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Kidderminster Harriers vs FC Halifax Town prediction

Kid'minster
15:00Saturday 14 November
HalifaxFC Halifax Town crest
1-0predicted score (12%)
44%both teams score
36%over 2.5 goals
1.09-1.07expected goals

Our breakdown

Kid'minster recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Halifax finished their last 6 with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, scoring 13 goals and conceding 7.

So far this season, 50% of Kid'minster games saw both teams score and 38% went past 2.5 goals; for Halifax those numbers are 62% and 56%.

A Kid'minster win tops the model's list at 35%, ahead of the draw on 31% and Halifax 34%. Expected goals sit at 1.09 for Kid'minster against 1.07 for Halifax.

Our forecast is Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 FC Halifax Town. A 1-1 finish has the highest chance of any exact score, at 14.3%. Within the result we favor, 1-0 is the likeliest score.

Stats for Kid'minster v Halifax

Per gameKid'minsterFC Halifax Town crestHalifax
Games55
Goals scored a game0.602.40
Goals conceded a game1.001.20
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%
Clean sheets40%40%
Corners won / conceded3.8 / 5.05.2 / 4.0
Yellow cards a game2.41.8

Fair prices for each market

Match resultKid'minster win35%15/8
Draw31%9/4
Halifax win34%2/1
Double chanceKid'minster or draw66%1/2
Halifax or draw65%8/15
Draw no betKid'minster51%evens
Halifax49%21/20
Both teams to scoreYes44%5/4
No56%4/5
GoalsOver 1.564%4/7
Over 2.536%7/4
Under 2.564%4/7
Over 3.517%5/1
Result and BTTSKid'minster and yes13%13/2
Draw and yes19%9/2
Halifax and yes13%7/1
Result and goalsKid'minster and over 2.516%5/1
Halifax and over 2.516%11/2
Kid'minster and under 2.519%9/2
Halifax and under 2.518%9/2
Half time / full timeKid'minster / Kid'minster20%4/1
Draw / Draw20%4/1
Halifax / Halifax19%4/1
Draw / Kid'minster14%6/1
CornersOver 9.546%6/5
Over 10.535%15/8
CardsOver 3.560%4/6
Over 4.543%11/8

Our fair price comes from dividing 1 by our chance. Our feed doesn't yet show UK bookmaker prices for this game; football-data.co.uk normally publishes them two or three days ahead of kick-off.

The line-ups we predict

Kid'minster 4-4-2

  1. Wint, Jack.GK
  2. Crompton, Ben.DEF
  3. Faakye, Richard.DEF
  4. Davis, David.MID
  5. MacDonald, Angus.DEF
  6. Harries, Cian.DEF
  7. Brogan, Max.MID
  8. Hargreaves, Cameron.MID
  9. Walker, Lewis.FWD
  10. Stewart, Callum.FWD
  11. Kouhyar, Maziar.MID

They started Sat 31 Oct at Solihull.

FC Halifax Town crestHalifax 4-4-2

  1. Grant, True.GK
  2. Houghton, Lucas.DEF
  3. Hill, Deniche.DEF
  4. Johnson, Cody.MID
  5. Flint, Will.DEF
  6. Hobson, Shaun.DEF
  7. Douglas, Connor.MID
  8. Hugill, Will.MID
  9. Carty, Conor.FWD
  10. Mcdermott, Tommy.FWD
  11. Tollitt, Ben.MID

They started on Sat 31 Oct against Yeovil.

For other clubs, the starting eleven comes from their most recent match, as reported by ESPN. Once ESPN names the confirmed teams, they replace these about an hour before kick-off.

Chances for each correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Kid'minster goals down the side and Halifax goals across
012345
012.411.66.62.40.60.1
111.814.37.22.60.70.1
26.87.33.91.40.40.1
32.52.61.40.50.10.0
40.70.70.40.10.00.0
50.10.20.10.00.00.0

When the goals come

211-153316-303231-4531046-602561-754776-90

The data covers Kid'minster, 16 games, and Halifax, 16 games. ESPN match events from this season provide the goals scored by minute.

Cards and corners

Latest form

Kidderminster Harriers

Kid'minster, last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octat Solihull1-2L
Tue 27 Octat Altrincham0-0D
Sat 24 Octv Worthing1-2L
Sat 10 Octat Carlisle0-0D
Sat 3 Octv Sutton1-1D
Tue 29 Sepat Boreham Wood1-3L

Kid'minster is listed first in the scores.

FC Halifax Town crestFC Halifax Town

Halifax, last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octv Yeovil2-0W
Tue 27 Octv Barrow2-3L
Sat 24 Octat Southend2-2D
Sat 10 Octv Gateshead4-1W
Sat 3 Octat Solihull2-0W
Tue 29 Sepv Boston Utd1-1D

Halifax is listed first in the scores.

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