Hartlepool United vs Wealdstone prediction
Our assessment
Hartlepool's last 6 games brought 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats, with 10 goals scored and 12 conceded. Across their last 6 matches, Wealdstone recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 14 conceded.
So far this season, both teams scored in 50% of Hartlepool games and 50% went over 2.5 goals. Wealdstone's figures are 62% and 62%.
Since August 2024, our results show 4 meetings: 0 Hartlepool wins, 1 Wealdstone win and 3 draws. Their most recent meeting, on Tuesday 31 March 2026, ended with Wealdstone 7-0 Hartlepool.
The model rates a Hartlepool win as the likeliest outcome at 42%, with the draw at 25% and Wealdstone 33%. Hartlepool have 1.60 expected goals and Wealdstone have 1.40.
We predict Hartlepool United 2-1 Wealdstone. At 11.8%, 1-1 is the single likeliest exact score. Within the outcome we back, 2-1 is the likeliest score.
Stats: Hartlepool v Wealdstone
| Per game |  Hartlepool |  Wealdstone |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.0 / 6.8 | 6.4 / 6.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| Per game | Hartlepool | Wealdstone |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 16 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.12 | 1.44 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.69 | 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 19% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.6 / 5.5 | 4.8 / 4.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Per game | Hartlepool | Wealdstone |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.86 | 1.38 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 1.12 |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 25% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.3 / 5.4 | 3.5 / 7.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 3.9 |
| Per game | Hartlepool | Wealdstone |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.50 | 0.75 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 25% |
| Yellow cards a game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Hartlepool win | 42% | 11/8 |
| Draw | 25% | 3/1 | |
| Wealdstone win | 33% | 2/1 | |
| Double chance | Hartlepool or draw | 67% | 1/2 |
| Wealdstone or draw | 58% | 8/11 | |
| Draw no bet | Hartlepool | 56% | 4/5 |
| Wealdstone | 44% | 5/4 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 4/6 |
| No | 39% | 6/4 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 81% | 1/4 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 8/11 | |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 11/8 | |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 15/8 | |
| Result and BTTS | Hartlepool and yes | 23% | 10/3 |
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Wealdstone and yes | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Result and goals | Hartlepool and over 2.5 | 28% | 5/2 |
| Wealdstone and over 2.5 | 22% | 7/2 | |
| Hartlepool and under 2.5 | 14% | 13/2 | |
| Wealdstone and under 2.5 | 11% | 8/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Hartlepool / Hartlepool | 25% | 3/1 |
| Wealdstone / Wealdstone | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Draw / Hartlepool | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 49% | 21/20 |
| Over 10.5 | 38% | 13/8 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 49% | 21/20 |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 2/1 |
A fair price is 1 divided by the chance we put on it. Our feed has no UK bookmaker prices yet for this match. football-data.co.uk normally posts them two or three days before the game begins.
Line-ups we predict
Hartlepool 5-4-1
- Merrick, Max.GK
- Mcnally, Reiss.DEF
- Ilunga, Brooklyn.DEF
- Clark, Max.DEF
- Lavelle, Sam.DEF
- Kouogun, Maxim.DEF
- Nolan, Jack.MID
- Miley, Jamie.MID
- Harris, William.FWD
- Sheron, Nathan.MID
- Deeming, Cole.MID
Sat 31 Oct at Boreham Wood: this was the lineup that started.
Wealdstone 4-4-2
- Astor Baptiste, Dante.GK
- Francis-Clarke, Aidan.DEF
- Kanu, Abraham.DEF
- Kadji, Dylan.MID
- Henry, Aaron.DEF
- Conroy, Dion.DEF
- Chesters, Daniel.MID
- Wells-Morrison, Jack.MID
- Okenabirhie, Fejiri.FWD
- Olomola, Olufela.FWD
- Newton, Joe.MID
Started against Southend Utd on Sat 31 Oct.
For other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven who started in their most recent match. Once ESPN names the confirmed teams, they replace these line-ups about an hour before kick-off.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 7.8 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 8.9 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
For Hartlepool, 16 games. For Wealdstone, 16 games. This season's goals by minute come from ESPN match events.
Cards and corners
- Expected corners: 9.7 overall, with Hartlepool 4.6 and Wealdstone 5.1; the league figure is 10.0.
- Expected yellow cards: 3.8 (league 3.8).
Form in recent matches
Hartlepool United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Boreham Wood | 3-4 | L |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Fylde | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Hornchurch | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Forest Green | 4-2 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Tamworth | 0-1 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | v Harrogate | 0-1 | L |
Each score lists Hartlepool first.
Wealdstone
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Southend | 3-2 | W |
| Tue 27 Oct | v Solihull | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Aldershot | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Yeovil | 0-6 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Barrow | 1-2 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | at Forest Green | 1-1 | D |
Each score lists Wealdstone first.
Head to head
| Tue 31 Mar 2026 | National League | Wealdstone 7-0 Hartlepool | 5-0 | |
| Sat 15 Nov 2025 | National League | Hartlepool 1-1 Wealdstone | 1-1 | |
| Sat 18 Jan 2025 | National League | Wealdstone 1-1 Hartlepool | 0-1 | |
| Sat 24 Aug 2024 | National League | Hartlepool 1-1 Wealdstone | 0-1 |