Gateshead vs Barrow prediction
Our assessment
Gateshead's last 6 matches brought 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses. In those games they scored 3 and conceded 14. In Barrow's last 6 matches, the results were 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses. They scored 15 and conceded 7.
For this season, Gateshead games featured both teams scoring in 47% of cases, and 60% had more than 2.5 goals. Barrow's figures are 67% and 67%.
On expected goals of Gateshead 1.01 and Barrow 1.93, the model rates a Barrow win likeliest at 58%, ahead of the draw at 23% and Gateshead 19%.
Our prediction: Gateshead 1-2 Barrow. At 10.9%, 1-1 is the top exact score. For the result we lean toward, 1-2 is the likeliest score.
Stats: Gateshead v Barrow
| Per game |  Gateshead |  Barrow |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.4 / 6.6 | 5.6 / 3.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| Per game | Gateshead | Barrow |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 15 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.60 | 1.73 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.27 | 1.27 |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 7% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.3 / 5.3 | 6.1 / 4.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| Per game | Gateshead | Barrow |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 8 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.83 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.83 | 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.0 / 4.7 | 6.2 / 4.1 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 2.8 |
Market fair prices
| Match result | Gateshead win | 19% | 9/2 |
| Draw | 23% | 10/3 | |
| Barrow win | 58% | 8/11 | |
| Double chance | Gateshead or draw | 42% | 11/8 |
| Barrow or draw | 81% | 2/9 | |
| Draw no bet | Gateshead | 24% | 3/1 |
| Barrow | 76% | 1/3 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 4/5 |
| No | 45% | 5/4 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 80% | 1/4 |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 4/5 | |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 5/4 | |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 2/1 | |
| Result and BTTS | Gateshead and yes | 10% | 9/1 |
| Draw and yes | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Barrow and yes | 28% | 5/2 | |
| Result and goals | Gateshead and over 2.5 | 11% | 8/1 |
| Barrow and over 2.5 | 39% | 13/8 | |
| Gateshead and under 2.5 | 7% | 12/1 | |
| Barrow and under 2.5 | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Barrow / Barrow | 37% | 7/4 |
| Draw / Barrow | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 13% | 7/1 | |
| Gateshead / Gateshead | 11% | 17/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 46% | 6/5 |
| Over 10.5 | 35% | 15/8 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 56% | 4/5 |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 6/4 |
Our fair price is 1 divided by the chance. Our feed doesn't have UK bookmaker prices for this match yet. Two or three days before kick-off, football-data.co.uk usually posts them.
Line-ups we predict
Gateshead 4-2-3-1
- Jameson, Peter.GK
- Lavery, Thomas.DEF
- Lankshear, Alex.DEF
- Home, Josh.MID
- Williams, Ben.DEF
- Ferguson, David.DEF
- Bowen, Sam.MID
- John, Fenton.MID
- Hiwula, Jordi.FWD
- Chadwick, Billy.MID
- Chapman, Harry.MID
They started at Aldershot on Sat 31 Oct.
Barrow 4-1-3-2
- Winterbottom, Ben.GK
- Oakley, Marcel.DEF
- Latty-Fairweather, Thierry.DEF
- Benjamin, Xavier.DEF
- Raphael-Pijus OtegbayoDEF
- Kalambayi, Paul.DEF
- Allen, Arian.MID
- Harper, Rekeem.MID
- Cameron, Innes.FWD
- Thompson, Seb.FWD
- Ward, Keaton.MID
They started against Eastleigh on Sat 31 Oct.
For other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven who started in their most recent match. Once ESPN confirms the teams, they replace these line-ups about an hour before kick-off.
Exact score chances
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 | 4.7 | 10.9 | 9.9 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 2.7 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
15 games for Gateshead; Barrow, 15 games. The goals scored by minute come from ESPN match events this season.
Cards and corners
- We expect 9.4 corners in the game (Gateshead 4.0, Barrow 5.4), and the league average is 10.0.
- For the league, 3.8; yellow cards expected: 4.2.
Latest form
Gateshead
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Aldershot | 0-1 | L |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Boston Utd | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Halifax | 1-4 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Worthing | 1-2 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | v Altrincham | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 26 Sep | at Wealdstone | 0-4 | L |
Gateshead is listed first in the scores.
Barrow
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Eastleigh | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Halifax | 3-2 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Tamworth | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Wealdstone | 2-1 | W |
| Tue 29 Sep | v Scunthorpe | 3-0 | W |
| Sat 26 Sep | at Southend | 4-2 | W |
Barrow is listed first in the scores.
Additional National League predictions
- Hornchurh v TamworthSat 14 Nov 15:00
- Carlisle v Boston UtdSat 14 Nov 15:00
- Eastleigh v AFC FyldeSat 14 Nov 15:00
- Harrogate v AltrinchamSat 14 Nov 15:00
- Hartlepool v WealdstoneSat 14 Nov 15:00
- Kid'minster v HalifaxSat 14 Nov 15:00
- Scunthorpe v WorthingSat 14 Nov 15:00
- Southend Utd v AldershotSat 14 Nov 15:00