5 | 27% | 11/4 | |||
| Tamworth and under 2.5 | 11% | 8/1 | |||
| Woking and under 2.5 | 12% | 15/2 | |||
| Half time / full time | Woking / Woking | 23% | 10/3 | ||
| Tamworth / Tamworth | 22% | 7/2 | |||
| Draw / Woking | 13% | 13/2 | |||
| Draw / Draw | 13% | 13/2 | |||
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 54% | 5/6 | ||
| Over 10.5 | 43% | 11/8 | |||
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 66% | 1/2 | ||
| Over 4.5 | 50% | evens |
A fair price is 1 divided by our chance The bookmaker prices come from football-data.co.uk, covering match prices plus over/under 2.5 only. Edge appears where both figures are available to us.
Who starts for each side
Tamworth 4-2-3-1
- Macaulay, Jonathan.GK
- Handley, Tom.DEF
- Carson, Hayden.DEF
- Kurtaran, Teo.MID
- Rye, Joe.DEF
- Parkes, Tom.DEF
- Carter, Ramell.MID
- Kelly, Gabriel.MID
- Donnelly, Kieren.FWD
- Roberts, Morgan.MID
- McGlinchey, Thomas.MID
Woking 3-4-1-2
- Reyes, Vicente.GK
- Sohna, Harrison.MID
- Ogie, Shadrach.MID
- Mcarthur, Charlie.DEF
- Grant, Josh.DEF
- Putman, Jaiden.DEF
- Syla, Roy.MID
- Akinola, Tim.MID
- O'Brien, Aiden.MID
- Kelly, Josh.FWD
- Marquis, John.FWD
These starting elevens come from ESPN, checked Wednesday 4 November, 09:12.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.1 | 11.4 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 8.3 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Scoring by minute
The figures cover Tamworth, 15 games and Woking, 16 games. This season's ESPN match events show the goals scored by minute.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 10.1, with Tamworth 5.3 and Woking 4.9; league 9.9.
- Yellow cards expected after referee adjustment: 4.8; league 3.8.
Form guide
Tamworth
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | v Scunthorpe | 4-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Barrow | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Hartlepool | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 30 Sep | v Sutton | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 26 Sep | at Aldershot | 1-5 | L |
| Sat 19 Sep | v Wealdstone | 2-1 | W |
The score shown first is Tamworth's.
Woking
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | v Boreham Wood | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Scunthorpe | 3-2 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Harrogate | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Eastleigh | 3-1 | W |
| Tue 29 Sep | v Solihull | 2-4 | L |
| Sat 26 Sep | at Carlisle | 5-2 | W |
The score shown first is Woking's.
Head to head
| Sat 7 Mar 2026 | National League | Woking 3-1 Tamworth | 1-0 | |
| Sat 8 Nov 2025 | National League | Tamworth 0-1 Woking | 0-1 | |
| Sat 15 Feb 2025 | National League | Woking 1-1 Tamworth | 0-0 | |
| Sat 19 Oct 2024 | National League | Tamworth 3-2 Woking | 2-0 |