Harrogate Town vs Altrincham prediction
How we see it
Over Harrogate's last 6 matches, they won 4, drew 1 and lost 1, with 10 goals scored and 6 conceded. Across Altrincham's last 6, they won 3, drew 1 and lost 2, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 69% of Harrogate games this season, while 81% of matches had more than 2.5 goals. For Altrincham, the figures were 69% and 75%.
According to the model, a Harrogate win is the likeliest result at 55% (draw 24%, Altrincham 21%). The expected goals behind that are 1.81 for Harrogate and 1.05 for Altrincham.
We predict Harrogate Town 2-1 Altrincham as the score. At 11.5%, 1-1 is the most likely single exact score. Within the result we're backing, 2-1 is the most likely score.
Stats for Harrogate vs Altrincham
| Per game |  Harrogate |  Altrincham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.6 / 5.0 | 5.4 / 4.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 3.0 |
| Per game | Harrogate | Altrincham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 16 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.12 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 19% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.1 / 4.8 | 5.3 / 4.1 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Per game | Harrogate | Altrincham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.25 | 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | 88% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 12% | 12% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.8 / 4.1 | 5.5 / 5.1 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
Market fair prices
| Match result | Harrogate win | 55% | 5/6 |
| Draw | 24% | 3/1 | |
| Altrincham win | 21% | 4/1 | |
| Double chance | Harrogate or draw | 79% | 1/4 |
| Altrincham or draw | 45% | 6/5 | |
| Draw no bet | Harrogate | 72% | 2/5 |
| Altrincham | 28% | 5/2 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 5/6 |
| No | 45% | 6/5 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 78% | 2/7 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 5/6 | |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 6/5 | |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 2/1 | |
| Result and BTTS | Harrogate and yes | 26% | 11/4 |
| Draw and yes | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Altrincham and yes | 11% | 8/1 | |
| Result and goals | Harrogate and over 2.5 | 35% | 15/8 |
| Altrincham and over 2.5 | 13% | 7/1 | |
| Harrogate and under 2.5 | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Altrincham and under 2.5 | 9% | 11/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Harrogate / Harrogate | 34% | 15/8 |
| Draw / Harrogate | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 14% | 13/2 | |
| Altrincham / Altrincham | 12% | 15/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 52% | 10/11 |
| Over 10.5 | 41% | 6/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 51% | evens |
| Over 4.5 | 34% | 15/8 |
Divide 1 by our chance to get the fair price. football-data.co.uk usually posts UK bookmaker prices for this match two or three days before kick-off. Our feed doesn't include them yet.
Who we expect to start
Harrogate 3-5-2
- Hutchinson, Luke.GK
- Payne, Lewis.MID
- Craig, Michael.MID
- Chaplin, Archie.DEF
- Dreyer, Sam.DEF
- Cass, Lewis.DEF
- Williams, Morgan.MID
- Taylor, Ellis.MID
- Hmami, Josh.FWD
- Dolaghan, Brad.FWD
- Bristow, Ethan.MID
At Forest Green, they started Sat 31 Oct.
Altrincham 5-3-2
- Isted, Harvey.GK
- Banks, Lewis.DEF
- Taylor, Samuel.DEF
- Barnes, Samuel.DEF
- Southern-Cooper, Jake.DEF
- Lopata-White, Reuben.DEF
- Crawford, Thomas.MID
- Hinchy, Jack.MID
- Barlow, Aidan.FWD
- Weaver, Lucas.FWD
- Breckin, Kian.MID
They started Sat 31 Oct against Carlisle.
For other clubs, we list the eleven who started their most recent match, taken from ESPN. ESPN's confirmed teams take over from these once the teams are named, about an hour before the match starts.
Chances of correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.7 | 11.5 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 9.9 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Harrogate, 16 games and Altrincham, 16 games. This season, ESPN match events show the goals scored by minute.
Cards and corners
- 9.9corners expected, with Harrogate 4.6 and Altrincham 5.3; the league figure is 10.0.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.8 (league 3.8).
Form guide
Harrogate Town
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Forest Green | 2-2 | D |
| Wed 28 Oct | at Carlisle | 0-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Sutton | 3-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Woking | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Hornchurch | 3-0 | W |
| Tue 29 Sep | at Hartlepool | 1-0 | W |
Harrogate's score is listed first.
Altrincham
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Carlisle | 2-4 | L |
| Tue 27 Oct | v Kidderminster | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Yeovil | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Aldershot | 3-1 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Boreham Wood | 1-3 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | at Gateshead | 1-0 | W |
Altrincham's score comes first.