Southend United vs Aldershot Town prediction
Our breakdown
In their last 6 matches, Southend Utd picked up 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Over their last 6, Aldershot took 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats, with 4 goals for and 11 against.
Of Southend Utd games this season, 94% featured goals from both sides and 81% finished above 2.5 goals. The Aldershot figures are 56% and 38%.
In our results they've met 4 times since August 2024, with Southend Utd winning 3, Aldershot 0 and 1 draw. The latest meeting, on Tuesday 14 April 2026, ended Aldershot 0-2 Southend.
With expected goals at 2.45 for Southend Utd and 1.14 for Aldershot, the model sees a Southend Utd win as most likely at 66% (the draw 19%, Aldershot 16%).
Our predicted score is Southend United 2-1 Aldershot Town.
Stats for Southend Utd v Aldershot
| Per game |  Southend Utd |  Aldershot |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.0 / 5.2 | 7.0 / 6.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Per game | Southend Utd | Aldershot |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 16 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.38 | 1.19 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Both teams scored | 94% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 6% | 19% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.0 / 4.4 | 4.8 / 5.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Per game | Southend Utd | Aldershot |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.14 | 0.88 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.86 | 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 12% |
| Corners won / conceded | 7.7 / 3.0 | 3.8 / 5.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.7 | 2.9 |
| Per game | Southend Utd | Aldershot |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.25 | 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 75% | 25% |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Southend Utd win | 66% | 8/15 |
| Draw | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Aldershot win | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Double chance | Southend Utd or draw | 84% | 2/11 |
| Aldershot or draw | 34% | 15/8 | |
| Draw no bet | Southend Utd | 81% | 1/4 |
| Aldershot | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 8/13 |
| No | 37% | 13/8 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 88% | 1/7 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 4/9 | |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 9/4 | |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 21/20 | |
| Result and BTTS | Southend Utd and yes | 37% | 7/4 |
| Draw and yes | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Aldershot and yes | 10% | 9/1 | |
| Result and goals | Southend Utd and over 2.5 | 51% | evens |
| Aldershot and over 2.5 | 11% | 8/1 | |
| Southend Utd and under 2.5 | 15% | 6/1 | |
| Aldershot and under 2.5 | 4% | 22/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Southend Utd / Southend Utd | 44% | 5/4 |
| Draw / Southend Utd | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 9% | 10/1 | |
| Aldershot / Aldershot | 9% | 10/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 57% | 4/5 |
| Over 10.5 | 46% | 6/5 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 54% | 5/6 |
| Over 4.5 | 37% | 7/4 |
A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance. Our feed doesn't yet have UK bookmaker prices for this match. football-data.co.uk normally posts them two or three days ahead of kick-off.
Line-ups we expect
Southend Utd 4-3-3
- Duncan, Joseph.GK
- Daley-Campbell, Vontae.DEF
- Mcadam, Kyle.DEF
- Hartigan, Anthony.MID
- Palmer, Ashley.DEF
- Goodliffe, Ben.DEF
- Oldaker, Darren.MID
- Coker, Oliver.MID
- Omochere, Promise.FWD
- Chambers-Parillon, Leon.FWD
- Patrick, Omari.FWD
They started Sat 31 Oct at Wealdstone.
Aldershot 4-2-3-1
- Hayes, Nicholas.GK
- Dyce, Tyrese.DEF
- Harfield, Oliver.DEF
- Odusanya, Dominic.MID
- Mohammed-Idris OshilajaDEF
- Stickland, Michael.DEF
- Peart, Brody.MID
- Lawless, Conor.MID
- Abrahams, Tristan.FWD
- Tuma, Basil.MID
- Sandah, Hakeem.MID
On Sat 31 Oct, they started against Gateshead.
For every other club, ESPN lists the eleven who began their most recent game. Once ESPN confirms the teams, they take the place of these, about an hour before kick-off.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.8 | 7.7 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
When the goals come
For Southend Utd, 16 games; for Aldershot, 16 games. The minute-by-minute goals come from this season's ESPN match events.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 10.4 in total, with Southend Utd 5.8 and Aldershot 4.6, and the league at 10.0.
- Yellow cards expected: 4.0 (league 3.8).
Latest form
Southend United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Wealdstone | 2-3 | L |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Worthing | 3-3 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Halifax | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Boston Utd | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Fylde | 3-1 | W |
| Wed 30 Sep | at Eastleigh | 1-1 | D |
The score lists Southend Utd first.
Aldershot Town
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Gateshead | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 28 Oct | at Sutton | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Wealdstone | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Altrincham | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Carlisle | 1-3 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | at Hornchurch | 1-2 | L |
The score lists Aldershot first.
Head to head
| Tue 14 Apr 2026 | National League | Aldershot 0-2 Southend | 0-2 | |
| Sat 4 Oct 2025 | National League | Southend 3-0 Aldershot | 1-0 | |
| Tue 18 Feb 2025 | National League | Southend 2-1 Aldershot | 0-0 | |
| Wed 23 Oct 2024 | National League | Aldershot 0-0 Southend | 0-0 |